Thursday, August 2, 2012

Paully's Picks - CLOSE THE GAP Round 22

My favourite NRL initiative and the most inspiring event on the NRL calendar, Close the Gap Round not only highlights the issue around life expectancy rates amongst Indigenous Australians, but helps create cultural awareness. This weekend's purpose is best summed up by a quote from the One Community website;

Australian, Maroons and Melbourne captain Cameron Smith: “As a parent, it’s heart-breaking to know that Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander babies have more than double the chance of dying before the age of one”.

Sydney Roosters v St George Illawarra Dragons
We acknowledge that this match is being held on the traditional lands of The Gadigal People of the Eora nation, and pay our respect to elders both past and present.
The Dragons must have a sniff of the semifinals now after winning a couple of big home games in recent weeks and will be especially confident in this match on Friday night at Allianz Stadium. The Roosters, by contrast, would only be sniffing the foul stench of failure. A tough season with their very young forward pack learning a harsh lesson about discipline.
In fact, the Chooks only victory in the last 4 months was against the Tigers in round 15 when their opposition was heavily distracted. Wretched times at Bondi but with youth, comes enthusiasm so they’ll give the Dragons everything they can handle for 80 minutes. Saints should have enough in them to get the biscuits here. They win with defense and desperation to keep their season alive.
My tip: St George Illawarra 20-18

The Melbourne Storm v Penrith Panthers
We acknowledge that this match is being held on the traditional lands of The Wurundjeri People of the Kulin Nation, and pay our respect to elders both past and present.
Surely. Surely this is the end of the rut. For those of us who saw the Panthers beat Cronulla last week – we noticed two things. 1. The Sharks may have been completely robbed by the referees and 2. The Panthers, no matter what the end result, looked inspired. They played with a passion and enthusiasm not seen from this club in some time. They even looked like they were enjoying their footy and playing hard for each other.
The Storm, meanwhile, have lost their last 5 matches and look anything other than ‘on the same page’. Having said all that, if not for the defensive instincts of one Brett Morris, they beat the Dragons in Wollongong last week and this conversation is over. Saturday afternoon footy returns to your TV with a 3.30pm kick off as Melbourne finally break the shackles.
My tip: Melbourne 24-12

Newcastle Knights v Canterbury Bulldogs
We acknowledge that this match is being held on the traditional lands of The Awabakal and Worimi Peoples, and pay our respect to elders both past and present.
A complete domination of the Canberra Raiders in our nation’s capital last weekend has the League community fearing the return of Wayne Bennett and his Newcastle Knights. They were methodical on Sunday and could have won by 50 if not for a few bombed opportunities in the opening 20 minutes. Ordinarily this would send shivers through any opposition.
The Bulldogs are not any opposition. They sit atop the ladder, have the best defense in the league and are winners of their past nine matches. Only a fool would tip against them, if you know what I mean. In a match dripping with excitement and great matchups, the highlights here will be Mick Ennis up against his former mentor in Danny Buderus and Willie Mason up against the colours that made him famous… or infamous.
My tip: Bulldogs 16-14

North Queensland Cowboys v Manly Sea Eagles
We acknowledge that this match is being held on the traditional lands of The Bindal and Wulgurukaba Peoples, and pay our respect to elders both past and present.
Part 3 of your Saturday Triple Header and for those of us who have made it back from the bottle shop to re-stock in time for kick-off. Congratulations. The opening exchanges will be fearsome – and not only between the forwards. Keep an eye on the Matai v Tate encounter and I defy anyone to find two more miserable footballers in 1st grade today.
Speaking of miserable, the Eagles’ will come down from their flight of fancy to get a dose of reality as the Cowboys will prove too strong here. Manly were a mess in the opening 50 minutes of last week’s miracle in Perth and won’t be able to fix those problems quick enough to beat the Cowboys. Chances are they will be missing Watmough and captain Jason King. The Cowboys forwards too good.
My tip: North Queensland 30-16

New Zealand Warriors v Cronulla Sharks
Both last start losers in the dying moments. Literally the last second decided their respective fates last week and this match from Mt Smart Stadium on Sunday at noon will be a test for both teams to bounce back. The Sharks will definitely bounce higher if Carney and Gallen are playing but at this stage it looks as though only the latter will make the trip.
This leaves the Cronulla attack without enough punch to overcome an angry Warriors team staring directly at the prospect of an early end to their season if they can’t win this one. Shaun Johnson and Kevin Locke should find enough space late in this game to run away with it and keep the Warriors season alive. Cronulla drop their 4th in a row and the future does not look bright.
My tip: Warriors 30-18

Canberra Raiders v Brisbane Broncos
We acknowledge that this match is being held on the traditional lands of The Ngunnawal and Ngambri Peoples, and pay our respect to elders both past and present.
It says a lot about the Broncos that from an entire season so far, we can only remember two bad performances and by bad, I mean slightly embarrassing. Round 17 against the Sharks was, perhaps, forgivable as they were missing their rep players, but the opening exchanges in that match made the baby Broncos look a lot worse than simply inexperienced.
Then, we have last Monday’s loss to the Eels. A more staggered and shambolic defensive line you will not see from a Broncos outfit before or after this loss. What better way to bounce back than to travel to Canberra to face a Raiders team hell bent on destroying their own chances this season? Not sure if that was a question or a statement but you get the point. The Broncos will be desperate.
My tip: Brisbane 19-18

Gold Coast Titans v South Sydney Rabbitohs
We acknowledge that this match is being held on the traditional lands of The Yugambeh People, and pay our respect to elders both past and present.
A beauty. South Sydney bring their 5 match winning streak and league leading attack to Skilled Park on Sunday afternoon to face the Titans. Winners of 3 in a row and holding the much coveted 8th position on the ladder –they won’t go quietly. In fact, credit must go to the Gold Coast after on field performances early in the season were almost as painful as their financial dramas.
They’ve recovered from both problems to be a player in this year’s Premiership and the bunnies will be a huge test to see how far they’ve come. Not far enough. The Rabbitohs travel outside of Sydney for the first time in 6 weeks but have a system strong enough to handle the challenge. The likes of Burgess and Taylor running into Myles and Douglas will make for great entertainment.
My tip: South Sydney 26-16

Wests Tigers v Parramatta Eels
We acknowledge that this match is being held on the traditional lands of The Dharawal People, and pay our respect to elders both past and present.
Round 22 comes to a close with a Monday Night showdown at Campbelltown Stadium. A few weeks ago, this battle of the west would have been an easy tip but unfortunately for Tigers fans, things have changed. The Tigers have had an emotional season; A 5 match losing streak, followed by a 7 match winning streak and now the doldrums again. They must be exhausted.
The Eels, by contrast and by miracle, have found their mojo and whilst some wonder where this form has been, fans of Nathan Hindmarsh are thankful. What a travesty of justice it would have been for Hindy to go out as part of a shameful football team. Rather, the Nathan Hindmarsh Farewell Tour will roll out of Campbelltown triumphantly as the Tigers still can’t find a way out of their hole.
My tip: Parramatta 25-18



For live updates throughout the weekend, go to http://leagueunlimited.com/

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