Canterbury v South Sydney
Star South Sydney hooker Isaac Luke makes an early return from injury to face serial pest Mick Ennis in just one example of a number of exciting matchups on Friday night. Josh Morris v Beau Champion will definitely be another and Ben Hannant v Sam Burgess is probably my personal favourite. The two teams line up well but it is South Sydney with everything to play for and in much, much better form.
Scoring 28 second half points against a heralded Warriors defence last week is one reason to tip them and the other reasons probably don't matter. The Bulldogs might not be up to this and if last week's opening defensive set of six against Parramatta is anything to go by, they are in trouble. John Sutton dominates the game and is too big and strong for a Canterbury team already planning its Mad Monday celebrations at the Three Swallows in Bankstown.
My Man of the Match Prediction: John Sutton
My tip: South Sydney 30-12
Result: Canterbury 32-12
Man of the Match: Brett Kimmorley
Snap Review:
The Bunnies are either hitting a wall or have fallen apart all together. The Dogs were methodical.
Penrith v North Queensland
Playing at home on a Friday night against possibly the worst team in 1st grade, their halfback coming back from injury and Luke Lewis named to start??..... No excuses for the Penrith Panthers will everything in their favour against the Cowboys at CUA. If the mountain men lose this one I will head out to Penrith Whitewater Stadium and swim the rafting course wearing nothing but my old footy shorts, circa 1992.
Having now lost anyone reading this preview, let me be bold in the following prediction and say that Petero Civoniceva will personally do whatever it takes to ensure a Penrith win and is well supported by Lewis and Trent Waterhouse. Last week's loss against Melbourne could be blamed on poor handling and poor decision making from the Penrith backline and you can bet Petero has told them all about it.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Petero Civoneceva
My tip: Panthers 28-18
Result: Panthers 24-16
Man of the Match: Luke Lewis
Snap Review:
Lewis make a massive difference but Penrith have proven nothing here. They are still a step away from being a premiership threat.
Parramatta v Sydney Roosters
Planes? Perhaps. Trains? Apparently not anymore. Automobiles? Plenty of parking at Parra stadium for this blockbuster on Saturday. Curiously scheduled for the dreaded 5.30pm time slot on Saturday, this could turn into a screamer with both teams charging towards the playoffs and on all sorts of winning streaks. The Eels favoured mid week at $1.50 but this will be close and very physical.
With Anthony Minichiello in his best form since 2005 and the Todd Carney experiment a ridiculous success, the Roosters will head out west brimming with confidence and will play as such. This will be the biggest test for Parramatta's impressive defence and one that they will not pass. The Roosters forwards once again play above themselves and pound the home side into submission. Pearce and Carney completely outplay Mortimer and Robson.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Nate Myles
My tip: Roosters 20-18
Result: Roosters 48-12
Man of the Match: Todd Carney
Snap Review:
This is was lethal performance from the Roosters and one that should change the mind of every Parramatta fan that Hayne can do it all by himself.
Wests Tigers v Cronulla
With the Tigers fresh off their first loss in a month, they are understandably listed at $1.22 to bounce back and win this one and with the return of Gareth Ellis, should win comfortably. What's more important in this match will be how the Tigers forwards respond to mid week criticism after being thumped off the park by Anthony Watmough and his fellow Eagles last week. Robbie Farah will also be out to prove his toughness.
This means fireworks and who better to come up against when you are looking for a fight than the always willing Cronulla Sharks. Through all of their recent struggles, Paul Gallen and the rest of the forward pack from south of Tom Ugly's bridge has never been labelled soft and in fact, looked more willing at times last week than they have in ages. Point being that I'm obviously hoping for some biff here because the Tigers should win easily so perhaps I'm reaching but maybe..... just maybe, the natives might get restless.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Benji Marshall
My tip: Tigers 34-18
Result: Tigers 24-22
Man of the Match: Liam Fulton
Snap Review:
One of those games that don't mean much to the Tigers. They are a generation Y football team that only put in when they have to.
NZ Warriors v Gold Coast
Match of the round for mine. The Titans showed plenty of ticker to drown the Dragons last week and this kind of mentality will go along way to getting them a win against New Zealand on Sunday. To maintain the rage though, they will need another herculean performance from Luke Bailey and definitely more points from a sputtering attack averaging just 12 points a game over the past month. It is possible.
Not probable though as the Warriors spirited defence will make this even harder and the form of James Maloney getting even better. Maloney, and in fact the entire NZ squad, have been the story of season 2010 with many predicting a wooden spoon finish and having been plagued by injury for large parts of the season. This impressive resurgence continues, as will the hilarious one-eyed form of the home town commentary team from Mt Smart Stadium. Enjoy.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Brent Tate
My tip: Warriors 20-8
Result: Titans 28-20
Man of the Match: Mat Rogers
Snap Review:
Amazing result, in my mind. The Titans are hitting some form at the right end of the season after looking very shaky. Beaten the Dragons and Warriors away. Nice.
Melbourne v Canberra
It's beginning to get difficult to write about the Melbourne Storm. We all had our opinions when the news broke earlier this year, but they are still playing football with the same team and getting paid the same money. It seems like too much effort to talk about how they are about to rob the young Canberra Raiders of their semi final dreams and make another mockery of the NRL administration. I've never been a fan of too much effort.
So instead, I implore Brett White to do everything in his power to help the Raiders leave AAMI stadium with the two points. Brett: this can only be an investment for you. Help them win, drop the ball, miss a few tackles and give away some penalties late in the tackle count. Get them to the finals and when you head to Canberra next year, the place will be pulsating with positivity and this can only rub off on you and then... success is inevitable.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Brett White
My tip: Canberra 21-20
Result: Melbourne 36-12
Man of the Match: Billy Slater
Snap Review:
Bitterly disappointing for Raiders fans. Bitterly disappointing for Storm fans. Why is this still going on?
Brisbane v St George Illawarra
Always a good game of footy and always brutal. Let's hope Sunday's match from Suncorp Stadium will be another great chapter in this 22 year old story. The young Broncos would have been shocked by their loss to the Roosters last Monday night and are again fighting for their place in the semi finals. This kind of desperation can get them home against the Dragons.
And it will. As always, there are theories going around about St George Illawarra's ability to lift for big games and their ability to beat teams who do not cough up easy possession. I subscribe to this theory and so will the Broncos. Led by Sam Thaiday, they aim up, do a bit of bashing in the opening 15 minutes and the rest is history as Thaiday looks for Ben Creagh and finds him often. Saints begin the downward spiral and their fans prepare for the inevitable.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Israel Folau
My tip: Brisbane 18-8
Result: Brisbane 10-6
Man of the Match: Darren Lockyer
Snap Review:
The Broncos have too much experience on the park and are healthy. They never let the Dragons dominate and sent a warning to them for later in the year I think.
Newcastle v Manly
Ordinarily, one might consider tipping an upset here as a few things might fall into place for the Knights. They are at home and will be heavy underdogs playing against a Manly team coming off an emotional win last week; a good recipe for an unlikely victory. Unfortunately for Newcastle the only thing ordinary about this match are their chances of winning and the only recipe will be one for humble pie.
So take a big bight, my very good friends from the Hunter, and here's hoping your season ends quickly. The Manly forward pack out muscle the Knights though Jason King and Anthony Watmough and then Jamie Lyon takes over as the Eagles win their third in a row. Kurt Gidley as always will put up a spirited performance, this time at halfback; and the matchup between Adam MacDougall and Steve Matai will be entertaining but the Eagles too good in the end.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Shane Rodney
My tip: Manly 30-14
Result: Newcastle 32-14
Man of the Match: Akuila Uate
Snap Review:
That Humble Pie tasted great - thanks for asking. Credit to the Knights and their fans.
For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
Wednesday, July 28, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Paully's Picks Round 20
Canterbury v Parramatta
With the official NRL Rivalry Round behind us for season 2010, this must be a bonus. Arguably the strongest current rivalry in the NRL considering last year’s semi final meeting between these two giants, the Dogs v Eels will again be much anticipated and will no doubt deliver. Considering the momentum the Eels have at the moment, their fans will ensure the atmosphere is brooding with excitement.
Here’s hoping Jamal Idris is given time in the centres in this match to give us an opportunity to witness round 2 between the Bulldogs’ phenom and his old rival, Timana Tahu. Hard to be too concerned with the result here as another chapter in this great rivalry is etched in the records, but Parramatta are deserved favourites and should get the cookies. Ben Hannant v Fui Fui Moi Moi just another highlight in this blockbuster.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Fui Fui Moi Moi
My tip: Parramatta 26-14
Result: Parramatta 32-16
Man of the Match: Jarryd Hayne
Snap Review:
Dogs' season of ill-conceived confidence is over. The Eels heading towards another semi final run.
St George Illawarra v Gold Coast
The Titans are hitting a familiar rough stretch of the season as they seemingly limp towards the finals. The injury bug has officially struck with Greg Bird missing the next month and fellow representative player Ashley Harrison out. Depth will be tested once again but a risky replacement in Steve Michaels will not inspire confidence in Titans fans and they would be nervous heading into Friday night.
Former Bronco Michaels takes over from Mat Rogers at left centre and anyone with a memory of Michaels from last year will remember his defence. The Dragons will no doubt bear this in mind and target him through Beau Scott and Mark Gasnier for the full 80 minutes. The visitors are in the middle of a slump and could be in for a long night here.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Creagh
My tip: St George Illawarra 25-6
Result: Titans 11-10
Man of the Match: Luke Bailey
Snap Review:
Just as the Eels realise September form is the only form that counts, the Dragons continue to struggle during the business end. Red V fans beware.
Canberra v Cronulla
The Canberra Raiders can sniff the top 8 right now and would be desperate to grab two points from perennial easy beats, the Cronulla Sharks. Some would suggest a danger game for the Raiders as history has taught us not to underestimate a club in turmoil and a club with a brand new voice at the helm. Players do respond to this and the Sharks could not get worse than last week, could they?
No. They will play with pride and commitment as always but it aint gonna matter. The home town Raiders should start with their usual physicality through the ruck and go on to score enough points to beat a spirited Cronulla outfit. By spirited I mean angry… by angry I mean with a point to prove… and by that I mean a predicted biff between… perhaps…. Paul Gallen and David Shillington? Here’s hoping.
My Man of the Match Prediction: David Shillington
My tip: Canberra 28-20
Result: Canberra 20-13
Man of the Match: Bronson Harrison
Snap Review:
The Raiders had to fight hard for this win - make no mistake,. It outsthem in good stead to mae a run for the 8. Sharks looked good but their attack still needs some juice.
Melbourne v Penrith
Anyone’s guess. The Panthers have lost 2 straight since their big win over the Dragons at Kogarah and will be desperate to right the ship. Can Melbourne match this desperation? It gets harder each week to pick the Storm as they are not scoring a bunch of points anymore. The free thinking approach to throwing the football around in attack has faded. Their motivation is waning and their purpose invisible.
They will turn up though and tackle their hearts out but Petero Civoniceva and the Panthers pack should have enough to win this one. The battle between Luke Walsh’s kicking game v Billy Slater’s positional play should be a highlight and Michael Jennings will be a highlight unto himself, as always. He faces Chase Stanley in a matchup the Panthers will hope to expose. They do.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Lachlan Coote
My tip: Penrith 26-18
Result: Melbourne 18-10
Man of the Match: Cameron Smith
Snap Review:
The Panthers missing Luke Walsh were probably never a chance to score enough points to beat the Storm. Jennings had a horrible night with his hands and this did not help.
North Queensland v Newcastle
Somehow, whilst playing as bad as they have been, the Cowboys still provide hope that they will play an entertaining brand of football. This hope is all that the lovely people of Townsville will have apart from wishing for a quick and painless end to this abominable season. Speaking of which, they face the Knights on Saturday night in a match destined for Fox Sports’ 9.30pm time slot.
Completion rates will be low, errors high, tries soft and Luke O’Donnell angry in this one as the competition’s cellar dwellers play for pride and not much else. The Cowboys forwards seem to have a little more firepower and that should be enough to give Jonathan Thurston space to work some magic. He does so by linking up nicely with the increasingly impressive Arana Taumata and old mate Matt Bowen.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Jonathan Thurston
My tip: North Queensland 30-20
Result: North Queensland 28-24
Man of the Match: Willie Tonga
Snap Review:
Tonga scored a try and delivered the match winner to Will Tupou. Otherwise not an inspiring match but Gidley was a pleasure to watch. Never gives up.
South Sydney v NZ Warriors
The Warriors have been defending magnificently in recent weeks and deserve their position sitting 5th on the ladder. The Rabbitohs, some would argue, do not deserve to be sitting outside the top 8 having been victims of some questionable refereeing of late. This is only a factor here if you believe in conspiracy theories. It would not surprise most critics if South Sydney were suddenly on the positive side of 50/50 calls.
Either way, we are predicting the Rabbitohs end an impressive run of victories for the visitors and through the power of their all Queensland back row, win handsomely. The Warriors confidence will be high but the Bunnies come home stronger with John Sutton and Sam Burgess leading the way. Watching Dave Taylor run amok in this one will be worth the price of admission.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Sam Burgess
My tip: South Sydney 30-16
Result: South Sydney 38-28
Man of the Match: Chris Sandow
Snap Review:
Warriors tired from a big month. Souths have real injury concerns heading into the business end.
Manly v Wests
Match of the round for mine. The Tigers are on a roll and as usual, are the most entertaining team to watch in the NRL. If Robert Lui actually starts at halfback this week, they will be even more lethal. Manly have found their form again after destroying the Sharks and have also found their mongrel. This all adds up to a bottler at Bluetongue on Sunday afternoon.
We are predicting the Monday night curse hits the Tigers and they have trouble matching the Eagles forwards in a physical, and hopefully spiteful, encounter. This battle of the ruck will be a highlight but Manly hit their peak in this game and do enough damage early to hold off the tired Tigers. Lote Tuqiri v Tony Williams should shake the very foundations. Enjoy.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Steve Matai
My tip: Manly 27-20
Result: Manly 38-20
Man of the Match: Kieran Foran
Snap Review:
Foran's kicking game was exceptional. This game was also - very entertaining for the central coast. Bring back the Bears.
Brisbane v Eastern Suburbs
Judging by recent performances, the Roosters’ halves combination of Mitchell Pearce and Todd Carney could be the best in the land. Pearce has been leading this team around the park nicely and Carney is showing more and more every week; his array of skills seems to be endless. On top of their individual talents, they have developed a good understanding and most importantly are winning football games.
The true test, my dear friends, comes on Monday Night at Suncorp Stadium as the up-and-coming Roosters duo face the greatest player of this generation in a tantalising matchup of the NRL’s finest. Darren Lockyer awaits. Win or lose, the Australian captain will teach these young bulls a thing or two but we are predicting the lesson is a harsh one for the boys from Bondi. Broncos in a close one.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Sam Thaiday
My tip: Brisbane 24-18
Result: Roosters 34-30
Man of the Match: Todd Carney
Snap Review:
You have to feel bad for the Raiders. This Carney kid is born again and the Raiders gave nothing to show for it.
For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
With the official NRL Rivalry Round behind us for season 2010, this must be a bonus. Arguably the strongest current rivalry in the NRL considering last year’s semi final meeting between these two giants, the Dogs v Eels will again be much anticipated and will no doubt deliver. Considering the momentum the Eels have at the moment, their fans will ensure the atmosphere is brooding with excitement.
Here’s hoping Jamal Idris is given time in the centres in this match to give us an opportunity to witness round 2 between the Bulldogs’ phenom and his old rival, Timana Tahu. Hard to be too concerned with the result here as another chapter in this great rivalry is etched in the records, but Parramatta are deserved favourites and should get the cookies. Ben Hannant v Fui Fui Moi Moi just another highlight in this blockbuster.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Fui Fui Moi Moi
My tip: Parramatta 26-14
Result: Parramatta 32-16
Man of the Match: Jarryd Hayne
Snap Review:
Dogs' season of ill-conceived confidence is over. The Eels heading towards another semi final run.
St George Illawarra v Gold Coast
The Titans are hitting a familiar rough stretch of the season as they seemingly limp towards the finals. The injury bug has officially struck with Greg Bird missing the next month and fellow representative player Ashley Harrison out. Depth will be tested once again but a risky replacement in Steve Michaels will not inspire confidence in Titans fans and they would be nervous heading into Friday night.
Former Bronco Michaels takes over from Mat Rogers at left centre and anyone with a memory of Michaels from last year will remember his defence. The Dragons will no doubt bear this in mind and target him through Beau Scott and Mark Gasnier for the full 80 minutes. The visitors are in the middle of a slump and could be in for a long night here.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Creagh
My tip: St George Illawarra 25-6
Result: Titans 11-10
Man of the Match: Luke Bailey
Snap Review:
Just as the Eels realise September form is the only form that counts, the Dragons continue to struggle during the business end. Red V fans beware.
Canberra v Cronulla
The Canberra Raiders can sniff the top 8 right now and would be desperate to grab two points from perennial easy beats, the Cronulla Sharks. Some would suggest a danger game for the Raiders as history has taught us not to underestimate a club in turmoil and a club with a brand new voice at the helm. Players do respond to this and the Sharks could not get worse than last week, could they?
No. They will play with pride and commitment as always but it aint gonna matter. The home town Raiders should start with their usual physicality through the ruck and go on to score enough points to beat a spirited Cronulla outfit. By spirited I mean angry… by angry I mean with a point to prove… and by that I mean a predicted biff between… perhaps…. Paul Gallen and David Shillington? Here’s hoping.
My Man of the Match Prediction: David Shillington
My tip: Canberra 28-20
Result: Canberra 20-13
Man of the Match: Bronson Harrison
Snap Review:
The Raiders had to fight hard for this win - make no mistake,. It outsthem in good stead to mae a run for the 8. Sharks looked good but their attack still needs some juice.
Melbourne v Penrith
Anyone’s guess. The Panthers have lost 2 straight since their big win over the Dragons at Kogarah and will be desperate to right the ship. Can Melbourne match this desperation? It gets harder each week to pick the Storm as they are not scoring a bunch of points anymore. The free thinking approach to throwing the football around in attack has faded. Their motivation is waning and their purpose invisible.
They will turn up though and tackle their hearts out but Petero Civoniceva and the Panthers pack should have enough to win this one. The battle between Luke Walsh’s kicking game v Billy Slater’s positional play should be a highlight and Michael Jennings will be a highlight unto himself, as always. He faces Chase Stanley in a matchup the Panthers will hope to expose. They do.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Lachlan Coote
My tip: Penrith 26-18
Result: Melbourne 18-10
Man of the Match: Cameron Smith
Snap Review:
The Panthers missing Luke Walsh were probably never a chance to score enough points to beat the Storm. Jennings had a horrible night with his hands and this did not help.
North Queensland v Newcastle
Somehow, whilst playing as bad as they have been, the Cowboys still provide hope that they will play an entertaining brand of football. This hope is all that the lovely people of Townsville will have apart from wishing for a quick and painless end to this abominable season. Speaking of which, they face the Knights on Saturday night in a match destined for Fox Sports’ 9.30pm time slot.
Completion rates will be low, errors high, tries soft and Luke O’Donnell angry in this one as the competition’s cellar dwellers play for pride and not much else. The Cowboys forwards seem to have a little more firepower and that should be enough to give Jonathan Thurston space to work some magic. He does so by linking up nicely with the increasingly impressive Arana Taumata and old mate Matt Bowen.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Jonathan Thurston
My tip: North Queensland 30-20
Result: North Queensland 28-24
Man of the Match: Willie Tonga
Snap Review:
Tonga scored a try and delivered the match winner to Will Tupou. Otherwise not an inspiring match but Gidley was a pleasure to watch. Never gives up.
South Sydney v NZ Warriors
The Warriors have been defending magnificently in recent weeks and deserve their position sitting 5th on the ladder. The Rabbitohs, some would argue, do not deserve to be sitting outside the top 8 having been victims of some questionable refereeing of late. This is only a factor here if you believe in conspiracy theories. It would not surprise most critics if South Sydney were suddenly on the positive side of 50/50 calls.
Either way, we are predicting the Rabbitohs end an impressive run of victories for the visitors and through the power of their all Queensland back row, win handsomely. The Warriors confidence will be high but the Bunnies come home stronger with John Sutton and Sam Burgess leading the way. Watching Dave Taylor run amok in this one will be worth the price of admission.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Sam Burgess
My tip: South Sydney 30-16
Result: South Sydney 38-28
Man of the Match: Chris Sandow
Snap Review:
Warriors tired from a big month. Souths have real injury concerns heading into the business end.
Manly v Wests
Match of the round for mine. The Tigers are on a roll and as usual, are the most entertaining team to watch in the NRL. If Robert Lui actually starts at halfback this week, they will be even more lethal. Manly have found their form again after destroying the Sharks and have also found their mongrel. This all adds up to a bottler at Bluetongue on Sunday afternoon.
We are predicting the Monday night curse hits the Tigers and they have trouble matching the Eagles forwards in a physical, and hopefully spiteful, encounter. This battle of the ruck will be a highlight but Manly hit their peak in this game and do enough damage early to hold off the tired Tigers. Lote Tuqiri v Tony Williams should shake the very foundations. Enjoy.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Steve Matai
My tip: Manly 27-20
Result: Manly 38-20
Man of the Match: Kieran Foran
Snap Review:
Foran's kicking game was exceptional. This game was also - very entertaining for the central coast. Bring back the Bears.
Brisbane v Eastern Suburbs
Judging by recent performances, the Roosters’ halves combination of Mitchell Pearce and Todd Carney could be the best in the land. Pearce has been leading this team around the park nicely and Carney is showing more and more every week; his array of skills seems to be endless. On top of their individual talents, they have developed a good understanding and most importantly are winning football games.
The true test, my dear friends, comes on Monday Night at Suncorp Stadium as the up-and-coming Roosters duo face the greatest player of this generation in a tantalising matchup of the NRL’s finest. Darren Lockyer awaits. Win or lose, the Australian captain will teach these young bulls a thing or two but we are predicting the lesson is a harsh one for the boys from Bondi. Broncos in a close one.
My Man of the Match Prediction: Sam Thaiday
My tip: Brisbane 24-18
Result: Roosters 34-30
Man of the Match: Todd Carney
Snap Review:
You have to feel bad for the Raiders. This Carney kid is born again and the Raiders gave nothing to show for it.
For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
Monday, July 19, 2010
A Rugby League Representative Calender - my wish list.
I recently read an old Andrew Voss column in Big League where he talks of extending the season and playing rep games mid week culminating in test series after origin. It has merit. Sean Fagan also posted this article as his opinion of how the rep calender should look.
If I was to have my say......
Id like to include a bigger representative 'month' that showcases international rugby league, as well as highlighting the NRL and uses this break to play the origin series over 3 consecutive Monday Nights. Similar to soccer's approach to World Cup qualifying, or the NBA's approach to its mid year 'All Star' match. The competition proper simply shuts down and to avoid having a too many players with 3/4 weeks off - we incorporate some more games into a celebration of league including some old traditions and some new, successful initiatives.
This suggestion also responds to the issue of a season too long and subsequent meaningless matches at the beginning of the year. Many league supporters know that teams only need to start winning around July to make the top 8 and this takes away from some performances in early rounds. Shorten the season and every match will mean something - bigger crowds will come.
So - to my suggestion....
week 1
Friday Night - Tonga v Samoa
What a spectacle in 2009 during the Rugby League World Cup!! A passionate game of football attended by a huge crowd at Penrith's CUA stadium. This was an instant success.
Saturday Night - City v Country
Play this game as a genuine showpiece of young talent in the NRL, but also use it to gauge players' performance against the best in NSW. This still makes it an origin trial - but for future series.
Monday Night - Origin 1
week 2
Friday Night - Indigenous All Stars v New Zealand.
This gives both teams more time together as preparation for their respective 'other' matches. The Indigenous team now have the February All-Star' game as a highlight, and NZ will use this match as a warm up to a possible post origin series (or one off test) or end of year tri nations, which probably should be held every 2 or 3 years - not every year. Admitteldy, the Indigenous team would be missing troops on origin duty, but this puts more onus on development. A great opportunity for young talent to learn at a higher level and a good earner for a worthy charity. This match could also be moved to Saturday or Sunday to accommodate for the large number of interstate and rural league fans in attendance.
Saturday Day/Night - Rugby League 7s tournament.
With a number of players who could be 'on holidays' during this month, include them in the 7s and bring back an entertaining concept. Marketed well, this could be a highlight.
Monday Night- Origin 2
Week 3
Saturday night - NSW v QLD under 20s... with a Junior Rep Grand Final curtain raiser where Flegg and SG Ball Grand Finals are played.
This will add to the Rugby League "expo" approach and double as a scouting extravaganza for all clubs.
Sunday - Papua New Guinea v Australian Pri-Ministers 13
PNG are obviously mad for their footy and this game could be part of the rep calender, rather than at year's end. If played in PNG, the local fans might miss out on seeing some of the NRL's best, but this is not too far from current strategy.
Monday night - Origin 3
Following weekend - full round of matches.
This addresses the issues of player fatigue, players missing from games through rep duty and removes the need for byes as we would shorten the season by a couple of weeks. It also markets the jewel in the rugby league crown (SOO) as a stand alone event surrounded by a carnival of other league matches.
If I was to have my say......
Id like to include a bigger representative 'month' that showcases international rugby league, as well as highlighting the NRL and uses this break to play the origin series over 3 consecutive Monday Nights. Similar to soccer's approach to World Cup qualifying, or the NBA's approach to its mid year 'All Star' match. The competition proper simply shuts down and to avoid having a too many players with 3/4 weeks off - we incorporate some more games into a celebration of league including some old traditions and some new, successful initiatives.
This suggestion also responds to the issue of a season too long and subsequent meaningless matches at the beginning of the year. Many league supporters know that teams only need to start winning around July to make the top 8 and this takes away from some performances in early rounds. Shorten the season and every match will mean something - bigger crowds will come.
So - to my suggestion....
week 1
Friday Night - Tonga v Samoa
What a spectacle in 2009 during the Rugby League World Cup!! A passionate game of football attended by a huge crowd at Penrith's CUA stadium. This was an instant success.
Saturday Night - City v Country
Play this game as a genuine showpiece of young talent in the NRL, but also use it to gauge players' performance against the best in NSW. This still makes it an origin trial - but for future series.
Monday Night - Origin 1
week 2
Friday Night - Indigenous All Stars v New Zealand.
This gives both teams more time together as preparation for their respective 'other' matches. The Indigenous team now have the February All-Star' game as a highlight, and NZ will use this match as a warm up to a possible post origin series (or one off test) or end of year tri nations, which probably should be held every 2 or 3 years - not every year. Admitteldy, the Indigenous team would be missing troops on origin duty, but this puts more onus on development. A great opportunity for young talent to learn at a higher level and a good earner for a worthy charity. This match could also be moved to Saturday or Sunday to accommodate for the large number of interstate and rural league fans in attendance.
Saturday Day/Night - Rugby League 7s tournament.
With a number of players who could be 'on holidays' during this month, include them in the 7s and bring back an entertaining concept. Marketed well, this could be a highlight.
Monday Night- Origin 2
Week 3
Saturday night - NSW v QLD under 20s... with a Junior Rep Grand Final curtain raiser where Flegg and SG Ball Grand Finals are played.
This will add to the Rugby League "expo" approach and double as a scouting extravaganza for all clubs.
Sunday - Papua New Guinea v Australian Pri-Ministers 13
PNG are obviously mad for their footy and this game could be part of the rep calender, rather than at year's end. If played in PNG, the local fans might miss out on seeing some of the NRL's best, but this is not too far from current strategy.
Monday night - Origin 3
Following weekend - full round of matches.
This addresses the issues of player fatigue, players missing from games through rep duty and removes the need for byes as we would shorten the season by a couple of weeks. It also markets the jewel in the rugby league crown (SOO) as a stand alone event surrounded by a carnival of other league matches.
Thursday, July 15, 2010
Paully's Picks Round 19
Gold Coast v Brisbane
Always a tough matchup and one that the Titans have never lost when hosting their big brothers from Brisbane. Same again here as Scott Prince is better for his hobbled run at Campbelltown last week, Prince will lead his team nicely around the green pastures of his home ground. What a battle this shapes up to be though, especially with the class of back rowers on display through the likes of Harrison, Thaiday and Parker.
We see this match being won or lost with discipline as the talent is spread quite even and form seems to favour the Broncos slightly, but not enough for mine. Ball security and field position the key here (as it often is) and the Titans win this battle of attrition through the leadership of Prince and some outstanding play from Greg Bird. Mat Rogers v Israel Folau a highlight as the Titans veteran faces a millionaire 13 years his junior.
Man of the Match Prediction: Greg Bird
Tip: Titans 25-18
Result: Broncos 24-10
Man of the Match: Josh Hoffman
Snap Review:
The Broncos defence was outstanding and sends a clear message that they are fresh, have a perfect blend of youth and experience and are making their run.
South Sydney v St George Illawarra
The more League changes, the more she stays the same. I remember many moons ago, looking forward to the official season opener between these clubs as they would face off in the annual Charity Shield pre-season match. This fixture would always erupt into at least 2 or 3 brawls until a few years ago when the feeling was lost and coaches started treating it like an actual pre-season match; which despite its scheduling was never considered as such.
Suddenly, we are seeing a return to these days of the knuckle as Origin seems to have given a few players the itch that every league fan wants them to scratch. We plead to all Souths and Saints players to scratch that itch on Friday night - you know you want to. We are predicting a bit of niggle anyway here as Souths fight for pride against the competition leading Dragons. Burgess, Taylor and Ben Lowe will not be pushed around and the winner of this battle in the forwards will win the match. Saints' too good in the end.
Man of the Match Prediction: Darius Boyd
Tip: St George Illawarra 18-10
Result: Dragons 16-13
Man of the Match: Darius Boyd
Snap Review:
The bunnies are filthy at this one and we'll see how they react. John Sutton and Chris Sandow outplayed by the dragons experience and patience.
NZ Warriors v Melbourne
The Warriors performance last week should be heralded as one of club greatest victories since their establishment in 1995. They were down on troops to begin with and under a ridiculous amount of pressure late in the game. Why is this important now? They must be exhausted. Physical and mental fatigue has undone many a favourite in the NRL this year and the visiting Melbourne Storm will be a difficult test of the Warriors resolve.
A test they will pass impressively, if the team named midweek actually takes the field. Specifically, if Brett Seymour plays and Brent Tate can return early from a shattered jaw, anything is possible at Mt Smart Stadium on Saturday night. Add Lance Hohaia's name to this list and the home side will be brimming with confidence, especially in their defence. Oh yes... I nearly forgot about the Storm. Why even make the trip over? What motivates them now? Warriors continue their good form.
Man of the Match Prediction: James Maloney
Tip: Warriors 18-16
Result: Warriors 13-6
Man of the Match: James Maloney
Snap Review:
Thats 2 from 3 MOM selections correct. I'm using the leagueunlimited.com Man of the Match opinions as my guide as official Dally M scoring is no longer published. Warriors on their way to hopefully a home semi final which will make for great TV.
Cronulla v Manly
Forgetting form for a moment, we have two clubs who traditionally hate each other and will exhibit this hatred on the field on Saturday night. True that Manly desperately need a win to right their season and true that the Sharks can possibly pull off an upset, but if Manly lose to the Raiders and Sharks in consecutive weeks the insular peninsula might actually break away from the mainland and float away with shock and dismay.
Not to put too fine a dramatic point on it, but here's hoping this type of natural disaster does not occur to the lovely people of Sydney's north but the tectonic plates of pressure sit squarely on the shoulders of Des Hasler’s young halves. As often mentioned on this blog, Trent Hodkinson and Kieran Foran are the key to any Manly success but are now struggling with the week to week grind of the NRL. Time to suck it up and earn your crust boys.
Man of the Match Prediction: Glenn Stewart
Tip: Manly 30-14
Result: Manly 48-18
Man of the Match: Anthony Watmough
Snap Review:
Horrible. A complete carve up from a motivated Eagles team. The halves combo at the Sharks was always going to be a problem. Tim Smith had been dropped already and TB injured. They never had a chance.
Penrith v Parramatta
Difficult to tell whether Parramatta have broken free of the shackles of mediocrity and if they actually did play well to beat the Cowboys last Monday, or were the Cowboys just horrible? Before you answer that, allow me to suggest that the answer is irrelevant because Parramatta now have reason to play with confidence which should concern Matthew Elliott and his Penrith Panthers.
For some reason though, I dont think the Panthers will be concerned about the Eels. Rather they are probably working on their attack this week and will be determined not to lose two consecutive home games. This will get them home in the end as Michael Jennings toys with Joel Reddy and the Panthers defence does the rest. Match of the round for mine as these proud clubs meet for the 81st time and the west heats up again for this local derby.
Man of the Match Prediction: Michael Jennings
Tip: Penrith 24-18
Result: Parramatta 34-28
Man of the Match: Jarryd Hayne
Snap Review:
The Eels have been cruising along all year and this, rather than impressing me, just goes to show the season is too long. Teams can fiddle about until July and it does not matter. More on this in future blogs about rep season calenders and shortening the season. Parra look good though.
Canberra v Newcastle
Dear Prime Minister,
I write this open letter not as a member of any political party, nor as an person with any political leanings. My party is Rugby League, and my policies revolve around hitting big, hard and often. This is simply a letter of friendly advice to you, politely suggesting you attend the match between your Canberra Raiders and the visiting Newcastle Knights. If your assistant has read this far, I beg them to continue.
So far, in your very short tenure as leader of this great nation, I've seen you only in AFL colours, or Melbourne Storm colours. Not a good start. For you to successfully represent those of us who support the Greatest Game of All in its home north of the Murray, get to Canberra stadium on Sunday at 2pm. Support your Raiders. This will a) endear you to the blue collar supporters of league and b) endear (or perhaps alienate) you to the thousands of Newcastle fans tuning in who represent the mining industry in a way only Newcastle can. I don't need to stress the urgency any more than that.
Man of the Match Prediction: David Shillington
Tip: Canberra 30-22
Result: Canberra 52-18
Man of the Match: Josh Dugan
Snap Review:
The Raiders turned it on here - make no mistake. Difficult to say that the Knights played badly because they never had the ball. An outstanding display by the home side and once again - lets hope they can stick with this team for a while and no poaching occurs.
Eastern Suburbs v Canterbury
The Sydney Roosters are rolling along towards the semi finals in impressive fashion. Brian Smith has Todd Carney in his preferred position as five eighth and this move is reaping rewards thanks to Smith's patience. Playing against a resurgent Bulldogs squad who have won their past 3 with a tremendous new attitude in defence, it will be another test for the boys from Bondi, along with many others they've faced in a tough year.
They pass this one also, but only just. The Bulldogs pride will keep them close but the class of Mitchell Pearce and Carney will prevail in the end. We are predicting a furious battle as old rivals face off once again, this time the fury will appear in the form of Nate Myles who will have on eye on the football, and his other eye on Michael Ennis for 80 minutes. Fantastic.
Man of the Match Prediction: Nate Myles
Tip: Roosters 26-18
Result: Roosters 36-32
Man of the Match: Braith Anasta
Snap Review:
Some of the skills on display in this match were tremendous. Specifically from Pearce, Carney and Anasta. Todd Carney in particular has the ability to win matches single handedly and he did so here. The Roosters are motoring.
Wests v North Queensland
The Tigers at Leichardt on a Monday, against arguably the worst team in the competition this year and only at -8.5? Unbelievable. The last time I was shocked by a betting line this season, Newcastle upset the Titans at home which gives even further weight to my credentials as a tipster. Enough gambling talk though, this will be a good one for the Tigers to take a break from winning with discipline and defence and bring back the old Tigers who look to score a try from every set.
Doubtful whether Tim Sheens will allow this to happen but my fingers remain crossed. With Robert Lui named at halfback for the home side, Chris Lawrence moves back to centre to reunite with Lote Tuqiri as the most lethal combination in 1st grade. Keep an eye on the matchup on this side of the field with Arana Taumata for the Cowboys slowly making a name for himself. Wests too good in this one with Robbie Farah a standout.
Man of the Match Prediction: Robbie Farah
Tip: Tigers 34-14
Result: Tigers 26-16
Man of the Match: Lote Tuqiri
Snap Review:
Benji is back.
For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
Always a tough matchup and one that the Titans have never lost when hosting their big brothers from Brisbane. Same again here as Scott Prince is better for his hobbled run at Campbelltown last week, Prince will lead his team nicely around the green pastures of his home ground. What a battle this shapes up to be though, especially with the class of back rowers on display through the likes of Harrison, Thaiday and Parker.
We see this match being won or lost with discipline as the talent is spread quite even and form seems to favour the Broncos slightly, but not enough for mine. Ball security and field position the key here (as it often is) and the Titans win this battle of attrition through the leadership of Prince and some outstanding play from Greg Bird. Mat Rogers v Israel Folau a highlight as the Titans veteran faces a millionaire 13 years his junior.
Man of the Match Prediction: Greg Bird
Tip: Titans 25-18
Result: Broncos 24-10
Man of the Match: Josh Hoffman
Snap Review:
The Broncos defence was outstanding and sends a clear message that they are fresh, have a perfect blend of youth and experience and are making their run.
South Sydney v St George Illawarra
The more League changes, the more she stays the same. I remember many moons ago, looking forward to the official season opener between these clubs as they would face off in the annual Charity Shield pre-season match. This fixture would always erupt into at least 2 or 3 brawls until a few years ago when the feeling was lost and coaches started treating it like an actual pre-season match; which despite its scheduling was never considered as such.
Suddenly, we are seeing a return to these days of the knuckle as Origin seems to have given a few players the itch that every league fan wants them to scratch. We plead to all Souths and Saints players to scratch that itch on Friday night - you know you want to. We are predicting a bit of niggle anyway here as Souths fight for pride against the competition leading Dragons. Burgess, Taylor and Ben Lowe will not be pushed around and the winner of this battle in the forwards will win the match. Saints' too good in the end.
Man of the Match Prediction: Darius Boyd
Tip: St George Illawarra 18-10
Result: Dragons 16-13
Man of the Match: Darius Boyd
Snap Review:
The bunnies are filthy at this one and we'll see how they react. John Sutton and Chris Sandow outplayed by the dragons experience and patience.
NZ Warriors v Melbourne
The Warriors performance last week should be heralded as one of club greatest victories since their establishment in 1995. They were down on troops to begin with and under a ridiculous amount of pressure late in the game. Why is this important now? They must be exhausted. Physical and mental fatigue has undone many a favourite in the NRL this year and the visiting Melbourne Storm will be a difficult test of the Warriors resolve.
A test they will pass impressively, if the team named midweek actually takes the field. Specifically, if Brett Seymour plays and Brent Tate can return early from a shattered jaw, anything is possible at Mt Smart Stadium on Saturday night. Add Lance Hohaia's name to this list and the home side will be brimming with confidence, especially in their defence. Oh yes... I nearly forgot about the Storm. Why even make the trip over? What motivates them now? Warriors continue their good form.
Man of the Match Prediction: James Maloney
Tip: Warriors 18-16
Result: Warriors 13-6
Man of the Match: James Maloney
Snap Review:
Thats 2 from 3 MOM selections correct. I'm using the leagueunlimited.com Man of the Match opinions as my guide as official Dally M scoring is no longer published. Warriors on their way to hopefully a home semi final which will make for great TV.
Cronulla v Manly
Forgetting form for a moment, we have two clubs who traditionally hate each other and will exhibit this hatred on the field on Saturday night. True that Manly desperately need a win to right their season and true that the Sharks can possibly pull off an upset, but if Manly lose to the Raiders and Sharks in consecutive weeks the insular peninsula might actually break away from the mainland and float away with shock and dismay.
Not to put too fine a dramatic point on it, but here's hoping this type of natural disaster does not occur to the lovely people of Sydney's north but the tectonic plates of pressure sit squarely on the shoulders of Des Hasler’s young halves. As often mentioned on this blog, Trent Hodkinson and Kieran Foran are the key to any Manly success but are now struggling with the week to week grind of the NRL. Time to suck it up and earn your crust boys.
Man of the Match Prediction: Glenn Stewart
Tip: Manly 30-14
Result: Manly 48-18
Man of the Match: Anthony Watmough
Snap Review:
Horrible. A complete carve up from a motivated Eagles team. The halves combo at the Sharks was always going to be a problem. Tim Smith had been dropped already and TB injured. They never had a chance.
Penrith v Parramatta
Difficult to tell whether Parramatta have broken free of the shackles of mediocrity and if they actually did play well to beat the Cowboys last Monday, or were the Cowboys just horrible? Before you answer that, allow me to suggest that the answer is irrelevant because Parramatta now have reason to play with confidence which should concern Matthew Elliott and his Penrith Panthers.
For some reason though, I dont think the Panthers will be concerned about the Eels. Rather they are probably working on their attack this week and will be determined not to lose two consecutive home games. This will get them home in the end as Michael Jennings toys with Joel Reddy and the Panthers defence does the rest. Match of the round for mine as these proud clubs meet for the 81st time and the west heats up again for this local derby.
Man of the Match Prediction: Michael Jennings
Tip: Penrith 24-18
Result: Parramatta 34-28
Man of the Match: Jarryd Hayne
Snap Review:
The Eels have been cruising along all year and this, rather than impressing me, just goes to show the season is too long. Teams can fiddle about until July and it does not matter. More on this in future blogs about rep season calenders and shortening the season. Parra look good though.
Canberra v Newcastle
Dear Prime Minister,
I write this open letter not as a member of any political party, nor as an person with any political leanings. My party is Rugby League, and my policies revolve around hitting big, hard and often. This is simply a letter of friendly advice to you, politely suggesting you attend the match between your Canberra Raiders and the visiting Newcastle Knights. If your assistant has read this far, I beg them to continue.
So far, in your very short tenure as leader of this great nation, I've seen you only in AFL colours, or Melbourne Storm colours. Not a good start. For you to successfully represent those of us who support the Greatest Game of All in its home north of the Murray, get to Canberra stadium on Sunday at 2pm. Support your Raiders. This will a) endear you to the blue collar supporters of league and b) endear (or perhaps alienate) you to the thousands of Newcastle fans tuning in who represent the mining industry in a way only Newcastle can. I don't need to stress the urgency any more than that.
Man of the Match Prediction: David Shillington
Tip: Canberra 30-22
Result: Canberra 52-18
Man of the Match: Josh Dugan
Snap Review:
The Raiders turned it on here - make no mistake. Difficult to say that the Knights played badly because they never had the ball. An outstanding display by the home side and once again - lets hope they can stick with this team for a while and no poaching occurs.
Eastern Suburbs v Canterbury
The Sydney Roosters are rolling along towards the semi finals in impressive fashion. Brian Smith has Todd Carney in his preferred position as five eighth and this move is reaping rewards thanks to Smith's patience. Playing against a resurgent Bulldogs squad who have won their past 3 with a tremendous new attitude in defence, it will be another test for the boys from Bondi, along with many others they've faced in a tough year.
They pass this one also, but only just. The Bulldogs pride will keep them close but the class of Mitchell Pearce and Carney will prevail in the end. We are predicting a furious battle as old rivals face off once again, this time the fury will appear in the form of Nate Myles who will have on eye on the football, and his other eye on Michael Ennis for 80 minutes. Fantastic.
Man of the Match Prediction: Nate Myles
Tip: Roosters 26-18
Result: Roosters 36-32
Man of the Match: Braith Anasta
Snap Review:
Some of the skills on display in this match were tremendous. Specifically from Pearce, Carney and Anasta. Todd Carney in particular has the ability to win matches single handedly and he did so here. The Roosters are motoring.
Wests v North Queensland
The Tigers at Leichardt on a Monday, against arguably the worst team in the competition this year and only at -8.5? Unbelievable. The last time I was shocked by a betting line this season, Newcastle upset the Titans at home which gives even further weight to my credentials as a tipster. Enough gambling talk though, this will be a good one for the Tigers to take a break from winning with discipline and defence and bring back the old Tigers who look to score a try from every set.
Doubtful whether Tim Sheens will allow this to happen but my fingers remain crossed. With Robert Lui named at halfback for the home side, Chris Lawrence moves back to centre to reunite with Lote Tuqiri as the most lethal combination in 1st grade. Keep an eye on the matchup on this side of the field with Arana Taumata for the Cowboys slowly making a name for himself. Wests too good in this one with Robbie Farah a standout.
Man of the Match Prediction: Robbie Farah
Tip: Tigers 34-14
Result: Tigers 26-16
Man of the Match: Lote Tuqiri
Snap Review:
Benji is back.
For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
Thursday, July 8, 2010
Paully's Picks Round 18
Eastern Suburbs v South Sydney
There is more history in this rivalry than any other in the NRL. The Rabbits and the Roosters meet for the 201st time on Friday night and anyone with a sense of rugby league history will appreciate this but anyone in a tipping comp will not. The Roosters finally play a home game after 3 away games in Melbourne, Christchurch and Canberra respectively. Impressive that this young team was able to win 2 of the three and very unlucky not to have made it 3.
Will they be fatigued? Perhaps but the real question in this match will be answered by Beau Falloon who replaces the injured South's superstar Isaac Luke. Luke has been a major contributor this year and possibly the reason South Sydney currently sit 5th on the ladder. If Falloon can make the transition seamlessly and the Rabbitohs play close to their potential, they win. We think they enjoy the two weeks rest and dominate through the forwards.
Man of the Match Prediction: Sam Burgess
Tip: South Sydney 24-20
Result: Roosters 18-14
Man of the Match: Todd Carney
Snap Review:
Cracking game of footy and Souths were very unlucky after working hard for 80 minutes through their monster forward pack. But the Roosters improved as the game went on and this is usually a sign of experience. The Roosters are a young team and if they are showing sings of wisdom now, they could do anything.
Wests Tigers v Gold Coast
This match promises so much but will only deliver if both halfbacks actually do start. I implore Tim Sheens and John Cartwright to give the lovely people of Campbelltown the football exhibition they deserve and make Robert Lui and Scott Prince needle up as much as needed to take the field for their respective clubs. The Tigers played remarkably well to win without Lui last week and the Titans have not looked very good since Prince left the field against Canterbury 3 weeks ago.
So... they both play and it will be on. Match of the round for mine so tune in to watch the suddenly defensive minded Tigers host the disciplined Titans in a screamer. Benji Marshall and co will look to take advantage of the inexperienced right side defensive combination of Bodene Thompson and Will Zillman. This is where the home side will do the most damage and Chris Lawrence could combine with Lote Tuqiri to have a field day. A great matchup of hookers here in a must-watch game of pure football.
Man of the Match Prediction: Chris Lawrence
Tip: Tigers 26-18
Result: Tigers 15-14
Man of the Match: Robbie Farah
Snap Review:
That fight in the 58th minute was an absolute pleasure to watch. Two tough hookers going at it and its always good to see who takes the next hit up after eruptions of this sort. Credit to the Tigers pack for muscling up in this one.
Manly v Canberra
Honestly, if Manly lose this match they cannot possible be fairdinkum. The Eagles need this win for so many reasons but most importantly for the confidence of their young halves. Whilst steering the team to a good record and impressive 6th on the ladder, Trent Hodkinson and Kieran Foran have played with wisdom beyond their years but are looking tired lately. The NRL’s week to week grind does that to young footballers and Des Hasler would have expected it.
Manly can also expect to meet a committed Raiders squad at Brookvale on Saturday afternoon but should have too much class for them in the end. Hodkinson and Foran have not played in 15 days and will enjoy this rest to deliver a standout performance against a struggling Canberra team. The Raiders have a decent away record this year but their 2010 record of scoring points in the second half of games is almost indecent. Manly too good.
Man of the Match Prediction: Jamie Lyon
Tip: Manly 30-12
Result: Canberra 24-22
Man of the Match: Terry Campese
Snap Review:
Problems up in the insular peninsula. Full kudos to the boys from our nations capital but Manly have now put themselves under pressure. David Shillington is on his way to winning prop of the year awards and this is one of the reasons the Raiders keep winning away games. They just need a consistent halfback.
Canterbury v Melbourne
These days in the NRL the difference between winning and losing can be tiny. So small in fact that 1 defensive error can cost you a season and one positional change can alter the outcome of big games. On this occasion, a positional change could be the biggest difference. Greg Inglis will look up and rather than seeing Jamal Idris, he will see Shane Neumann and Tim Winitana.
If Inglis is recovered from Origin celebrations and Brett Finch gives him early ball, it could be a massacre but the dogs have started well two weeks in a row now and could put enough pressure on the Storm to snatch victory. For some reason they are $1.85 favourites but with the Melbourne defence still operating at a high level, the Bulldogs have it all to do. We predict they do very little and Melbourne's defence frustrates Barba and Kimmorley into error whilst Mick Ennis continues a week long sledging battle with Cameron Smith.
Man of the Match Prediction: Greg Inglis
Tip: Melbourne 24-12
Result: Canterbury 20-18
Man of the Match: Ben Hannant
Snap Review:
Dogs of War?... more like Dogs of Bore. They are grinding their way through the competition and have now won 3 in a row with this new attitude in defence. It's working but it looks horrible. Having said that some of their on-line defence against the storm was amazing. I take back everything I just said. The dogs look great.
Newcastle v Cronulla
We are at a stage in the season where some matches might not have much meaning as teams come to realise they are either a 'mathematical equation' to make the semi finals or no chance at all. I'm not sure in which category these two teams belong but I'm leaning towards the latter. It's been another difficult year for Ricky Stuart and I can only guess so because he always looks angry. The Knights have also had their troubles but both clubs seems to be improving lately.
More importantly, I can't believe Blake Ferguson has not signed for next year. He would be a great pickup for any club and his matchup against Akuila Uate in this match will be a definite highlight. Isaac De Gois faces his former teammates in another example of how I am reaching for reasons to make this game interesting. The Knights too good at home as Jarrod Mullen and Kurt Gidley prove that the cream most certainly rises to the top.
Man of the Match Prediction: Kurt Gidley
Tip: Newcastle 26-14
Result: Newcastle 21-10
Man of the Match: Kurt Gidley
Snap Review:
Kurt Gidley deserves so much more than being stripped of the NSW captaincy and having to put up with losing origin games. He also deserves an apology from all the 'experts' who said he should not even be in the origin team. Kurt backed up a standout performance in origin 3 with a masterful game here to lead his team to victory.
Penrith v NZ Warriors
Assuming that the Panthers have all of their origin players healthy, how can you tip against them at CUA stadium on a Sunday afternoon against the Warriors? $1.30 says you can't and as any readers will know by now, I rarely win an argument over the bookies. In fact I rarely win anything over the bookies and refuse to include the Warriors +9.5 in my multi this week. Downright refuse... I couldn’t possibly... you never know ... just maybe.... ok I’ll do it.
A lot to like about the Warriors form since they copped a thrashing at Campbelltown over a month ago and the Panthers have a few players backing up. Not to mention the lot of them backing up from a huge win over the Dragons on Monday night. However, this is not enough to call an upset of the week and I dont have the barrels for it anyway. Luke Walsh back from a week off leads the way and the Panthers win their 5th in a row.
Man of the Match Prediction: Lachlan Coote
Tip: Penrith 32-18
Result: NZ Warriors 12-6
Man of the Match: Jeroma Ropati
Snap Review:
If I was a Warriors fan, this would be one of those games you talk about to other Warriors fans in 5 or 10 years time, reminiscing about that day at Penrith when "we held em out for the whole second half". I hope NZ fans are celebrating this match as one of the greatest wins in their clubs history. Amazing.
Parramatta v North Queensland
Is it really an upset if the Cowboys get away with this one? Probably. The Cowboys seem to have severe internal strife tearing their season to shreds and winning this match would definitely surprise most punters based on that rumour. The Eels, meanwhile, have been defending gallantly in recent weeks (not including that horror 10 minutes v the Warriors) and will do so again here.
The question remains whether Daniel Mortimer and Jeff Robson can create more than 1 try between them. We say no but the Eels forward pack lifts for this one and it's enough to carry them home. Parramatta bounces back from a miserable 3 week stretch to claw home and salvage their season. Their pack and interchange bench is the difference in the end but if given enough space, Willie Tonga could do some damage and Thurston and Bowen are still capable of something.... but not on Monday night.
Man of the Match Prediction: Tim Mannah
Tip: Parramatta 18-12
Result: Parramatta 36-24
Man of the Match: Jarryd Hayne
Snap Review:
Tough to credit the Eels with saving their season entirely here. League fans will need more proof than simply beating a Cowboys team on the verge of collapsing into a disorganised heap. Must mention the play of Willie Mason though - outstanding.
For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
There is more history in this rivalry than any other in the NRL. The Rabbits and the Roosters meet for the 201st time on Friday night and anyone with a sense of rugby league history will appreciate this but anyone in a tipping comp will not. The Roosters finally play a home game after 3 away games in Melbourne, Christchurch and Canberra respectively. Impressive that this young team was able to win 2 of the three and very unlucky not to have made it 3.
Will they be fatigued? Perhaps but the real question in this match will be answered by Beau Falloon who replaces the injured South's superstar Isaac Luke. Luke has been a major contributor this year and possibly the reason South Sydney currently sit 5th on the ladder. If Falloon can make the transition seamlessly and the Rabbitohs play close to their potential, they win. We think they enjoy the two weeks rest and dominate through the forwards.
Man of the Match Prediction: Sam Burgess
Tip: South Sydney 24-20
Result: Roosters 18-14
Man of the Match: Todd Carney
Snap Review:
Cracking game of footy and Souths were very unlucky after working hard for 80 minutes through their monster forward pack. But the Roosters improved as the game went on and this is usually a sign of experience. The Roosters are a young team and if they are showing sings of wisdom now, they could do anything.
Wests Tigers v Gold Coast
This match promises so much but will only deliver if both halfbacks actually do start. I implore Tim Sheens and John Cartwright to give the lovely people of Campbelltown the football exhibition they deserve and make Robert Lui and Scott Prince needle up as much as needed to take the field for their respective clubs. The Tigers played remarkably well to win without Lui last week and the Titans have not looked very good since Prince left the field against Canterbury 3 weeks ago.
So... they both play and it will be on. Match of the round for mine so tune in to watch the suddenly defensive minded Tigers host the disciplined Titans in a screamer. Benji Marshall and co will look to take advantage of the inexperienced right side defensive combination of Bodene Thompson and Will Zillman. This is where the home side will do the most damage and Chris Lawrence could combine with Lote Tuqiri to have a field day. A great matchup of hookers here in a must-watch game of pure football.
Man of the Match Prediction: Chris Lawrence
Tip: Tigers 26-18
Result: Tigers 15-14
Man of the Match: Robbie Farah
Snap Review:
That fight in the 58th minute was an absolute pleasure to watch. Two tough hookers going at it and its always good to see who takes the next hit up after eruptions of this sort. Credit to the Tigers pack for muscling up in this one.
Manly v Canberra
Honestly, if Manly lose this match they cannot possible be fairdinkum. The Eagles need this win for so many reasons but most importantly for the confidence of their young halves. Whilst steering the team to a good record and impressive 6th on the ladder, Trent Hodkinson and Kieran Foran have played with wisdom beyond their years but are looking tired lately. The NRL’s week to week grind does that to young footballers and Des Hasler would have expected it.
Manly can also expect to meet a committed Raiders squad at Brookvale on Saturday afternoon but should have too much class for them in the end. Hodkinson and Foran have not played in 15 days and will enjoy this rest to deliver a standout performance against a struggling Canberra team. The Raiders have a decent away record this year but their 2010 record of scoring points in the second half of games is almost indecent. Manly too good.
Man of the Match Prediction: Jamie Lyon
Tip: Manly 30-12
Result: Canberra 24-22
Man of the Match: Terry Campese
Snap Review:
Problems up in the insular peninsula. Full kudos to the boys from our nations capital but Manly have now put themselves under pressure. David Shillington is on his way to winning prop of the year awards and this is one of the reasons the Raiders keep winning away games. They just need a consistent halfback.
Canterbury v Melbourne
These days in the NRL the difference between winning and losing can be tiny. So small in fact that 1 defensive error can cost you a season and one positional change can alter the outcome of big games. On this occasion, a positional change could be the biggest difference. Greg Inglis will look up and rather than seeing Jamal Idris, he will see Shane Neumann and Tim Winitana.
If Inglis is recovered from Origin celebrations and Brett Finch gives him early ball, it could be a massacre but the dogs have started well two weeks in a row now and could put enough pressure on the Storm to snatch victory. For some reason they are $1.85 favourites but with the Melbourne defence still operating at a high level, the Bulldogs have it all to do. We predict they do very little and Melbourne's defence frustrates Barba and Kimmorley into error whilst Mick Ennis continues a week long sledging battle with Cameron Smith.
Man of the Match Prediction: Greg Inglis
Tip: Melbourne 24-12
Result: Canterbury 20-18
Man of the Match: Ben Hannant
Snap Review:
Dogs of War?... more like Dogs of Bore. They are grinding their way through the competition and have now won 3 in a row with this new attitude in defence. It's working but it looks horrible. Having said that some of their on-line defence against the storm was amazing. I take back everything I just said. The dogs look great.
Newcastle v Cronulla
We are at a stage in the season where some matches might not have much meaning as teams come to realise they are either a 'mathematical equation' to make the semi finals or no chance at all. I'm not sure in which category these two teams belong but I'm leaning towards the latter. It's been another difficult year for Ricky Stuart and I can only guess so because he always looks angry. The Knights have also had their troubles but both clubs seems to be improving lately.
More importantly, I can't believe Blake Ferguson has not signed for next year. He would be a great pickup for any club and his matchup against Akuila Uate in this match will be a definite highlight. Isaac De Gois faces his former teammates in another example of how I am reaching for reasons to make this game interesting. The Knights too good at home as Jarrod Mullen and Kurt Gidley prove that the cream most certainly rises to the top.
Man of the Match Prediction: Kurt Gidley
Tip: Newcastle 26-14
Result: Newcastle 21-10
Man of the Match: Kurt Gidley
Snap Review:
Kurt Gidley deserves so much more than being stripped of the NSW captaincy and having to put up with losing origin games. He also deserves an apology from all the 'experts' who said he should not even be in the origin team. Kurt backed up a standout performance in origin 3 with a masterful game here to lead his team to victory.
Penrith v NZ Warriors
Assuming that the Panthers have all of their origin players healthy, how can you tip against them at CUA stadium on a Sunday afternoon against the Warriors? $1.30 says you can't and as any readers will know by now, I rarely win an argument over the bookies. In fact I rarely win anything over the bookies and refuse to include the Warriors +9.5 in my multi this week. Downright refuse... I couldn’t possibly... you never know ... just maybe.... ok I’ll do it.
A lot to like about the Warriors form since they copped a thrashing at Campbelltown over a month ago and the Panthers have a few players backing up. Not to mention the lot of them backing up from a huge win over the Dragons on Monday night. However, this is not enough to call an upset of the week and I dont have the barrels for it anyway. Luke Walsh back from a week off leads the way and the Panthers win their 5th in a row.
Man of the Match Prediction: Lachlan Coote
Tip: Penrith 32-18
Result: NZ Warriors 12-6
Man of the Match: Jeroma Ropati
Snap Review:
If I was a Warriors fan, this would be one of those games you talk about to other Warriors fans in 5 or 10 years time, reminiscing about that day at Penrith when "we held em out for the whole second half". I hope NZ fans are celebrating this match as one of the greatest wins in their clubs history. Amazing.
Parramatta v North Queensland
Is it really an upset if the Cowboys get away with this one? Probably. The Cowboys seem to have severe internal strife tearing their season to shreds and winning this match would definitely surprise most punters based on that rumour. The Eels, meanwhile, have been defending gallantly in recent weeks (not including that horror 10 minutes v the Warriors) and will do so again here.
The question remains whether Daniel Mortimer and Jeff Robson can create more than 1 try between them. We say no but the Eels forward pack lifts for this one and it's enough to carry them home. Parramatta bounces back from a miserable 3 week stretch to claw home and salvage their season. Their pack and interchange bench is the difference in the end but if given enough space, Willie Tonga could do some damage and Thurston and Bowen are still capable of something.... but not on Monday night.
Man of the Match Prediction: Tim Mannah
Tip: Parramatta 18-12
Result: Parramatta 36-24
Man of the Match: Jarryd Hayne
Snap Review:
Tough to credit the Eels with saving their season entirely here. League fans will need more proof than simply beating a Cowboys team on the verge of collapsing into a disorganised heap. Must mention the play of Willie Mason though - outstanding.
For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
Thursday, July 1, 2010
Paully's Picks Round 17
Brisbane v Wests Tigers
On paper, this is the best forward pack the Tigers can field. With Galloway a few games back from injury and Todd Payten also fresh, it's a menacing sight for opposing sides and one that could well destroy the young Broncos on Friday night. With Brisbane being without their origin players, it's a good chance for the visitors to rebound from last week's big loss at Kogarah.
Unfortunately for the Tigers, they still don't have a halfback. Defence improved? check... consistency? check... Benji Marshall free of injury? check. The only thing they don't have going into this match is a link between good forwards and classy backs. Without either Tim Moltzen or Robert Lui it has been a struggle so we like the Broncos in an upset. Their defence stands up and wins this match.
Man of the Match Prediction: Corey Parker
Tip: Brisbane 20-16
Result: Wests Tigers 16-14
Man of the Match: Ben Teo
Snap Review:
The baby broncos were unlucky. They fought hard and were not to know that the Tigers have turned into a hard arse team that wins the close ones and wins the tough games. They will be lethal if Lui comes back for the semis.
Cronulla v Canterbury
Even with the Bulldogs improved performance from last week, one could not help but notice that this good form only lasted 20 minutes against the Raiders, who are not renowned for making late comebacks. The Dogs, it must be said, looked a little shaky in the latter stages of their victory but it seems the bookies are back on the Belmore bandwagon.
They are un-backable favourites against a Cronulla side missing some rep players but it will not be easy. This match could be slightly less than a good advertisement for rugby league on the central coast. The Sharks defence and point scoring ability continue to improve, whilst the Bulldogs are yet to prove they have officially climbed out of that very deep hole. They scrape home here through the brilliance of Ben Barba.
Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Barba
Tip: Canterbury 20-14
Result: Canterbury 24-12
Man of the Match: Ben Barba
Snap Review:
Dogs had all the ball in the first 30 and put the Sharks to sleep early. It must be said that Kimmorley, Ryan and Luke Patten look like they are ready to leave. Big changes predicted in the off season. The Sharks fought hard in the second half but all that did was make this match ugly.
Canberra v Eastern Suburbs
The resurgent Roosters strolled into Christchurch last week facing wet, windy and freezing conditions. They looked the opposition square in the eye and refused to buckle. Somehow, they did. If the boys from Bondi can overcome this recent heartbreaking loss, they seem to be mentally strong enough to win in our nation's capital but it is difficult to tip a young side on the road two weeks in a row.
So I won’t. With team leader Mitchell Pearce on origin duty, the Raiders are deserved favourites and will be too strong for a tired Roosters side. The return of Josh Dugan is celebrated by Terry Campese as he takes apart the visitors in the first half and they coast home in the second. Keep an eye on the crowd reaction to Todd Carney. Should be interesting.
Man of the Match Prediction: Josh Dugan
Tip: Canberra 30-20
Result: Roosters 22-12
Man of the Match: Todd Carney
Snap Review:
The Raiders season once again fades away with a performance which left fans disappointed and the Roosters driving up the M5 with two points. The Raiders are horribly unfit. Watching them play this year has made fans very aware of this. They either win by starting strong and holding on to a lead - or lose by giving up huge leads in the second half. I think they have played a good 80 minutes only once... at Mt Smart a few weeks ago.
NZ Warriors v Parramatta
Both teams struggling in attack... both teams struggling with consistency… and both teams sitting outside the top 8. Perhaps a bit premature to say 'must win' for Parra and the Warriors but we aint far from it and looking at these teams on paper, it’s not hard to understand where the problems are. The Eels average 14 points scored per match this year and the Warriors allow an average of 24. It's tough times for these clubs.
Things will only get tougher for one of them on Sunday, but it will be even harder on league fans as this one will turn into a slow, painful grind. In fact I dont even know how anyone is going to score points with current rosters damaged by rep duty and injury. For those of you still reading this preview, sorry about all the negativity. One positive that will come out of this match is the play of James Maloney and big Manu. They bring it home for the Warriors.
Man of the Match Prediction: James Maloney
Tip: NZ Warriors 18-16
Result: NZ Warriors 35-6
Man of the Match: Jerome Ropati
Snap Review:
unvelievabkle finish. The Warriors are confident at home and played accordingly. The Eels lack direction and this is directly related to Daniel Mortimer's loss of confidence over the course of the year. Mortimer needs to be looked after by the coaching staff at Parramatta. He is digging a deeper hole for himself after every mistake when he should be learning from them. The Warriors work hard for each other and if they get injured players coming back they could do something.
St George Illawarra v Penrith
Cooking with Gaz? Is this a Great St George Team? Are they making you Hornby? Is Ainscough 3:16 and Stone Cold Treacy making a return? Saints fans are truly the most inventive when it comes to signs and with the return of Dragons junior Mark Gasnier imminent in this match, I'm hoping for another pearler to come from the Red and White army.
On the field, however, difficult to see anyway that the combination of Wade Graham and Travis Burns will cause any problems for St George Illawarra. Ben Creagh and Dean Young should dominate the ruck and with Jeremy Smith healthy, Saints will be too strong. It's 1 v 2 on the ladder though, so Penrith will have a bit of fight in them but in front of a big crowd to welcome home a forgotten favourite, Saints roll towards September with another W.
Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Creagh
Tip: Dragons 30-12
Result: Panthers 12-8
Man of the Match: Wade Graham
Snap Review:
Credit to the Panthers defence and desire in this match. They truly were committed to winning the ruck and winning field position and controlling posession and limiting errors. All the things that win semi finals. During the season though it just looks a little boring but for those of us who love that kind of footy - this was a screamer.
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form on Tuesday. For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
On paper, this is the best forward pack the Tigers can field. With Galloway a few games back from injury and Todd Payten also fresh, it's a menacing sight for opposing sides and one that could well destroy the young Broncos on Friday night. With Brisbane being without their origin players, it's a good chance for the visitors to rebound from last week's big loss at Kogarah.
Unfortunately for the Tigers, they still don't have a halfback. Defence improved? check... consistency? check... Benji Marshall free of injury? check. The only thing they don't have going into this match is a link between good forwards and classy backs. Without either Tim Moltzen or Robert Lui it has been a struggle so we like the Broncos in an upset. Their defence stands up and wins this match.
Man of the Match Prediction: Corey Parker
Tip: Brisbane 20-16
Result: Wests Tigers 16-14
Man of the Match: Ben Teo
Snap Review:
The baby broncos were unlucky. They fought hard and were not to know that the Tigers have turned into a hard arse team that wins the close ones and wins the tough games. They will be lethal if Lui comes back for the semis.
Cronulla v Canterbury
Even with the Bulldogs improved performance from last week, one could not help but notice that this good form only lasted 20 minutes against the Raiders, who are not renowned for making late comebacks. The Dogs, it must be said, looked a little shaky in the latter stages of their victory but it seems the bookies are back on the Belmore bandwagon.
They are un-backable favourites against a Cronulla side missing some rep players but it will not be easy. This match could be slightly less than a good advertisement for rugby league on the central coast. The Sharks defence and point scoring ability continue to improve, whilst the Bulldogs are yet to prove they have officially climbed out of that very deep hole. They scrape home here through the brilliance of Ben Barba.
Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Barba
Tip: Canterbury 20-14
Result: Canterbury 24-12
Man of the Match: Ben Barba
Snap Review:
Dogs had all the ball in the first 30 and put the Sharks to sleep early. It must be said that Kimmorley, Ryan and Luke Patten look like they are ready to leave. Big changes predicted in the off season. The Sharks fought hard in the second half but all that did was make this match ugly.
Canberra v Eastern Suburbs
The resurgent Roosters strolled into Christchurch last week facing wet, windy and freezing conditions. They looked the opposition square in the eye and refused to buckle. Somehow, they did. If the boys from Bondi can overcome this recent heartbreaking loss, they seem to be mentally strong enough to win in our nation's capital but it is difficult to tip a young side on the road two weeks in a row.
So I won’t. With team leader Mitchell Pearce on origin duty, the Raiders are deserved favourites and will be too strong for a tired Roosters side. The return of Josh Dugan is celebrated by Terry Campese as he takes apart the visitors in the first half and they coast home in the second. Keep an eye on the crowd reaction to Todd Carney. Should be interesting.
Man of the Match Prediction: Josh Dugan
Tip: Canberra 30-20
Result: Roosters 22-12
Man of the Match: Todd Carney
Snap Review:
The Raiders season once again fades away with a performance which left fans disappointed and the Roosters driving up the M5 with two points. The Raiders are horribly unfit. Watching them play this year has made fans very aware of this. They either win by starting strong and holding on to a lead - or lose by giving up huge leads in the second half. I think they have played a good 80 minutes only once... at Mt Smart a few weeks ago.
NZ Warriors v Parramatta
Both teams struggling in attack... both teams struggling with consistency… and both teams sitting outside the top 8. Perhaps a bit premature to say 'must win' for Parra and the Warriors but we aint far from it and looking at these teams on paper, it’s not hard to understand where the problems are. The Eels average 14 points scored per match this year and the Warriors allow an average of 24. It's tough times for these clubs.
Things will only get tougher for one of them on Sunday, but it will be even harder on league fans as this one will turn into a slow, painful grind. In fact I dont even know how anyone is going to score points with current rosters damaged by rep duty and injury. For those of you still reading this preview, sorry about all the negativity. One positive that will come out of this match is the play of James Maloney and big Manu. They bring it home for the Warriors.
Man of the Match Prediction: James Maloney
Tip: NZ Warriors 18-16
Result: NZ Warriors 35-6
Man of the Match: Jerome Ropati
Snap Review:
unvelievabkle finish. The Warriors are confident at home and played accordingly. The Eels lack direction and this is directly related to Daniel Mortimer's loss of confidence over the course of the year. Mortimer needs to be looked after by the coaching staff at Parramatta. He is digging a deeper hole for himself after every mistake when he should be learning from them. The Warriors work hard for each other and if they get injured players coming back they could do something.
St George Illawarra v Penrith
Cooking with Gaz? Is this a Great St George Team? Are they making you Hornby? Is Ainscough 3:16 and Stone Cold Treacy making a return? Saints fans are truly the most inventive when it comes to signs and with the return of Dragons junior Mark Gasnier imminent in this match, I'm hoping for another pearler to come from the Red and White army.
On the field, however, difficult to see anyway that the combination of Wade Graham and Travis Burns will cause any problems for St George Illawarra. Ben Creagh and Dean Young should dominate the ruck and with Jeremy Smith healthy, Saints will be too strong. It's 1 v 2 on the ladder though, so Penrith will have a bit of fight in them but in front of a big crowd to welcome home a forgotten favourite, Saints roll towards September with another W.
Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Creagh
Tip: Dragons 30-12
Result: Panthers 12-8
Man of the Match: Wade Graham
Snap Review:
Credit to the Panthers defence and desire in this match. They truly were committed to winning the ruck and winning field position and controlling posession and limiting errors. All the things that win semi finals. During the season though it just looks a little boring but for those of us who love that kind of footy - this was a screamer.
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form on Tuesday. For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
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