Friday, May 28, 2010

NSW hits the panic button

There is always over-reaction, always a little too much drama and always from the same people.

The wash up from origin 1 last Wednesday night has been all of the above and then some. There has been a thunderous outcry for changes to be made to the NSW origin team, the coach to be sacked, the selectors to take a big jump from somewhere very high and of course for positional changes. This last point I can understand to a degree, but the others simply reek of a lack of appreciation of history.

The game itself was not one of the better origin matches. Don't get me wrong... the intensity was definitely there from both sides but due to the amount of rain in Sydney before kick off, it was obviously slippery under foot. This always changes the dynamic of a game of football. In a quick summary, QLD handled the conditions better and NSW struggled to push their game plan. The only critique one could make of the Blues is that their scrambling defence was not what you expect from an origin squad.

Others disagree. Others are of the opinion that the entire state should be crucified. The Sydney media have run a few opinion pieces that reflect this aggressive approach. Apparently, Brett Kimmorley is first to be sacked, closely followed by Brett White and Matt Cooper. The articles also say that Kurt Gidley will be moving to halfback and Perry to the bench and blah blah blah blah. Anyone notice a trend here? Anyone see the real problem surfacing once again? Anyone?


United we must stand.

In another piece based on public opinion polls (always the best way to choose an origin squad), one newspaper announces the results, "70 per cent of the 4000 respondents called for Bellamy to be axed before Origin II…” You read that correctly. Some fans want the NSW coach sacked in the middle of a series!!! More frightening is the fact that 4000 people responded to this. Even more frightening is that apparently, 87% of the voters are NSW fans, which brings me to my point.

QLD fans voted as well and must be giggling to themselves. On every couch and recliner in every caravan all over the Sunshine State, there are cane toads laughing at the sinking ship that is NSW Rugby League. We lose one game of football to arguably the best league team ever assembled and the knives are out immediately. The amount of negative quotes published in the media over the past 2 days has been astonishing, even compared to the last 4 years.

I understand people might be fed up with losing, or that they would feel frustrated by the ease of Queensland’s victory, or even if they have nothing better to do than criticize... what I don’t understand is the inability to learn from mistakes. We have tried multiple combinations in the halves, we have tried every back rower in NSW, we have tried the two best hookers south of the tweed, and we have selected 20 year olds and 19 year olds in a vain hope that miracles might happen. Have we not learnt anything from the results?

The one lesson we need to learn, in an attempt to galvanise the state and hopefully restore some pride, is that we must stick together. This approach should be adopted at every level. If it is, then we would stop destroying any sense of unity within the team, we would get behind the men that came up short on the night and instil some belief in them to have another go and play without fear of losing.


Learning to Fly, is the hardest thing..

This will address the single biggest issue from Wednesday night’s loss. The Blues looked like they were expecting to lose. This fear comes from the culture created by selectors and fans. They have sacrificed any player whom they suddenly believe should never have been picked. Anyone see the irony here? The admission of mistakes has come thick and fast from selectors as they continue to disagree with themselves. This is what creates fear in the squad. Furthermore, the possibility that some issues arise from a disagreement between selectors and coach simply adds to the division.

Please don't sack anyone, please don't pull anyone aside and tell them it’s their last chance. This is not the way to win games... This does not inspire people. Please stop crying out for the hanging of coaches and players. Let us be honest and say that a) QLD were the better side on the night; b) we all hate QLD so let's use this to galvanise our support for NSW and c) focus more on players performing better as a unit, rather than pinning our hopes on individuals.
In perhaps the most painfully obvious example of why we cannot take seriously people who wish to play the blame game... there is one comment used as a conclusion in one of these articles. Perhaps it is one person’s perspective; it’s hard to tell, but either way... "In his third season of Origin coaching, Bellamy has always got exactly the squad he and his assistant coach Andrew Johns have wanted. Bellamy has had to accept much of the flak while Johns has escaped any of the harsh criticism"... Brilliant. They are now looking for anyone to blame and singling out perhaps NSW best ever player for the next attack.

We have a long way to go, obviously. Not only are we blaming all and sundry for another heartbreaking origin loss, but we continue to look for more people to blame. Why? Is there anything productive about this? As fans, should we not get behind our state as we do our clubs? Should we not ignore the petty media outlets that simply want to sell papers and don’t care who wins? Well ... some of us do care and some of us believe that supporting a football team means supporting them through thick and thin.

Thursday, May 27, 2010

Paully's Picks - Round 12

St George Illawarra v Parramatta

A big test for Daniel Mortimer and Kris Keating. These two young halves have relied heavily on Jarryd Hayne to be the focal point in attack this year but, up against the best defence in the competition, cannot do the same again here. Mortimer and Keating must produce if the Eels are going to be any threat not only to the Dragons on Friday night, but to the 2010 Premiership.

There are some big boys in this match - some tough characters all over the park and I smell the continuation of a feud going back many years. More recent matches have been drama packed and super entertaining and this match will be no different. Up front it will be Weyman v Moi Moi and out wide, in a matchup I can’t wait to see, it will be two outside backs in a battle to see who is the angriest. Timana Tahu v Beau Scott. Plenty of stars all over the park but Parramatta's shine brighter at Jubilee Oval and win a close one.

Man of the Match Prediction: Nathan Hindmarsh
Tip: Parramatta 20-18
Result: Dragons 30-0
Man of the Match: Darius Boyd
Snap Review:
The style of play used by the Dragons really does lend itself to one person consistently receiving kudos for his performance. Boyd is currently ine the lead for Dally M player of the year. If he wins, can anyone honestly say he is the best player in the NRL? Of course not. This is no attack on Boyd or the Dragons but common sense may not prevail. Point being that the Dragons once again played brilliantly as a team - whilst the Eels were missing Hindmarsh and were never going to win without him.

Wests v NZ Warriors

Is it too early for Wade McKinnon to share the Warriors secrets with his new club? Of course not. The bigger question is which Tigers team will turn up in this one? If you can answer this then you should do my gambling for me as well. The Warriors have some big wins under their belt, have won two in a row and are enjoying life after spending an entire month in their own beds. Seymour and Maloney are combining well in the halves and the rest of the team are following their lead. Unfortunately - it will only lead to trouble on Friday night in Western Sydney.

It might sound strange considering the talent on their roster, but Robert Lui is the most important piece of the puzzle for the home side this week. Since the loss of Tim Moltzen, the Wests Tigers have not been the same. Benji Marshall needs width to apply his trade and can only get this from a specialist half. Robert Lui is that specialist and is resuming combinations nicely with Marshall and Farah after his return from injury. Big game from Lui and his forwards; and this means they have the Warriors measure but only just.

Man of the Match Prediction: Robbie Farah
Tip: Tigers: 22-16
Result: Tigers 50-6
Man of the Match: Geoff Daniela
Snap Review:
Sorry to harp on the Man of the Match issue.... but the best player on the park in this match was obviously Robert Lui. Only through his performance were the Tigers outside backs able to find so much space. Great job by the Wests forwards also. The Warriors lost Maloney through the week and then halfback Brett Seymour at halftime during this match. They were never a chance after this. Great spectacle of ballwork from the home side.

Cronulla v Brisbane

The Broncos would not know themselves this week with only three players away for Origin. It must be a rare treat for coach Ivan Henjak and judging by this and the strength of their most recent performances, Brisbane will be confident against a team they blew off the park only 6 weeks ago. Cronulla, however, must be brimming with their own confidence after an impressive win against the Hayne-less Eels last week. This means it will be close.

Rain predicted means it will indeed be very close. The Broncos will be desperate for any win during the rep season and this desperation will lead to uncharacteristic errors. I'm tipping the Sharks damn it!! There is a lot to like about them in this matchup and a lot to like about playing at Shark Park with the cold and wet conditions suiting them just fine. Tim Smith shares some inside information with his Sharks teammates and we have an upset on our hands.

Man of the Match Prediction: Tim Smith
Tip: Cronulla 14-12
Result: Brisbane 20-4
Man of the Match: Sam Thaiday
Snap Review:
Fantastic effort by the Broncos, specifically Darren Lockyer who continues to show why he is the greatest player of our generation. Brisbane have obviously found their niche and that is to hit hard and use their speed on the edges. No lumbering forwards to get in the way and the Sharks could not keep up. It was close though, Cronulla could have easily mounted some pressure on the inexperienced Broncos players but they simply couldn't consolidate their first half advantages.

North Queensland v Manly

It has felt like an eternity, but the Cowboys are looking closer to full strength than we have seen in months. With Thurston, Payne and Bowen back together and an ever improving forward pack in front of them, the home side will be hoping to find form and cause an upset on Saturday night. Against the visiting Sea Eagles, it will be difficult. Manly are consistent, aggressive, disciplined and have won their last 4 away games. They never make it easy for the opposition and will no doubt target Thurston in the defensive line.

It will be close but we can smell an improved performance coming from the boys from Townsville. Moments like this are exactly the reason why Neil Henry resigned his post as assistant coach of the Queensland Origin side. Henry has been with his troops all week and will be desperate to get them back on track. They are currently sitting in 14th place on the ladder and this match will provide the launch pad they need. Willie Tonga and Willie Mason the standouts.

Man of the Match Prediction: Willie Tonga
Tip: North Queensland 24-22
Result: Manly 24-20
Man of the Match: Jonathan Thurston
Snap Review:
The fight that broke out in the Under 20's match between these two teams was a highlight. check out the clip here... see that kid beating the living daylights out of his much bigger opponent? Fantastic.
In 1st grade. Manly continue their imperssive performances of late and were too good for the slow starting Cowboys who are now tied with the Sharks and Bulldogs on the bottom of the ladder.


Melbourne v Canterbury

A rock solid defence up against a struggling attack. The Bulldogs will find the going especially difficult in this match and will need to be at their best, and hope for the opposition to have an off day, to come away from Melbourne with 2 points. The Storm's new creed to avoid playing conservative football in attack could lead to an embarrassing score line for the visitors, but it won't.

There is still a bit of pride left in the old Bulldogs jersey and this will be apparent in their defence on Sunday. Unfortunately they can only stay within reach of the Storm, but never quite grab them. Canterbury's attack will not have the potency required when they need it most… in the last 20 minutes. They keep it close but the speed and strength of the Storm squad is too much in the end. Jamal Idris continues his tour of facing the NRL's great left centres - this time he squares off against the one and only, Greg Inglis. Awesome.

Man of the Match Prediction: Billy Slater
Tip: Melbourne 22-12
Result: Melbourne 23-12
Man of the Match: Cooper Cronk
Snap Review:
Brett Finch you diabolic!! If it weren't for the kind-heartedness of one B. Finch - I would have finally picked the score in a game of footy this year. This is important, not because of betting reasons, but simply because my tipping form is worse than I could have done by flipping a coin for each match. I suck. So it would have been nice to get something right. Finch had to go and mess things up by kicking a field goal for charity. How could he be so inconsiderate? In other news the dogs of war are no more.

South Sydney v Penrith

Tantalising matchups right across the park here and along with Friday Night's blockbuster from Kogarah Oval, this is the match of the round. Some very, very powerful forwards facing each other and the resulting collisions could be violent and will be supremely entertaining. Luke Walsh will need to conjure up more than just a bombing raid against a South Sydney team with a reliable back three and the ability to pile points on quickly. We think he will.

The Panthers ooze class this year and with a fresh Michael Jennings and a future rep star in Kevin Kingston, they will have too much firepower for the Rabbitohs. The Panthers leader, Petero Civoniceva, is backing up from a big workload from Wednesday night, but this is a man who could play 3 origins in one day and still be asking for more work. Petero will be the inspiration that carries Penrith over the line in a high scoring affair with perhaps one or two heated exchanges. Isaac Luke v Kingston a highlight.

Man of the Match Prediction: Luke Walsh
Tip: Panthers 28-22
Result: South Sydney 42-22
Man of the Match: Dave Taylor
Snap Review:
I love it how commentators in Rugby League add a little something to a players name. Not every player, just the interesting ones have their names changed during the call. This does not count for nicknames... just an addidtion to their name, or a slight change that singles them out e.g.:
  • Andrew Johns was always called "Andrew". No other player in recent memory was known by their first name only.
  • Dave Taylor is always referred to as 'Big Dave Taylor'.
  • Daniel Mortimor is ALWAYS called, "Young Mortimer". Trust me this is true.
I love this.
Souths were rock solid here and can hopefully make the semis - it would be great for Rugby League.

Gold Coast v Eastern Suburbs

Coming into this match, both clubs come off big losses and will not have played footy for more than two weeks. Combined with the return of Mitchell Pearce for the visiting Roosters, this means we are in for a bottler. Neither team will get blown off the park here as both will be well prepared and eager to improve. Looking at the Titans roster, we are quickly reminded of why they sit 3rd on the ladder and why they are favourites.

Scott Prince will have his best game of the season and Greg Bird will be desperate to atone for some indifferent form of late. Keep an eye on these two in the final quarter of this match, they will turn the screws on the Roosters and bring home the 2 points for their club. Some big hitting expected from young firebrand Jared Warea-Hargreaves and at least 3 dropped balls expected from Mark Minichiello. I wish you could bet on that statistic.
Man of the Match Prediction: Nathan Friend
Tip: Gold Coast 30-20
Result: Roosters 30-16
Man of the Match: Mitchell Pearce
Snap Review:
Unfortunately no minute by minute Monday night this week. We will be back next week for the Rabbitohs v Cowboys clash.
The Roosters will upset a few teams this season. This result should act as a wake up call for the Titans whose defence was ordinary and probably would have been better without the week off. The Roosters played well though and are dangerous when they play this kind of disciplined football. Discussions will now begin about another change to the NSW origin team after Pearce looked so good here.

  
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form on Tuesday. For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

NSW v Qld - Origin 1 2010 Preview

With all the talk of 'square ups' and fights and cheap shots..., the rivalry has once again continued along its wonderful path of frenzied anticipation. All the talk in the world won't matter at kick off. As Origin always does, tonight's version will deliver something that none of us have predicted or expected. There will be a moment, as there always is, that will simply amaze us all. The rain in Sydney will add to the spectacle as the best of any code in the country square off against each other at ANZ stadium tonight.


As far as predictions go, I've never tipped Queensland and I never will. Simply can't. Having said that it is impossible to ignore the supreme talent on show in Maroon jerseys tonight. Jonathan Thurston and Darren Lockyer have been the difference in the past 4 series and will probably be again tonight. Lockyer's kicking game is still the best in the land and will have NSW fighting out of their own end for an eternity. The pressure will mount and eventually show on the scoreboard. To counter act this, the Blues resolve will definitely be stronger this year compared to the meek surrenderings of the past, and in the end class will prevail.

Man of the Match Prediction: Sam Thaiday
Tip: NSW 18-12
Result: QLD 28-24
Man of the Match: JT
Snap Review:
Jonathan Thurston and Darren Lockyer. Very simple.
The Blues simply cannot match the basic game plan and could never get out of their own end long enough to sustain pressure on the greatest QLD side ever assembled.

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Paully's Picks - Round 11

Newcastle v Wests

Beware the wounded Tiger... and what a wound it was! By all reports, there has been plenty of soul-searching going on this week in the Tigers camp. They even held a 'truth session' in the dressing rooms after last week’s 40 point loss to South Sydney. What does this all mean? History tells us that the Tigers will be revved up to the eyeballs this week and ready to rip in.

Eventually though - the same problems will arise for Wests as they struggle to defend their line and continue to cough up possession. The Tigers are averaging 10 points per game in attack over their last 4 matches but will welcome the site of Newcastle's struggling defence. We predict the visitors play with a little more pride and Robbie Farah to take advantage of a weakened Knights team without Kurt Gidley. Marshall and Farah should be desperate to right the ship.

Man of the Match Prediction: Robbie Farah
Tip: Tigers 24-22
Result: Tigers 23-6
Man of the Match: Gareth Ellis
Snap Review:
Something about wet weather footy that gets you going as a fan... It was absolutely teeming down on friday night and the experience of the Tigers told in the end. Newcastle really do have defensive worries and some motivational concerns now as well. Performances like this will test the clubs character and depth. Also - this past week shows just how brutal the Rugby League media can be. Take it easy people!!


Parramatta v Cronulla

How quickly fortunes can change? The Round 4 match between these two teams saw Parramatta held scoreless and the Sharks post their first win in eons. Now, a dangerous Parramatta team has won their last 4 games and are heavily favoured here. If there is any chance of another upset happening, Tim Smith will need to be the instigator but only if he can avoid the flying 20 cent pieces at Parramatta Stadium.

The Eels attack will struggle in this match but their defence has been impressive of late; this will be enough to secure the two points in a scrappy affair. Kris Keating's return will help in covering for Jarryd Hayne as focal point of their attack and Feleti Mateo should also enjoy the increased responsibility. It will be cold and damp out west on Saturday night, as will the home crowds feelings towards former Eel Smith. Fui Fui Moi Moi slamming into Sharks pair Snowden and Douglas will be brutal.

Man of the Match Prediction: Kris Keating
Tip: Parramatta 20-10
Result: Cronulla 22-18
Man of the Match: Trent Barrett
Snap Review:
Could Parramatta be the NRL's latest version of a 'one man team'? With previous examples such as Brad Fittler and the Roosters, JT and the Cowboys and Andrew Johns and NSW.... can we now say "Jarryd Hayne and the Eels"? Perhaps. Whilst Mortimer and Keating played well in this one... they did not really deliver much creativity and subsequently did not bother the Sharks enough. Keep an eye on this.



NZ Warriors v South Sydney

Match of the round for mine. Both teams last start winners and both currently in the top 8 with a desperate need to improve from last year. The Warriors are slowly getting troops back whilst South Sydney have named Michael Crocker on their extended bench. Crockers presence could go a long way to covering the gap left by a couple of missing Rabbitohs forwards. Souths have the potential to turn up big here.

We predict the Warriors carry last weeks good form into this game, but they will find a well prepared and confident South Sydney squad. Plenty of lead changes and shifting momentum in this match as Souths overcome 'jet lag' to register a big away win. Good performances expected from Brett Seymour, whose timing will be better for last weeks return from injury... and Isaac Luke, the standout performer for the bunnies so far this season. Tune in to enjoy the constrained bias of an always enjoyable sky sports commentary team from NZ.

Man of the Match Prediction: Isaac Luke
Tip: South Sydney 20-18
Result: Warriors 26-24
Man of the Match: Jerome Ropati
Snap Review:
Credit to NZ for showing experience and actually dominating Souths in crucial parts of the game. Once the damage had been done, Souths tried some amazing plays and almost pulled off the miracle comeback but just couldn't hold on to the pill. Brett Seymour enjoying himself these days. Just like Tim Smith and Todd Carney - its amazing what living clean can do for these blokes. Must make mention of Rhys Wesser in this match. Souths would have been down 30 if it wasn't for some defensive gems from this journeyman fullback.


St George Illawarra v Canberra

Kudos must be given to the Dragons here. They are essentially fielding a team of reserves and still go into this match as favourites. Defence, discipline, ball control and patience are all bywords of the club's culture under Wayne Bennett. These traits will be on display on Sunday and playing at Wollongong further strengthens the Dragons' chances against the visiting Canberra Raiders.

Saints may not have the points in them this week but will still have enough to pound the Raiders into submission. This will be a low scoring affair with Terry Campese and co throwing everything they can at the home side but will fail to bust the Dragons line often enough to get ahead on the scoreboard. Hornby, Soward and Dean Young lead the way and some young Dragons forwards get a chance to make a name for themselves.

Man of the Match Prediction: Nick Emmett
Tip: Dragons 14-10
Result: Canberra 22-14
Man of the Match: Joel Thompson
Snap Review:
Saints fielded 10 replacements in this match. I'm letting this one go. The Raiders played well and they do have some young superstars but lets not get too excited. I do like the combination being created with Raiders hooker Buttriss and halfback McCrone. This is imperative to the Raiders' success even with the presence of Campese: they must take the pressure off him. With Dugan at the back, Canberra have the makings of a good spine.

Penrith v Canterbury

The Bulldogs need to stand up and fight here. With their performances of late suggesting a huge gap exists between themselves and the top teams, they now face the prospect of a long rep season with missing troops. With a record of 3 wins and 6 losses, the Belmore side could be running out of opportunities to turn it around. Now that we have painted such a dark picture, perhaps we lighten it up a little.

Michael Jennings and Lachlan Coote: Two brighter stars you will not find this weekend and Coote especially is playing with more enthusiasm than a kid in a lolly shop. The Panthers are missing some forwards but will have enough depth to bring home the two points. They deflect an early onslaught from the spirited Bulldogs but pull away through the increasingly impressive combination of Kevin Kingston and Luke Walsh. Josh Morris v Michael Jennings a highlight as these forgotten centres try to salvage some personal pride.

Man of the Match Prediction: Lachlan Coote
Tip: Panthers 20-12
Result: Panthers 31-16
Man of the Match: Lachlan Coote
Snap Review:
The Panthers have speed and aggression. Two fantastic traits to have in a club and the reason why they now sit atop the ladder. The Bulldogs are no longer simply in a rough trot - they are playing to their potential... which is to be a team that either sneaks into the 8 or not at all. Even with Kimmorley and Ennis in the squad their attack has been less than impressive of late. It was better in patches here but only when the scoreboard forced them to throw it around. The Panthers go on to bigger things whilst the dogs yearn for the return of Ben Hannant.

For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/

The Life of a Cockroach

It's tough being a NSW State of Origin fan. Not just because of the past 4 years, but because of a 30 year old lie being perpetrated by our enemies from the north. If you’ve been subjected to the annual gibberish spouted by Queensland league fans, you know what I’m talking about. Apparently, Queensland represents the battler of Australian mythology and when they win, it is because good has overcome evil.

I will address this QLD ‘agenda’ shortly.

By way of background, my own jaded origin experience begins with the one and only, Wally ‘The King’ Lewis. Wally always played with a scowl on his face which signified his hatred for NSW. Then, when The King retired, NSW built a core of players that would never, ever be pushed around again and went on to win 3 series in a row. Unfortunately, along came D. Lockyer who destroyed this dynasty with a different tactic, class.

Do not let the bronze smile fool you. This man is full of hatred.

Darren Lockyer is 9 parts class and 1 part alien. Aptly named, "The Black Prince" by my fellow blues supporters because he is the best our generation has seen, but born a Queenslander. This unfortunate geographical event hangs as a veil of darkness over all of his magnificence.

We've also had to put up with niggling pests like Justin Hodges, Michael Crocker, Andrew Gee and others of questionable character who hide behind the ‘battler’ label used by Queenslanders to protect their fabricated traditions. This, coupled with years of painful last minute comebacks, has hurt more than the cane toads could ever understand, but they continue to subscribe to the theory that the rivalry means more to QLD.


We’ve all suffered over the past 4 years.

Now that we’ve established the history behind my own Origin pain, back to the ‘agenda’. Across generations of Queensland fans and players, this lie is based on the suggestion that New South Welshman have never cared as much as their opposition and that QLD have more reason to win. QLD play for their jersey, their state, their families, sick children, poor people, the homeless, to cure disease and world hunger, to bring balance to the force, to save the whales and rainforests, and finally for world peace.

Throughout Origin’s rich history, we can see why they might believe this. It is passed down from generation to generation of Banana Benders who grow up believing that we Cockroaches represent some sort of corrupt, oppressive regime. Apparently, we once forced them to wear the Sky Blue jersey in a pre-origin era and that when this ‘slavery’ was finally lifted, QLD would seek revenge. What started as an ambush has evolved into a winning culture of lies.


Anyone remember this?

There is no way to evade this lie. No way to prove to the cane toads that the stories they were weaned on are littered with propaganda. Example: Chris ‘choppy’ Close carries an ironic arrogance and a fake belief that QLD will always be the hard luck story of Rugby League. If NSW win, the good guys have been cheated; if QLD win, justice prevails. Close is a high ranking spin doctor of the agenda as are the likes of Mal Meninga, Gorden Tallis, Greg Dowling and Bob Lindner…. They have all spat the same words of trickery and claptrap.

At this point I’d like to painfully admit that NSW do occasionally offer some ammunition to ‘choppy’ and associates. One recent example is former New South Wales greats Brett Kenny and Benny Elias: they opened the door for the ‘Black Prince’ to dominate the Blues by questioning his decision to play again this year. Why not just make a joke about his mum, Brett, rather than say he was past it? Elias’ offering was even worse, saying that Lockyer would struggle in this year’s series. This will unfortunately galvanise QLD for their 2010 origin tilt and make an even better case for the “agenda”.

So, what do we do about the agenda? Firstly, NSW players and fans must believe that it is a complete fabrication. We must use it as a reason to defeat the evil Queensland propaganda machine and motivate current and future NSW teams to understand they are custodians of a battle for truth. Secondly, we must win, and keep winning. It would be brilliantly satisfying if QLD were to continue believing the, “it’s your watch” motivational speeches and still come up empty.


We must fight hard to win back the trophy.

Finally, a tip for the NSW selectors; NRL form carries almost no bearing on origin form. This year, please help renew our own traditions by picking players that are resilient, aggressive and are not debutants. History tells us that nobody dominates origin on debut and most players who have been given a second chance perform better with experience. Nathan Hindmarsh’s first origin was forgettable, but he became an integral part of the Blues’ mid ‘noughties’ success. Anthony Watmough was sacrificed after a sputtering start to his representative career but when given a reprieve last year, was NSW’s best forward. We implore Bob Fulton and friends to have faith in players they have selected in recent series and don’t waste another year rebuilding. Even through your own ineptitude, you have already built a nucleus that is now origin ready.

Perhaps with a firm belief in our own traditions, a bit of luck and a good kicking game, NSW can regain some pride and put a stop to this horrific QLD domination. Then we can watch as Queenslanders reluctantly crawl back under their rocks; and listen as they grumble about referees and an NRL administration that conspired to beat them. In the end, we can enjoy the desperate utterances of their misplaced moral superiority complex as it continues forever.

Just like the success of State of Origin football.

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Minute by Minute Monday Night - Round 10

Manly v Parramatta - Brookvale Oval. Monday 17th May 2010.


Question - If Timana Tahu completely outplays Jamie Lyon tonight, will the selectors take this into account? How can they since the team has already been selected before kick off? Monday Night games are great for footy but not so good at this time of year. All players should be given the full 10 days to prepare for Origin and the teams should be named on Sunday.

Moving on...

1st minute - The Sea Eagles start well with a good set of six from the kick-off but there last tackle kick is charged down. This signals a common occurrence for the evening for Manly without Kieran Foran. Parra ball in good attacking position.

3rd minute - they take advantage as Jarryd Hayne is given space to run and a retreating Manly defence is destroyed with a perfect Hayne cut out pass to Luke Burt who crosses for the opening try. Eels 6-0.

6th minute - Tahu error relieves a mountain of pressure from the Eagles after he burst on to a fantastic Mateo offload. Rushes to play the ball and spills it.

8th minute - Shane Rodney takes a monster hit up. How good has Rodney been going this year? He is a perfect example of how a good coach can make a huge difference to the career of a footballer. Rodney was a career interchange forward with a few clubs but mostly considered a worker. Des Hasler now has him attacking the line and hitting hard and a definite starter in the back row for the co-premiership favourites.

9th minute - A Trent Hodkinson bomb is allowed to bounce by the Eels and Tony Williams scores. Video referee takes 18 hours to rule No Try. Horrible decision. Eels still lead 6-0.

Thought - At this time of year, notice how every single play suddenly has origin connotations? I hope the NSW selectors are not like us fans and take more into account than I am right now. I can’t help but judge everything Lyon is doing, can’t help but break down every Josh Perry hit up, monitor every tackle involving Jarryd Hayne to make sure he is OK. Origin drives me insane.

12th minute - Speaking of Origin connotations - Nathan Hindmarsh saves another certain try for Parra. On this occasion he brings down Matt Ballin headed right under the sticks after good lead up work from Jamie Lyon and T-Rex.

14th minute - Hayne safe under the high ball to defuse another attacking opportunity for Manly. The Eagles seem to have the momentum though - Matai high shot on Hayne does not help. He is put on report. Pay TV commentators mention something about Matai being sent off. Mute button - thank you.

17th minute - The home side is kick happy. They miss Kieran Foran in this regard but are also missing the variety that he adds to the attack. Should run more.

Thought - Hayne doing noticeably more kicking for the Eels tonight. He's had plenty of good touches which reminds us of the Eels 2009 run to the GF. In all honesty, he really was the spark for everything last year for Parramatta. Jeff Robson was the defensive specialist and Daniel Mortimer flourished only when the attention was all on Hayne. I might tip against Parra next week when Hayne is on Origin duty. My tipping record thus far this season suggests that the previous comment should be ignored.

21st minute - Another excellent Hayne kick gives the Eels good field position but a penalty ruins their momentum.

22nd minute - Jason King pops out of the line to rip Justin Poore in half with a great hit. This good work is undone with a penalty. Parra now in good attacking position.

23rd minute - Jarryd Hayne is having one of those nights. He fakes a long ball with the defence still concerned about his previous try assist, but goes short to Feleti Mateo who easily beats a wrong footed Hodkinson and carries the cover defence over with him to score. Hayne must be given plenty of possession and the Eels attack looks like its designed to do just that tonight. Parra 12-0.

26th minute - Jamie Lyon's side of the field is being targeted and it seems to be working for the Eels. I'm just saying.

29th minute - Kris Inu lets his teammates down and returns a kick too close to the sideline. He is taken into touch and Manly now need to end this set with something better than what they have offered up so far.

30th minute - They do. Running the ball this time as Matai scores. Ben Farrar chimes in well here to deliver the last pass to Matai who hits the hole hard. Eels 12-6.

35th minute - Injury takes it toll doesn’t it? Without Foran the Manly attack looks hesitant. Chris Bailey shows the effect of this by throwing an intercept. Parra turn it back over though and are defending their line against a hard running home side.

37th minute - Lyon the difference here as he scores after Justin Poore and Tahu leave him a yawning gap for him to run through. 12 all.

39th minute - The Eels still looking to attack with only a few seconds to play until halftime. This is a good sign for them. They push too hard on this occasion and turn it over.

Halftime - 12 all.

42nd minute - Matai pops Poore with a beauty and then hits Hayne with a high shot. The Eels have looked good with the ball in just 3 minutes of the second half gone and are attacking again here. Hayne throws a beauty to Joel Reddy who is stopped dead on the try line by Michael Robertson. Parra denied only centremetres short by a good Manly defence but the Eagles give it right back through error.

46th minute - The Eels fail to consolidate as Mortimer has a very...big...look and drops the ball cold.

47th minute - This seems to inspire the Sea Eagles. They now have good field position and are hitting hard in defence. Fantastic. The rivalry continues. Momentum now with Manly as they receive a penalty although a tough call and what looks like a home ground decision on replay. They are now attacking the Parra line - Glenn Stewart needs to be more involved here.

49th minute - Intercept by Kris Inu saves the day. He finds rookie Tom Humble in support after a 70m run with a desperation flick to send Humble to the try line. Jamie Lyon comes across in defence with a magnificent tackle to take the debutant into touch at the corner post. Video ref asked to confirm. Massive effort by all involved.
eplay is not enough to confirm either way. Benefit of the Doubt rule must be invoked. NO TRY!!! - Big call. Tremendous tackle by Jamie Lyon.
Wash up sees Steve Matai hobble off the field and Manly ruck it out.

53rd minute - Jamie Buhrer makes his long awaited first grade debut. Great name.

Thought - can anyone believe Joel Reddy played City v Country this year? Is there no young footballer who could have gained more from the rep experience? Joel was named on the bench as well. Not even a specialist position!! This would have been the perfect opportunity to blood a young prospect but the chance was wasted by selectors. They waste these development opportunities at the same time as wasting the possible rep careers of people like Nathan Hindmarsh, Alan Tongue and Michael Jennings. All absolute stars of our game and treated with complete ignorance by the selectors. Tongue has been ignored for 10 years. Hindmarsh used as the scapegoat for a series loss a few years back and Jennings forced to endure playing on the wing in city v country and then completely left out of this years NSW squad in favour of a left centre specialist!!! Not good.

57th minute - Jamie Buhrer makes his first error in 1st grade. Eels with possession - still 12 all. This is a tight battle and fitting for these rivals.

59th minute - Plenty of feeling now in this match. Every tackle suddenly has that sting and niggle and every bit of contact looks like it could escalate into something else. This is the best part of footy these days. We’ve had to waive goodbye to the brawling... understandably so... but this has been replaced by the increased urgency and drama in encounters where the violence bubbles beneath the surface. Fantastic.

60th minute - Lucky bounce puts Manly in great field position and they are throwing everything at the Eels who are holding out bravely. The attacking raid ends meekly with Tony Williams not able to catch a bomb for a certain try. He never looked like taking it.

62nd minute - The Eels reply well and go 80 metres to score on a bust up the left side through Burt who places a perfect grubber kick to Robson. Jamie Lyon caught out again in defence. Video ref involved. TRY! Great game this. The ebb and flow even until now as Parra lead again. Try scorer Jeff Robson makes a T sign to the camera. Interesting. If he did that in the US he would have been shot by rival gangs. Careful Jeff. Parramatta leads 18-12.

65th minute - Great effort from Lyon to dive on a loose ball and tap it back to Tony Williams who makes a great pick up as plenty of Eagles chasers come through. It’s no wonder every other code is chasing NRL footballers. They have all the skills.

67th minute - Timana Tahu rocks Steve Matai with a bone cruncher. Hope he does the same to Folau. The Sea Eagles need something special here. 10 minutes to go and their attack has not been as threatening as has been in the past.

69th minute - Jarryd Hayne you are the man!! One on one with Matai who busts the line and steps through defenders... is certain to score. Hayne somehow gets his body in front of the ball runner to bring him down short. Massive effort to come up with this tackle and possession for his club.

70th minute - The ensuing Eels set of six ends with Hayne kicking the absolute crap out of the Steeden to force the home side to ruck it out of their own end.

73rd minute - Desperation. Manly attacking the Eels try line but Glenn Stewart panics and loses possession through an intercept by Luke Burt. Eels have been the better side for the most part but it’s been close all the way. Parra still lead 18-12 with 5 to go. Manly give it up again under pressure and Parra can close it out now.

76th minute - They do though a Burt field goal. Perfectly executed play and the Eels now up 19-12. Manly's attack has struggled tonight and there is no way they can score 2 tries in 3 minutes; they turn it over as I write this.

79th minute - Matai puts in a grubber kick that teammates appear to be clueless about. Garbage time so it doesn’t really matter. Good defence by the Eels tonight made manly attack look like it lacked direction and incisiveness. Hayne just attempted a 50m field goal. Hilarious.

Game over - Parramatta win 19-12.

Tune in next week as we head to CUA stadium as Penrith host the Canterbury Bulldogs.

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Paully's Picks - Round 10

Canterbury v St George Illawarra


The Round 2 match between these rivals saw St George Illawarra dominate the Bulldogs with a superb defensive performance that stifled the Canterbury attack and held them to only one try. Watching the Bulldogs play over the past few weeks suggests they will need to be at their grinding, aggressive and stingy best to avoid a similar experience on Friday night. The Dragons are more than capable of suffocating a struggling Bulldogs’ attack once again.

The proverbial choke hold will be applied to Brett Kimmorley and Michael Ennis in particular who could not find a way through the Parramatta defense two weeks ago and will be targeted again as the Dogs' main attacking weapons. Based on this we can't go past the Dragons at ANZ as the inconsistency continues for the Belmore club this year. Once again the best matchup on the field involves Jamal Idris. This week he tests himself against arguably the best defender in his position in the NRL, Matt Cooper. Enjoy.

Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Creagh
Tip: St George Illawarra 19-12
Result: St George Illawarra 19-6
Man of the Match: Ben Hornby
Snap Review:
The Bulldogs must now be concerned about their attack. Not enough players out injured for that to be an excuse anymore. The Dragons continue to roll towards September.


Brisbane v Gold Coast

The return of Peter Wallace may help the Broncos... the confidence from their big win last week in Melbourne may help the Broncos..... the unbelievable form of Sam Thaiday may help the Broncos.... but on Friday night at Suncorp against the raging Gold Coast Titans, nothing will help them. John Cartwright's team is on an impressive 3 match winning streak including last minute victories on the road at Brookvale and Newcastle. Tough places to win games.

The Titans have it all; a fearless and inspiration leader in Scott Prince, some mongrel in his halves partner Greg Bird, a group of hard working forwards and some lightning fast backs. Brisbane have obviously been inconsistent this year and we predict this continues as Nathan Friend and Prince guide their troops to another impressive away win. A definite highlight of this match will be watching Sam Thaiday launch himself into the Titans defensive line as he has done against opponents all year.

Man of the Match Prediction: Anthony Laffranchi
Tip: Titans 32-18
Result: Broncos 28-6
Man of the Match: Ben Teo
Snap Review:
I couldn't have been more wrong. The Titans played with what looked like fear in their eyes as Brisbane pummelled them with superior aggression and a more fluid attack. They had more room to move and this is disappointing for the Titans who have played with plenty of discipline so far this year. Broncos getting troops back now.


NZ Warriors v North Queensland

Its always interesting for those of us in the over 30s age bracket to see this match scheduled in a "heritage round". Then again, time flies doesn't it?! The Warriors and Cowboys have been around since 1995 and at stages this season have mirrored some of their respective performances from those early years. Mostly due to a plague of injuries, both teams currently sit outside the top 8 and have plenty to prove. They also have plenty of potential.

The realising of that potential is something the Warriors seem more likely to do in this match. With some injured stars named to finally make their return, things are looking up for the Auckland based club who have lost 3 in a row. Specifically, Brett Seymour brings his experience back to join young James Maloney in the halves and combined with captain Simon Mannering's return, they will be difficult to beat. It will be close though as the visitors are fresh from a dominant Monday night victory over the Roosters and will take confidence from this.

Man of the Match Prediction: James Maloney
Tip: Warriors 26 -16
Result: Warriors 24-12
Man of the Match: Sam Rapira
Snap Review:
What an effort by man of the match Sam Rapira!! 17 hitups for 150 metres gained to sound himself out as the new forwards leader for the Warriors. They have missed this type of presence all year. Seymour and Maloney good in the halves. Make no mistake, this is a big win for NZ.


Canberra v Melbourne

Cold. Very Cold. Saturday night in our nation’s capital will bring temperatures as low as zero and could also bring out the best in the visiting Melbourne Storm. Along with Monday night's game at Brookvale Oval, this is the match of the round for mine. The Raiders, as always, will rely on their huge pack of forwards to come out swinging and set the tone immediately. They do again here and put the Storm on the back foot early. Will the Raiders be able to keep this up for 80 minutes?

This time, yes. The Melbourne Storm are not the same team without Cameron Smith. Even with the remaining list of talented footballers, the wily Smith directs them all from dummy half. Ryan Hinchcliffe will fill Smith's shoes admirably against his old club, but the Raiders fight hard to win on the back off good performances from Dave Shillington and Bronson Harrison. Keep an eye on Joel Thompson v Greg Inglis... Thompson has been impressive this year and will not take a backward step against Inglis. A big test for the young Raiders centre.

Man of the Match Prediction: David Shillington
Tip: Raiders 18-16
Result: Melbourne 17-6
Man of the Match: Greg Inglis
Snap Review:
Disappointing performance again from the Raiders but credit to the Storm's defence as they continue to play at the same standard we have come to expect. This in itself is amazing. Hilarious Raiders fans held out $20 and $50 notes for the Storm players, who admittedly don't deserve this kind of treatment but as league fans, we are angry and logic sometimes takes a back seat.



Eastern Suburbs v Newcastle

The Roosters seemed horribly flat on Monday night in their loss to the Cowboys. Perhaps it was exhaustion from their round 8 win against the Tigers, or perhaps they could not get motivated playing in front of 300 people at the SFS last Monday. Either way, they can't possibly play that way again this week... can they? If you can answer that question you are doing better than I am, this is a tough one. The Knights probably deserve one more chance to prove they can climb out of the mire that is their season so far.

So give them that chance. They have good options to cover for the injured Jarrod Mullen and the Roosters attack has not looked good without Mitchell Pearce the last two weeks. Kurt Gidley has been inspirational for the Knights and his teammates finally get inspired by this and defend like they mean it. Their ability to score points is not in question, their defensive attitude certainly is. Some big forwards bouncing off each other in this match, Knights finish stronger.

Man of the Match Prediction: Kurt Gidley
Tip: Knights 30-18
Result: Knights 34-18
Man of the Match: Akuila Uate
Snap Review:
The Roosters are in trouble without Mitchell Pearce and the Knights had enough points in them to win this game. Uate's footwork is some of the best I've ever seen and the Knights continue to bank on the attacking prowess of players like him to get them home. This is dangerous. They need to start defending with purpose.

Wests v South Sydney

The Tigers have not won a game of football since their victory over the Cowboys in Townsville more than a month ago. Not good times for a team lauded as premierships threats this year by many. Injury to blame? Of course. So with recognised halfback Robert Lui returning against the Bunnies this week, there will be plenty jumping back on the Tigers bandwagon, including the bookies.

So, who am I to argue with seasoned gamblers? It’s also difficult to argue with South Sydney's poor Sunday afternoon form this year. They do have a ready-made wrecking ball in Dave Taylor who we predict will turn up again for the ‘visitors’, but the Tigers defense will hold firm here and use a late spurt from Benji Marshall to finish on top of an inconsistent Rabbitohs team. A true 'heritage round' match so let's hope for some 'heritage' hitting.

Man of the Match Prediction: Benji Marshall
Tip: Wests 22-20
Result: Souths 50-10
Man of the Match: John Sutton
Snap Review:
What a day for the Red and Greens? Souths fans will be convinced they can now win the premiership whilst Tigers fans will start thinking about a replacement coach. Thats what happens after a game like this but order will be restored in the coming weeks, as it always is. Asotasi starting to look injury proned and questions will be asked once again about whether he is paid more money than he is worth.



Cronulla v Penrith

Since the signing of Tim Smith, the Sharks have looked less like a reserve grade team and more like a team with the potential to drag themselves out of a horrible last 12 months. They obviously haven’t reached this potential yet and are still struggling to score points, but they will fight hard again in this match on Sunday afternoon. This might test the visiting Panthers but eventually class will prevail.

That class is represented by none other than Michael Jennings. He will more than likely be up against Taulima Tautai and the Panthers will want to take full advantage of this. If wise enough, Luke Walsh and Kevin Kingston will be looking to give their star centre plenty of opportunities to apply his craft. If they do, he will be unstoppable. They will. He is. Good platform to be laid by the Penrith's impressive pack of forwards and 'Jenko' does the rest. Do I sound like a Jennings fan?

Man of the Match Prediction: Petero Civoniceva
Tip: Penrith 28-10
Result: Penrith 34-14
Man of the Match: Lachlan Coote
Snap Review:
The Cronulla Sharks continue to provide the humour in this tragic story that we call 'season 2010'. This humour is represented by none other than Ricky Stuart. Media attending post match press conferences must be laying bets on who can pi$$ him off the most, and the quickest. Penrith, on the other hand, must be celebrating that exclusion of Michael Jennings from the state team. They are rolling towards a top 4 finish.

Manly v Parramatta

Monday Night at Brookvale Oval should bring quite an atmosphere to the insular peninsula. The Eels are bringing a full barrel of momentum into this match and face a home side whose only fault from the last 7 weeks was a 10 minute lapse against the Titans. This is the match of the round. Two very strong forward packs and two sets of big, strong outside backs will be slamming into each other at high velocity for 80 wonderful minutes.

Who comes away from this with the 2 points? Tough to go past the form of Manly’s Trent Hodkinson and his halves partner, Kieran Foran. With exceptional kicking games and wisdom beyond their years, these two will control the tempo of the match and keep Parramatta buried in their own half. With the Eels averaging 17 offloads per match, they are always a chance to score points when you least expect it, but they will have to. This gives Manly enough of an edge. Tahu v Lyon a highlight.

Man of the Match Prediction: Josh Perry
Tip: Manly 26-16
Result: Parramatta 19-12
Man of the Match: Jarryd Hayne

See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form on Tuesday. For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Best Adult Film names in the NRL

One of my favourite sports journalists in the US, Bill Simmons, introduced one of these lists for NBA players a while back. I thought we could do the same for the NRL, so let's keep an open and dirty mind shall we?

1. Lance Hohaia – great at the back

2. Jason Nightingale - definitely less obvious but the perfect adult film star name

3. Joel Reddy - you follow me so far?

4. Joel Moon - its getting easy now

5. Kris Inu - in who?

6. Ben Rogers – has to be a UK adult film star

7. Cooper Cronk - "And this name is so bright and so sharp that the sign -- it just blows up because the name is so powerful. ... It says.... COOPER CRONK"

8. Jarrod Hickey - simple, but effective

9. Alan Tongue – Captain

10. Russel Packer - Perfect name for this team. Good squad so far.

11. Big Willie Mason - I'm now using a creative license.

12. Paul Gallen - the adult film industry would spell it … Gallon.

13. David Stagg - takes me back to high school.

Extras
14. Glen Buttriss – you would laugh if this was in the film credits
15. Ben Lowe – subtle, but this is one of my favourites; and we need interchange forwards
16. Beau Champion – perfect first name and a favourite in the industry
17. Nate Myles – if you know what I mean

18th man: Colin Best – not good enough today but starred in the 70s

Coach: Rick Stone - I'm sure there must be an adult film actor with this name. It's perfect.
Ast coach: Kevin Moore -  perhaps a stretch, but now I’m just giggling like a teenager.

Ladies and Gentleman - I present to you the NRL's Adult Film All Stars!

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Minute by Minute Monday Night - Round 9

Eastern Suburbs v North Queensland

1st min - Matt Bowen is back! Fantastic.

Thought - I can’t believe Aaron Payne is not the automatic backup for Cameron Smith as Queensland's hooker. With Matt Ballin and Nathan Friend as options, they have plenty of depth, but Payne has been a standout for the Cowboys for years and should be given the nod.

4th minute - Michael Bani makes the first error of the evening. I can't help but start thinking about the tipping comp I'm in with 30 other blokes. In this comp, we have a rule that if you tip zero games correctly, you are given a perfect round score. This much debated rule comes into play for me this weekend as I'm currently sitting on 0 from 3. Roosters win I get 1 point. Cowboys win I get 4 points.

6th minute - Antonio Kaufusi makes some good metres. Reminds us of a few years back when he was with Melbourne. Picked for QLD origin and went on to play for Australia. His disappearance after this success just goes to show how hard it is to come back from serious injury. Even in this game we see plenty of examples of great players missing years from the game.
Matt Bowen - You can tell in the first 5 minutes what he means to the Cowboys, and the game itself.
Willie Tonga - Looked like he was bored playing footy after his knee surgery but simply took time to regain his confidence. Now equal with Justin Hodges if not better.
Willie Mason - Just needed time on the field after knee surgery. Look at him now.
Aaron Payne - often mentioned as the difference between winning and losing for the Cowboys, even if JT is playing. Many pundits closed the door on the Cowboys 2009 season as soon as Payne was out for the season. When fresh, he is their architect.
Anthony Minichiello - Do I need to mention what we, as fans, missed out on because of his injury? And of course what he has missed out on! Would have been remembered as on of the greatest and bravest fullbacks ever if not for injury.

Tough game this. Really a violent sport and these blokes earn their cash. The NRL must find more money for the clubs especially in NSW with so many other sporting markets chasing the dollar. It's always going to be a hard slog.

7th minute - Cowboys score the first try of the match through Bani. A defensive error by the Roosters; but the visitors have been working Willie Tonga's side of the field and this drew Sam Perrett in. John Williams converts. Cowboys 6-0.

10th minute - Mason takes his first hit up of the evening and all 5,000 people in attendance scream as one in united hatred. I can barely hear myself think!

12th minute - The Roosters 'double-team' Tonga again. Are they forcing him to pass by bringing an extra defender and leaving his winger unmarked? Why? Willie Tonga has a passing game and will make you pay everytime.

14th minute - The home side make a nice bust up the right edge but they spill the ball through desperation. Matt Bowen picks it up and runs 80 metres to score. A great reminder of how good it is to see M.Bowen in open space. Cowboys up 12-0.

17th minute - Bani spills a towering Anasta bomb. Recovered by SKD and Nick Kouparitsas is on the spot to claim the loose ball and score. Might be a lot of points in this match. Cowboys 12-6

23rd minute - Todd Carney has touched the ball on the last 3 sets of six and looked dangerous, making half breaks each time. He really is a handful. Roosters destroy his good work by turning it over.

24th minute - 19 year old debutant Michael Morgan takes a hit up from first receiver and gets belted. I hope somebody gave him the old, "welcome to first grade” sledge. Grant Rovelli follows this up with a nice kick to earn his side a repeat set. Rovelli was on the nose with Cowboys coach Neil Henry a few weeks ago. Injury seems to have forced Henry's hand and Rovelli is now leading most of the attack.

26th minute - Repeat set is wasted by the Cowboys. Todd Carney picks up a spilled ball and runs 80 metres up the left touchline to score. A reward for Carney turning up in cover defence. Fails to convert his own try. Cowboys 12-10.

29th minute - This Jared Warea-Hargreaves is an animal. Ferocious. He hits Anthony Watts with a beauty and Watts is 'lights out'.

32nd minute - Matt Scott takes another strong hit up. He has been a standout so far tonight and with QLD origin Mal Meninga in the crowd, I'm sure Matt will be rewarded.

33rd minute - More turnovers from both teams in quick succession. Can we now call this a "scrappy affair"? Or is that just a polite way of saying, "this is a rubbish game of footy so far"?

34th minute - Anthony Watts is electric. He bolts through the Roosters and burns their defence. The ball is then jolted loose from his possession. Watts has really been providing the spark for his side lately and is lightning quick out of dummy half. Somehow this all ends up in a Cowboys try. Shocking decision by the referee. Cowboys lead 18-10.

37th minute - Roosters defence is struggling. Nth Qld butcher a try as John Williams cannot handle a Bowen pass. The Roosters give it back immediately.

39th minute - Bowen is in everything. The Cowboys are such a better footy team with Bowen on the field. In both attack and defence. He is truly one of the stars of our game.

Halftime - Cowboys 18-10

44th minute - A poor kick chase right after halftime is a bad sign for the Roosters and super frustrating for coach Brian Smith. They appear to be experiencing a 'let-down' after last weeks big win at Campbelltown.

46th minute - Perhaps Warea-Hargreaves realised they needed a lift. He just knocked the stuffing out of Michael Bani. It has worked to inspire his team. The next set sees the Roosters trap Watts to earn a fresh six.

50th minute - The Bondi boys are building pressure now with another repeat set. Cowboys just holding on and give away a penalty.

Thought - we've just had a Jake Friend sighting. Only Rugby League would welcome back someone with Friend's recent history. This sport continues to forgive and forget, giving wayward souls and troubled kids a second chance.

51st minute - Phil Graham over for the Roosters. Lucky bounce sees him waltz over the try line untouched. Carney misses again. Cowboys 18-14. (Who would have thought with half an hour remaining, this would be the Roosters last points)

55th minute - The 'scrap' continues. Errors on both sides. It must be hard to stay motivated when playing in front of 3,000 people.

56th minute - Willie Tonga is devastating when het gets early ball. On this occasion he splits the defence, blowing by SKD, then finds Bani who goes over in the corner.

Another decision butchered by the officials as replays suggest Tonga's pass was forward. Cowboys 24-14.

59th minute - Willie Mason fades across field with the ball like a 5/8 and finds Scott Bolton hitting the line... Hilarious to see Willie play this role with such confidence. This is notable because Jason Ryles tries to do something similar during the next set and is crushed by the Cowboys defence.

64th minute - Roosters desperate to create some points here, down 10 with 15 minutes to go. They seem to be fumbling their way through this game. Have had good field position but continue making errors - they do again here. Not good enough from the Roosters.

Thought - I like the way the Cowboys and Neil Henry have managed the debut of Michael Morgan. Bowen and Rovelli are handling most of the kicking duties and Bolton is covering the debutant very well in defence. He is smashing everything coming the way of the 19 year old. Morgan is being injected at opportune moments and is not being asked to do much. This takes the pressure off the kid and in time will give him more and more confidence to play his natural game and learn the art of being a first grade halfback.

71st minute - Tonga over!! The Cowboys have taken full advantage of a lacklustre Roosters performance tonight. Playing a simple brand of football, using a committee of ball players to cover for the injured Jonathan Thurston. Morgan, Rovelli, Watts and Aaron Payne have all shared kicking and organising duties. A good balance.

On this occasion they keep the ball alive through debutant Morgan who finds Tonga where the Roosters were short. Cowboys 28-14.

74th minute - Another Roosters attacking opportunity ends in error as the 1,000 people in attendance start heading to the exits. It won't take long to get out of the car park tonight.

Thought - I've tipped 0 from 4 this weekend. Horrible.

77th minute - North Queensland have completely embarrassed their highly favoured hosts. Anthony Watts carries Todd Carney over the try line to rub salt into the wounds. The Roosters have not handled some poor refereeing decisions very well and this is now a butt-kicking. Cowboys 32-14.

Thought - the crowd tonight sounded like an ‘Arrive Alive’ cup game. (School boy footy where the only people in the crowd are parents of the players and a few people who could get out of school for the big match)

80th minute - Garbage time.

GAME OVER - Cowboys get their first away win of the season: 32-14.

Tune in next week for Manly v Parra.

Thursday, May 6, 2010

Paully's Picks - Round 9

City v Country

Can't wait to see who stands out when the games biggest stars come together in this annual fixture. Combinations are the key in City v Country and both sets of halves have played together in the past and will communicate well. Equally as important are the combinations with each rake and we can see Mick Ennis deferring nicely to his halves. If so, he is a big chance to hold on to his NSW jumper. By the same token, Robbie Farah will give a good account of himself, but may not have such a good relationship with his very young city halves. Our prediction is that he over calls them at least 70% of the time in this game.

Speaking of predictions, obviously the result of this match is the second most important part. The most important aspect is the fight for Skye blue jerseys so keep an eye on Greg Bird as the standout, ready to return to the representative arena. Look forward to seeing Jamal Idris and Timana Tahu in the centres for Country. Absolutely Lethal. Country to win with a more experienced 6 and 7, and an absolutely magnificent bench. Let's hope they put on a great show for the lovely people of Port Macquarie.

Man of the Match Prediction: Greg Bird
Tip: Country 24-20
Result: Country 36-18
Man of the Match: Josh Dugan


Australia v New Zealand

Always great to see the best of the best come together to represent their country. In this case, the Australian backline will be a site to behold and will no doubt impress the people of Victoria in Friday's test match against the Kiwis. NZ pride will keep this match close for a while, but the Australians will have too many weapons to overcome the current World Cup Champions whose forward pack looks a little skinny compared to teams of the past.

Isaac Luke has been a standout for his NRL club this year so it will be interesting to see just how far he has come in a battle with the best, Cameron Smith. Also keep an eye on Manly teammates Steve Matai and Jamie Lyon running into each other a few times; let's hope Matai treats his club captain with the same disdain as all of his opposite numbers. The Kangaroo's backline is one of the quickest and most dangerous we've ever seen and they could do some serious damage to the Kiwi's if given enough space.

Man of the Match Prediction: Billy Slater
Tip: Australia 30 -16
Result: Australia 12-8
Man of the Match: Sam Thaiday


Manly v St George Illawarra

This will be a great game of footy. Let's all pretend that 12 players in this game are NOT backing from playing a rep game 24 hours before kick-off at Brookvale Oval. Let's pretend there's been an intense build-up all week and that both teams have been talking this game up through the media. Let's pretend Wayne Bennett and Des Hasler have been preparing their troops very well for the opening exchanges in this heated affair and not simply running training sessions with a skeleton crew.

Barring injury, it may still turn out this way and if so I can't wait. So many great matchups across the park and collectively, these teams will butt heads for 80 minutes with the winner showing better discipline/ball control. Saints will have to fight harder than they did last week to secure a win and with a more experienced side and a fresh set of halves, they do. A very close encounter dominated by defence but Saints keep their momentum going and leave the insular peninsular with two points.

Man of the Match Prediction: Dean Young
Tip: Dragons 21-14
Result: Manly 24-6
Man of the Match: Jason King


Newcastle v Gold Coast

With so many talented footballers on the park in this game, we can't see anything but a high scoring affair on a beautiful Sunday afternoon in Newcastle. The Titans are not simply a strong team at home anymore; they have displayed a new resolve and play their best footy at the most important part of matches - the final 20 minutes. This discipline and consistency has been lacking with the Knights so far this year and combined with their struggles in defence, they are difficult to tip.

But I'm going to anyway. Kurt Gidley's last 3 weeks have been impressive and the Knights are slowly developing a resolve of their own that will peak against the Titans this week. Newcastle get their first back-to-back victory of the season and finally play to their potential against quality opponents. Field position is key and the home side get an edge in this department through a powerful forward pack led by Ben Cross and Steve Simpson. Newcastle explodes out of the gates and hold on to win.

Man of the Match Prediction: Kurt Gidley
Tip: Newcastle 28-26
Result: Titans 38-36
Man of the Match: Greg Bird


Melbourne v Brisbane

Bottom of the table clash! As Melbourne languishes in the wooden spoon position, the Broncos are in similar strife as they have been ravaged by injuries so far this year and are struggling to stop teams from scoring. Who will win the battle of the also-rans? ... All jokes aside, Brisbane could be in a spot of bother here. They face a Storm side that have been given a license to play open attacking football and will be christening their new stadium in front of a raucous home crowd.

The Storm might have a few points in them against a visiting Broncos team who give up an average of just under 30 points per match. A few Storm players backing up from rep footy but it won't make a difference as they run up a big lead over their arch-rivals and then the big question will be whether they take the foot off the pedal. Inglis v Folau will be a site to behold and could be the last time these two superstars are on the same field together. Storm by plenty.

Man of the Match Prediction: Cooper Cronk
Tip: Melbourne 42-10
Result: Brisbane - 36-14
Man of the Match: Darren Lockyer


Eastern Suburbs v Nth Queensland

The Roosters were very impressive in their win against the Tigers at Campbelltown last week. To restrict the Tigers to 8 points is a magnificent effort in defence (admittedly they were sloppy with the ball). This type of toughness has been missing from Bondi for some time and will put them in good stead for the remainder of the season - starting with the struggling Cowboys. With the curse of injury striking the boys from Townsville, they are huge underdogs in this match.

Aaron Payne has been named to make his return which is a bright spot for the visitors, but this won't be enough to out-score the Roosters who have shown they can be inventive as well as patient with the football. Coach Brian Smith has his charges all moving in the same direction and that will point towards 2 points on Monday night. Interesting to see the crowd response to Willie Mason's return to Sydney as well as the debut of 19 year old halfback Michael Morgan for the Cowboys. He will no doubt have some big Roosters forwards running at him all night long.

Man of the Match Prediction: Todd Carney
Tip: Roosters 34-14
Result: Cowboys 32-14
Man of the Match: Scott Bolton

 
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Tuesday, May 4, 2010

What this weekend means for the NSW State of Origin squad

Selections for the Australian team and for the city country fixture suggest that the following team list is most likely for NSW this year.

1. Kurt Gidley (C)
The selectors still give off the impression that they have not decided on a fullback or captain which is a bad sign. However with Kurt selected for Australia and Hayne on the wing in the same team - it looks like this decision will go in the 'too hard' basket for Fulton, Daley and McCarthy as they stick with incumbents. Fine with me.
2. Jarryd Hayne
As suggested above - he has won multiple NSW players' player awards in this position and can be given a license by Craig Bellamy to turn up wherever he wants. This will merge perfectly with kick return options now being a valuable attacking weapon with the 'downtown' rule in place.
3 Michael Jennings
This is a worry. Not because of Michael Jennings, but because he has been chosen on the wing in city v country. Why? One can only assume he will partner Jarryd Hayne on one side of the field for origin so they thought this might prepare Jennings to switch with Hayne if needed. Does this theory sound like a stretch? Possibly; but trying to think like the NSW selectors is like trying to understand a group of drunken old ladies impersonating a group of drunken old men with MS and Alzheimer’s.
4 Chris Lawrence.
Lawrence has no semi final experience. He is a supremely talented footballer but at this stage, it should be Matt Cooper but it won't be. Imagine the confidence he would give to the rest of the side. Imagine the defensive wall that would exist on Cooper’s side of the field against the QLD backline. Imagine the NSW selectors for once showing faith in a proven performer. Imagine the combination with...
5. Brett Morris
Although I'm not a fan of selecting debutants when you don't have to - Morris is the exception. He fits the mould for a man prepared perfectly for an origin debut. Played semi final footy - plenty of speed and class - in good form and has represented his country. He must be picked. I'm sure his debut will have some 'delicate' moments but that comes with the territory for origin debutants.
6. Jamie Lyon
Rumours have already circulated around the selection of none other than the killer in this position. Laurie Daley's adopted son gets another chance to show why he has been welcomed back to the NSW side after "retiring" from rep footy. Lyon's defensive performance last year was a lowlight. With the amount of specialist five eighths available, this selection will defy logic - a standard procedure for NSW selectors.
7. Brett Kimmorley
No reason why the incumbent should miss out. But you always get that nervous feeling with Kimmorley. Actually, that could be the Thai food I have for lunch every Wednesday which comes back on you around kick off time and coupled with origin nerves in general - it may have nothing to do with ‘noddy’.
8. Josh Perry.
There are four qualified props running around for NSW and this should be an easy one. First cab off the rank is Josh Perry. Picked for Australia and is the incumbent for NSW. If the selectors don’t start with him they should be hung.
9. Michael Ennis
Seems as though they haven’t decided on the NSW hooker just yet. City v Country on Friday night might have a bearing but ultimately it’s hard to ignore the Bulldogs’ combination. I'd suggest that even if Robbie Farah dominates on Friday, the selectors will go with Ennis. I wouldn't mind. Its origin and Farah will never get the space and time he is given at the Tigers. They play a style of attack that is difficult to relate to origin.
10. Michael Weyman
Automatic selection. Origin experience counts for so much. That is why people like Galloway and Snowden will have to wait.
11 Ben Creagh
No doubt that Ben Creagh is ready to shine on the games biggest stage. NSW have a number of back rowers who can deliver. e.g.
12 Anthony Watmough
Representing his country on Friday night, his selection for NSW is the easiest pick of the bunch. Which makes me feel like the selectors will mess it up.
13. Paul Gallen
Unfortunately Gallen is the Australian lock so his selection for NSW will cost them at least 4 big penalties during tense moments in the series. The selectors seem like they will ignore Craig Bellamy when he mentions this. Glenn Stewart would be perfect for this position, as would Luke O'Donnell and Anthony Laffranchi.

Speaking of O'Donnell and Laffranchi, they and the rest of the bench will choose themselves. Probably Luke Lewis and Trent Waterhouse.

All have origin experience and are ready to perform. Which means the selectors will go for something totally different because they have shown in the past they are clueless when it comes to showing loyalty to players.
That might sound ridiculous considering NSW's recent record... but that is exactly the point, the education received from last years series will only serve to better prepare them for revenge this year. Trust your previous selections and give them a chance.

So, I’d like to see players who have been blooded from last year get an opportunity to use that experience this year. Therefore, coupled with a blend of youth and experience, the below is my preference. Also listed are 6 squad members who would be in camp in case of injury throughout the series.

1. Gidley (c) - He deserves to be rewarded for years of service and can be trusted to play well.
2. Hayne - I'd rather have him at the back but loyalty to Gidley will unite the squad around their captain.
3. Jennings - Aggressive this year and ready.
4. Cooper - More than just a defensive specialist.
5. Morris - speed to burn - good under the high ball and online defense is impressive.
6. Barrett - experience in important positions. Has never played a 'bad' origin match.
7. Kimmorley - refuses to let the emotion get the better of him. This calmness is invaluable.
8. Perry - will not be intimidated and has shown an urgency this year to defend his line.
9. Ennis - his selection makes the NSW 'spine' look the same as game 3 last year. Great for cohesion.
10. Weyman - Easy pick.
11. Creagh - Impressed as a debutant last year and will be better for the run.
12. Watmough - Obvious choice and will stand out as the squads emotional leader.
13. Stewart - A great scrambling defender and wonderful ball skills. Your traditional lock forward.

14. Lewis - perfect utility.
15. White - even with only one NRL game this year - he will lift for origin as he did in game 3 last year.
16. Poore - I wish they would show faith and ignore whats happening at parramatta. Poore will lift.
17. Waterhouse - big and powerful. Your perfect bench forward who can fill all positions in the pack.

18. O’Donnell - will play at some stage through injury or suspension.
19. Laffranchi - a class above in attack.
20. Tahu - If Hayne was fullback - Tahu would be your starting winger.
21. Mason - I'd like to see him play rep footy again - he is good fun.
22. Bird - safe and controlled. tough in defense. He is the perfect footballer if you want to win 10-6.
23. Carney - Keep him around the camp and let him learn what its about before throwing him in.