Penrith v Manly
A battle of the halves. The rising Panthers star Luke Walsh with 20 year old Wade Graham by his side, up against Manly's 2010 season saviours, Trent Hodkinson and Kieran Foran. Hodkinson's unbelievable performance last week was an example of how well Manly have recovered from the loss of Matt Orford. In fact it's difficult to say if Orford had the necessary ice in his veins to match his successor’s feats against Souths last week.
Of course, to lay the platform on Friday night, opposing forward packs will be belting the daylights out of each other and winners of this battle invariably win the match. Penrith for mine. Young Tim Grant has improved each week and will be nicely supported by a star studded back row. The Eagles will be ready for this though so tune in to enjoy the show. Panthers at the death.
Man of the Match Prediction: Luke Lewis
Tip: Panthers 18-14
Result: Panthers 40-22
Man of the Match: Michael Jennings
Snap Review:
The Panthers ar simply having a party when they play at CUA. Manly's halves are starting to struggle with weel to week first grade. Hodkinson and Foran will be better for the experience but you can tell they are mentally tired.
St George Illawarra v Wests
Dear Wests Tigers,
Who are you and what have you done with the Wests Tigers. I hardly even know who you are anymore... You seem to be winning close games by grinding out victory with your defence? How dare you!! I thought you were different. I thought you scored an average of 32 points a game and allow the opposition to score 30. I thought that was your game plan!! I also see that you currently 3rd on the ladder. Keep up the good work.
Sincerely,
League fans everywhere.
PS - the Dragons will probably have your measure on Friday night at Kogarah Oval because they are the experts when it comes to grinding out a victory. On this occasion I can't see the student out-thinking the master. I am, however, looking forward to seeing your super talented team go up against the best defensive unit in the land. Good luck.
Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Hornby
Tip: Dragons 19-12
Result: Dragons 34-10
Man of the Match: Matt Prior
Snap Review:
I love it when MOM goes to a front rower. Excellent decision Wally Lewis and long may your commentary years continue. The Tigers won't win anything without a halfback. Lui or Moltzen must return for them to be any chance.
Parramatta v Brisbane
Happy to ignore both teams previous performances. Parramatta turn up every few weeks to remind us that they are still premiership threats even after some bad results this season. Brisbane remind us that they still rely on Darren Lockyer despite surrounding him with some young, eager and talented footballers. That makes this one difficult to tip. It's that sort of weekend actually.
Parramatta struggle to back up from a physical Monday Night battle in the Hunter and the Broncos enjoy a weeks rest. Lockyer and Thaiday especially will play with renewed enthusiasm to lead the visitors to an impressive victory. Looking forward to Jarryd Hayne hopefully respond to recent criticism of his form but Brisbane by their teeth, especially if predicted rain comes along.
Man of the Match Prediction: Sam Thaiday
Tip: Brisbane 18-12
Result: Brisbane 10-6
Man of the Match: Corey Parker
Snap Review:
Corey Parker and the rest of the Broncos back row are having career seasons. Thaiday, obviously... but Parker is leading this team brilliantly and is a wonderful example to the baby broncos. Ben Teo, Lagi Setu and other interchange forwards have once again prven that with a larger selection base than every other team in the compeition - they will never suffer through a dry spell of longer than 1 or 2 seasons.
North Queensland v Cronulla
We have reached a point in the season where a bottom of the table clash such as this promises little and will no doubt deliver even less. How can this be, with the best halfback in Australia captaining the Cowboys? If you know the answer to this then please let me know. Something terrible is going on in tropical North Queensland and it aint much better down in god’s country.
Still, I'm a fan of the Sharks' back three. Especially Blake Ferguson and hopefully they will design an attack that showcases his immense talent and impressive speed. Based on the last two seasons, they probably won't and subsequently won't have enough points in them to overcome a home side looking to atone for their huge loss in Melbourne. Matt Bowen slowly getting better and will find his form in this match. The Cowboys win.
Man of the Match Prediction: Matt Bowen
Tip: North Queensland 32-20
Result: Cronulla 20-19
Man of the Match: Paul Gallen
Snap Review:
Unbelievable. JT must be ready to throttle somebody.
South Sydney v Melbourne
A big test for the Bunnies. South Sydney have been impressive this year and made us forget how inconsistent they.ve been in recent times. Souths have shown a renewed sense of belief in themselves, especially in that forward pack. So, as it has been in the past few years, playing against the Melbourne Storm will be a true test of how far they have come.
Souths are up against it here. They play away from their fans with a young team against the experience and talent of the Storm who are playing an aggressive brand of football without any fear of making mistakes. Melbourne will be a dangerous opponent on Saturday night and if Souths do not start with discipline and an aggression of their own, they will find it tough going. It could be a steep learning curve for the bunnies.
Man of the Match Prediction: Billy Slater
Tip: Melbourne 26-16
Result: South Sydney 16-14
Man of the Match: Sam Burgess
Snap Review:
Souths have noe arrived. I hope they get a home semi final. The fans in sydney will erupt into a collective volcano of support as we see woodwork all over the city oozing fans.
Eastern Suburbs v NZ Warriors
A lot to like about the Roosters this year after a horror 2009. Mitchell Pearce is flourishing under the guidance of Brian Smith and Todd Carney joins him in the halves this week with Minichiello moving to his preferred position at fullback. On paper this makes for a great spine and working behind an impressive forward pack should give them great confidence.
The Roosters youth, however, has been their undoing. Inconsistent form has plagued every club this season so hard to criticise the boys from Bondi, but it is difficult to tip them playing across the Tasman, so I won't. The Warriors are led admirably in attack by James Maloney and his young halves partner, Isaac John. Our other prediction is that 6 Roosters players will be admitted to hospital suffering from frostbite.
Man of the Match Prediction: Manu Vatuvei
Tip: Warriors 20-6
Result: Warriors 20-18
Man of the Match: Kevin Locke
Snap Review:
If you have not seen the try that Kevin Locke scored to win the match in the dying seconds - do yourself a favour. The Roosters were in control of this match at every turn and did not deserve to lose. Unbelievable result in horrible conditions.
Gold Coast v Newcastle
Once again, we are faced with a Titans side missing captain, leader and lynchpin, Scott Prince. Gold Coast looked like putting up a big score on the Bulldogs last week before Prince's injury. Without him, they revert to a less exciting and somewhat bullish style of play revolving around ruck domination. Greg Bird is the perfect pivot to lead this attack and the Knights are the perfect team to adopt this style against.
In fact, Newcastle will suffocate against this game plan and with Luke Bailey, Preston Campbell and Ash Harrison back from injury, the 6.5 start given to the Knights seems generous. The presence of Kurt Gidley might ensure the Knights stay close but the Titans will have too much in the end. Good battle between two hard-heads as Mat Rogers sizes up Adam MacDougall, perhaps one last time. Titans too good at home.
Man of the Match Prediction: Preston Campbell
Tip: Gold Coast 30-12
Result: Knights 24-16
Man of the Match: Kurt Gidley
Snap Review:
Without Scott Prince - they just seem to be slightly confused, but that is no excuse for some of the defensive errors committed by the Titans in this match. If they are fairdinkum, they dont drop matches like this to a team coming near the bottom of the ladder, whilst playing them at home.
Canberra v Canterbury
Monday Night in our nation's capital. The people of Canberra will be sick of politicians dominating the news by the end of this weekend and will be crying out for something good and decent to see on their TV's and in morning papers. Rugby League, as usual, will provide for them. Beware though, my friends from Bruce, Belconnen and Barton... the Bulldogs are facing the end of their season and are on their way to town.
The Raiders are slightly favoured at home but this fails to signify how high a mountain the dogs must climb to win this match. Their confidence is shot, their defence embarrassed, their attack predictable and their task almost insurmountable. Almost; let's give them one more shot here to save the season and we predict a furious start from the Dogs, and a fire in the eye we have not seen for some time. Canterbury scrape home led by Ben Hannant and Mick Ennis.
Man of the Match Prediction: Ben Hannant
Tip: Canterbury 19-18
Result: Canterbury 18-10
Man of the Match: Ben Hannant
Snap Review:
Finally picked one. The dogs DID start furiously and Hannant WAS man of the match. pity you cant bet on this unless its a semi or origin.
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form on Tuesday. For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
Thursday, June 24, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
NSW - Where did it all go wrong?
In the wash up of Queensland’s record 5th consecutive series victory, every possible excuse has been made as to why NSW were beaten so convincingly. In most people's opinions, the team selected was not near good enough and the predictable and pointless attacking of players and coaches involved in the loss has been overwhelming.
These comments by journalists and fans alike are promoting many different reasons for the loss, and what should have been done to avoid it. Let’s address the most common:
1. You can’t possibly have a bench with no props.
Interesting. All I can say about this is that the last time NSW won a series, they went into the match with the following bench:
Craig Gower
Steve Simpson
Steve Menzies
Andrew Ryan
This was the 2005 decider when Andrew Johns played halfback. No specialist front rowers. Granted, the game plan with Johns was to tailor the attack around mobility, but this still suggests that you don't need 4 front rowers as a staple.
2. The halves.
Bloggers, scribes and forum writers have all voiced their opinion as to who should be (and of course who should HAVE been) the halves pairing for NSW in games 1 and 2. One thing that we have learnt from the past is that changing your halves during a series does not work. In game 1 this year, selectors went with a specialist centre to play five eighth and then replaced him with a regular number 6 who not only was completely overlooked for the opener, but named on-field captain for game 2. Fascinating.
Looking at the halves pairings from the last 5 year paints a horrible picture.
2006
Game 1 - Brett Finch / Braith Anasta (NSW win)
Game 2 - Brett Finch / Braith Anasta (NSW loss)
Game 3 - Craig Gower / Mark Gasnier (NSW loss)
2007
Game 1 - Jarrod Mullen / Braith Anasta (NSW loss)
Game 2 - Brett Kimmorley / Braith Anasta (NSW loss)
Game 3 - Brett Kimmorley / Greg Bird (NSW win)
2008
Game 1 - Peter Wallace / Greg Bird (NSW win)
Game 2 - Peter Wallace / Greg Bird (NSW loss)
Game 3 - Mitchell Pearce / Braith Anasta (NSW loss)
2009
Game 1 - Peter Wallace / Terry Campese (NSW loss)
Game 2 - Peter Wallace / Trent Barrett (NSW loss)
Game 3 - Brett Kimmorley / Trent Barrett (NSW win)
2010
Game 1 – Brett Kimmorley / Trent Barrett (NSW loss)
Game 2 - Mitchell Pearce / Trent Barrett (NSW loss)
Every one of these changes (not including dead rubbers) has resulted in a loss. Anyone heard the saying about people who refuse to learn from history? For all those who pushed for changes and sackings - I hope you have now learnt your lesson. For some reason I doubt you have.
3. The Timana Tahu incident.
A team looking for excuses is destined to find one.
4. Kurt Gidley v Jarryd Hayne
A simple message to all those who complained for years that Gidley was not worthy of his position and Hayne should be fullback... Your silence is deafening. Hayne playing fullback did not change a thing as predicted on this blog some time ago. Changes are not the answer.
Finally
5. Darren Lockyer.
We have only heard whispers in the Sydney press that QLD were the better side. Of all the above, this is the only theory with any weight as to why NSW are without a trophy once again. The Black Prince makes everyone around him better and has been a dominant yet subtle force for years. Lockyer is the best of our generation, has consistently been winning games at the highest level and has been an inspiration to all around him for a decade.
So - of all the complaints and debates it is only fair to say that this is the best QLD team ever and one of the greatest rugby league sides ever assembled. Even if the above issues were resolved, it would not have mattered and to rub salt into our wounds, a list of Maroon players and their respective ages reads like a prophecy of pain for years to come.
If NSW pick a young side focused on attack, an older side focused on defence, 4 props, different halves, Robbie Farah or Mick Ennis, change the coach, name a new captain or whatever new plan one might use... it would not have mattered.
As a New South Welshman, this conclusion makes me sick... So I guess it’s my turn to come up with a plan to slay the giant. Perhaps we learn from history as opposed to ignoring it. Laurie Daley was 22 when given the NSW captaincy when he led the Blues to a series victory in 1992. Perhaps we follow this example and then stick with a team so that they might play without fear of being dumped. It just might get them to finally believe in each other.
Last word comes from my mate Rod. A die hard Sharks fan and combined with his passion for NSW, is a man who is living through darker rugby league times than anyone I know. With about 20 minutes remaining in game 2, he looks at me and says, "I can see myself complaining to my grandkids about this exact point in my life".
These comments by journalists and fans alike are promoting many different reasons for the loss, and what should have been done to avoid it. Let’s address the most common:
1. You can’t possibly have a bench with no props.
Interesting. All I can say about this is that the last time NSW won a series, they went into the match with the following bench:
Craig Gower
Steve Simpson
Steve Menzies
Andrew Ryan
This was the 2005 decider when Andrew Johns played halfback. No specialist front rowers. Granted, the game plan with Johns was to tailor the attack around mobility, but this still suggests that you don't need 4 front rowers as a staple.
2. The halves.
Bloggers, scribes and forum writers have all voiced their opinion as to who should be (and of course who should HAVE been) the halves pairing for NSW in games 1 and 2. One thing that we have learnt from the past is that changing your halves during a series does not work. In game 1 this year, selectors went with a specialist centre to play five eighth and then replaced him with a regular number 6 who not only was completely overlooked for the opener, but named on-field captain for game 2. Fascinating.
Looking at the halves pairings from the last 5 year paints a horrible picture.
2006
Game 1 - Brett Finch / Braith Anasta (NSW win)
Game 2 - Brett Finch / Braith Anasta (NSW loss)
Game 3 - Craig Gower / Mark Gasnier (NSW loss)
2007
Game 1 - Jarrod Mullen / Braith Anasta (NSW loss)
Game 2 - Brett Kimmorley / Braith Anasta (NSW loss)
Game 3 - Brett Kimmorley / Greg Bird (NSW win)
2008
Game 1 - Peter Wallace / Greg Bird (NSW win)
Game 2 - Peter Wallace / Greg Bird (NSW loss)
Game 3 - Mitchell Pearce / Braith Anasta (NSW loss)
2009
Game 1 - Peter Wallace / Terry Campese (NSW loss)
Game 2 - Peter Wallace / Trent Barrett (NSW loss)
Game 3 - Brett Kimmorley / Trent Barrett (NSW win)
2010
Game 1 – Brett Kimmorley / Trent Barrett (NSW loss)
Game 2 - Mitchell Pearce / Trent Barrett (NSW loss)
Every one of these changes (not including dead rubbers) has resulted in a loss. Anyone heard the saying about people who refuse to learn from history? For all those who pushed for changes and sackings - I hope you have now learnt your lesson. For some reason I doubt you have.
How can we wipe the XXXX smile off his face? http://www.flickr.com/photos/mrfourex
A team looking for excuses is destined to find one.
4. Kurt Gidley v Jarryd Hayne
A simple message to all those who complained for years that Gidley was not worthy of his position and Hayne should be fullback... Your silence is deafening. Hayne playing fullback did not change a thing as predicted on this blog some time ago. Changes are not the answer.
Finally
5. Darren Lockyer.
We have only heard whispers in the Sydney press that QLD were the better side. Of all the above, this is the only theory with any weight as to why NSW are without a trophy once again. The Black Prince makes everyone around him better and has been a dominant yet subtle force for years. Lockyer is the best of our generation, has consistently been winning games at the highest level and has been an inspiration to all around him for a decade.
The best of a generation.
So - of all the complaints and debates it is only fair to say that this is the best QLD team ever and one of the greatest rugby league sides ever assembled. Even if the above issues were resolved, it would not have mattered and to rub salt into our wounds, a list of Maroon players and their respective ages reads like a prophecy of pain for years to come.
If NSW pick a young side focused on attack, an older side focused on defence, 4 props, different halves, Robbie Farah or Mick Ennis, change the coach, name a new captain or whatever new plan one might use... it would not have mattered.
As a New South Welshman, this conclusion makes me sick... So I guess it’s my turn to come up with a plan to slay the giant. Perhaps we learn from history as opposed to ignoring it. Laurie Daley was 22 when given the NSW captaincy when he led the Blues to a series victory in 1992. Perhaps we follow this example and then stick with a team so that they might play without fear of being dumped. It just might get them to finally believe in each other.
Pick and stick - it will promote unity.
Thursday, June 17, 2010
Paully's Picks - Round 15
Brisbane v Penrith
First leg of a double header in the annual footy extravaganza at Suncorp Stadium. How fitting that a football festival kicks off with two attacking teams who are not afraid to throw the ball around. The Broncos are dangerous with more players returning from injury each week and their youngsters getting used to 1st grade in a hurry. Penrith have a similar crop of youth beginning to flower and their results speak for themselves.
So, who will do all the talking on Friday night? Hard to go past the Broncos on a 5 game winning streak where they have only allowed an average of 12 points in defence. Impressive. The Panthers will miss the 'small man syndrome' anger of Travis Burns and the inspirational leadership of Petero Civoneceva. Look for another big match from the Broncos’ star back rowers as they take on 3 of the best in Panthers trio Waterhouse, Pritchard and Lewis. A mighty affair.
Man of the Match Prediction: Peter Wallace
Tip: Brisbane 26-20
Result: Penrith 22-12
Man of the Match: Lachlan Coote
Snap Review:
Penrith worked hard with their discipline and the results showed. Good hit up metres, good kick chase, good defence. I can't believe Michael Gordon is not signed for next year. Penrith showed they can win without Petero. Also, welcome back Wade Graham. On the nose with Matt Elliott earlier and now coming back from injury, Graham is talented and lets hope he is nurtured.
Canterbury v Gold Coast
The dogs are not enjoying their footy lately. Their traditionally strong defence has lost its aura and their attack is averaging 11 points per game over the past 5 matches. Their chances of turning it around against a resurgent Titans squad look slim to say the least. Greg Bird looks a might better with the return of Mat Rogers and they will work the Bulldogs right sight defence mercilessly in this match. Bird will be a handful, as will Scott Prince as he conjures a magical kicking game to punish the 'home' side for 80 minutes.
The one roadblock awaiting Bird and Rogers will be one Jamal Idris. This battle will be a highlight but there won't be much else to bark about for the boys from Belmore as they struggle to keep pace with the Titans. The mobility of Laffranchi and his back row partners prove too sharp for the dog’s forwards who have been stale in attack. Prince and Preston Campbell could have a field day.
Man of the Match Prediction: Preston Campbell
Tip: Titans 32-12
Result: Titans 25-24
Man of the Match: Mark Minichiello
Snap Review:
If Scott Prince stayed on the field the result could have easily been an embarrassment for the Dogs. Ahead 18-6 early, the Titans lost their way when Prince's hamstring gave up on him but did enough to keep the fast finishing Bulldogs at bay. Barba took advantage of a tiring defence and looked fantastic with the ball - all too late though.
Melbourne v North Queensland
Return leg of a round 8 match won by the Storm 34-6. Difficult to see a different outcome to this one. Jonathan Thurston looks tired when not playing for QLD and the Cowboys seem to have internal problems resulting in a horrible record and rumours of coach/player infighting beginning to surface. The Storm, on the other hand, will enjoy playing with a full squad and seem to enjoy playing footy for the fun of it.
More fun in store for viewers of this match as Cameron Smith renews combinations with Cronk, Slater and friends to rough up the visitors and probably rough up JT in the process. Greg Inglis, if given enough space, could have his way with you centre Will Tupou in a definite mismatch. Keep an eye on front rowers Brett White and Matt Scott as they face each other for the second time this week. Could be fun.
Man of the Match Prediction: Billy Slater
Tip: Melbourne 22-10
Result: Melbourne 58-12
Man of the Match: Brett Finch
Snap Review:
And why not Finch? Brett played magnificently in this match. It's like the Storm had complete disdain and disrespect for the Cowboys defence. They were bursting through the line at will. Watching Brett Finch 'toe-poke' a conversion between the posts could have been the funniest thing i've seen on the footy field for ages. Thanks Finchy for bringing the fun back into footy.
Manly v South Sydney
Great to see both teams with a full compliment heading into this match. Two clubs that have impressed so far this season and let’s hope this old rivalry lives up to it's 124 match history. Fantastic. The bunnies put in one of their worst performances of the season against Manly in round 8 this year and will be keen to atone for this. Before any revenge is considered, Souths must remember that they are heading to Brookvale Oval where Eagles fans will be baying for blood.
The folks from the north side don't care much for the boys from Redfern and will be happy to voice this hatred at every opportunity. Manly's forwards will heed the call and respond in kind. With the visitors forwards is such good form this year, we might see fireworks. Match of the round for mine as both clubs hit hard but home ground advantage carries Manly over the line. Hodkinson and Foran rebound from some recent struggles to get Manly back on track.
Man of the Match Prediction: Jamie Lyon
Tip: Manly 22-20
Result: Manly 26-25
Man of the Match: Glenn Stewart
Snap Review:
Cracking game at brooky. Manly seem to be improving every week. Watching them earlier this year, you wouldnt think they'd be making big comebacks like this. Trent Hodkinson with ice in his veins. Isaac Luke had another blinder and the Souths pack will be brilliant next year when they have spent more time together. How good is Ben Lowe?
Cronulla v St George Illawarra
"We are predicting plenty of 'niggle' in this game. The Sharks will be revved up to the eyeballs by Ricky Stuart and hoping to cause a massive upset in this local derby".
This is how we previewed the last match played between these clubs in round 8 this year. The Dragons won 38-0 without a punch thrown in anger. Very disappointing.
This time round, I implore Ricky Stuart to invoke the ghosts of Les Davidson, the Sorensen family and of-course Dan Stains to re-ignite this war of neighbours in the hope that the 2010 rivalry does not end with a whimper. Unfortunately Ricky looks like being out-coached again by Wayne Bennett as the Dragons defence will dominate and eventually this will reflect on the scoreboard. Saints to run away late.
Man of the Match Prediction: Darius Boyd
Tip: Dragons 30-10
Result: Dragons 22-4
Man of the Match: Ben Creagh
Snap Review:
Creagh does deserve this, but the Saints defence was outstanding. Simply hunting and scrambling as a pack with no mistakes and a relentless amount of energy to keep turning up. The Sharks were valiant but still need more spark in attack. Good to hear no complaints from the Cronulla camp after the Gallen 'try' was not awarded. I dont think it would have mattered.
Wests Tigers v Canberra
This Tigers team looks dangerous on paper. Very dangerous. Having not played in more than two weeks and opening the official "Balmain" leg of their season at Leichardt Oval, it is difficult to convince anyone to tip the Raiders here. Except those wonderfully loyal Raiders fans who travel in droves to support their team at away games. Must be nice to flee the sub-arctic temperatures of our nation’s capital for at least a few hours.
Moving on, the Raiders have been playing with a fair share of commitment and chutzpah this year but will find it difficult to shut down the Tigers who are rolling along nicely since the return of one Robert Lui. Huge wrap on this kid and huge wrap on the Tigers defence over the past 3 matches. The continuation of this good form will see the home side win well and welcome new recruit Wade McKinnon in style. The feisty Raiders may not go quietly though - Joel Thompson v Chris Lawrence a highlight.
Man of the Match Prediction: Robert Lui
Tip: Tigers 32-16
Result: Tigers 18-8
Man of the Match: Chris Heighington
Snap Review:
We love a good defensive struggle. Notice that this is happening more often with the Tigers? Not used to that are we? Perhaps a sign that the entire club is maturing into more than just a group who like to score points. Robert Lui again outstanding but the Wests forwards get all the credit here. Shout out to the Raiders forwards also, they muscled up well.
Newcastle v Parramatta
Reputations on the line here for the Newcastle Knights. Whilst defensive liability Scott Dureau is replaced by Ben Rogers for Monday Night Football this week, the Knights problems protecting their line remain. They allow an average of 75 points per game this season (please note that 90% of statistics on this blog are made up on the spot). Jokes aside, this must be a huge concern for folks in the Hunter as they try to restore some pride against the visiting Eels.
Speaking of the Eels, they seem to be cruising through the season, waiting for the big games to arrive. They will no doubt win enough to make the finals this year and then it’s anyone's trophy. For now, I'm tipping they take the week off for this match and the Knights cause an upset. Kurt Gidley leads from the front and Adam MacDougall's matchup against Timana Tahu will be a highlight. Newcastle bolt from the gates and do enough to hold on.
Man of the Match Prediction: Akuila Uate
Tip: Newcastle 24-22
Result: Newcastle 6-4
Man of the Match: Cory Paterson
Snap Review:
Wet and soggy. I've never seen this many dropped balls in a game of footy but somehow the match was still entertaining. Probably because their was a bit of niggle at the beginning and plenty of drama at the end. No complaints from me. I enjoyed this and also enjoyed seeing Kurt Gidley boot home the match winner. Much deserved.
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form on Tuesday. For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
First leg of a double header in the annual footy extravaganza at Suncorp Stadium. How fitting that a football festival kicks off with two attacking teams who are not afraid to throw the ball around. The Broncos are dangerous with more players returning from injury each week and their youngsters getting used to 1st grade in a hurry. Penrith have a similar crop of youth beginning to flower and their results speak for themselves.
So, who will do all the talking on Friday night? Hard to go past the Broncos on a 5 game winning streak where they have only allowed an average of 12 points in defence. Impressive. The Panthers will miss the 'small man syndrome' anger of Travis Burns and the inspirational leadership of Petero Civoneceva. Look for another big match from the Broncos’ star back rowers as they take on 3 of the best in Panthers trio Waterhouse, Pritchard and Lewis. A mighty affair.
Man of the Match Prediction: Peter Wallace
Tip: Brisbane 26-20
Result: Penrith 22-12
Man of the Match: Lachlan Coote
Snap Review:
Penrith worked hard with their discipline and the results showed. Good hit up metres, good kick chase, good defence. I can't believe Michael Gordon is not signed for next year. Penrith showed they can win without Petero. Also, welcome back Wade Graham. On the nose with Matt Elliott earlier and now coming back from injury, Graham is talented and lets hope he is nurtured.
Canterbury v Gold Coast
The dogs are not enjoying their footy lately. Their traditionally strong defence has lost its aura and their attack is averaging 11 points per game over the past 5 matches. Their chances of turning it around against a resurgent Titans squad look slim to say the least. Greg Bird looks a might better with the return of Mat Rogers and they will work the Bulldogs right sight defence mercilessly in this match. Bird will be a handful, as will Scott Prince as he conjures a magical kicking game to punish the 'home' side for 80 minutes.
The one roadblock awaiting Bird and Rogers will be one Jamal Idris. This battle will be a highlight but there won't be much else to bark about for the boys from Belmore as they struggle to keep pace with the Titans. The mobility of Laffranchi and his back row partners prove too sharp for the dog’s forwards who have been stale in attack. Prince and Preston Campbell could have a field day.
Man of the Match Prediction: Preston Campbell
Tip: Titans 32-12
Result: Titans 25-24
Man of the Match: Mark Minichiello
Snap Review:
If Scott Prince stayed on the field the result could have easily been an embarrassment for the Dogs. Ahead 18-6 early, the Titans lost their way when Prince's hamstring gave up on him but did enough to keep the fast finishing Bulldogs at bay. Barba took advantage of a tiring defence and looked fantastic with the ball - all too late though.
Melbourne v North Queensland
Return leg of a round 8 match won by the Storm 34-6. Difficult to see a different outcome to this one. Jonathan Thurston looks tired when not playing for QLD and the Cowboys seem to have internal problems resulting in a horrible record and rumours of coach/player infighting beginning to surface. The Storm, on the other hand, will enjoy playing with a full squad and seem to enjoy playing footy for the fun of it.
More fun in store for viewers of this match as Cameron Smith renews combinations with Cronk, Slater and friends to rough up the visitors and probably rough up JT in the process. Greg Inglis, if given enough space, could have his way with you centre Will Tupou in a definite mismatch. Keep an eye on front rowers Brett White and Matt Scott as they face each other for the second time this week. Could be fun.
Man of the Match Prediction: Billy Slater
Tip: Melbourne 22-10
Result: Melbourne 58-12
Man of the Match: Brett Finch
Snap Review:
And why not Finch? Brett played magnificently in this match. It's like the Storm had complete disdain and disrespect for the Cowboys defence. They were bursting through the line at will. Watching Brett Finch 'toe-poke' a conversion between the posts could have been the funniest thing i've seen on the footy field for ages. Thanks Finchy for bringing the fun back into footy.
Manly v South Sydney
Great to see both teams with a full compliment heading into this match. Two clubs that have impressed so far this season and let’s hope this old rivalry lives up to it's 124 match history. Fantastic. The bunnies put in one of their worst performances of the season against Manly in round 8 this year and will be keen to atone for this. Before any revenge is considered, Souths must remember that they are heading to Brookvale Oval where Eagles fans will be baying for blood.
The folks from the north side don't care much for the boys from Redfern and will be happy to voice this hatred at every opportunity. Manly's forwards will heed the call and respond in kind. With the visitors forwards is such good form this year, we might see fireworks. Match of the round for mine as both clubs hit hard but home ground advantage carries Manly over the line. Hodkinson and Foran rebound from some recent struggles to get Manly back on track.
Man of the Match Prediction: Jamie Lyon
Tip: Manly 22-20
Result: Manly 26-25
Man of the Match: Glenn Stewart
Snap Review:
Cracking game at brooky. Manly seem to be improving every week. Watching them earlier this year, you wouldnt think they'd be making big comebacks like this. Trent Hodkinson with ice in his veins. Isaac Luke had another blinder and the Souths pack will be brilliant next year when they have spent more time together. How good is Ben Lowe?
Cronulla v St George Illawarra
"We are predicting plenty of 'niggle' in this game. The Sharks will be revved up to the eyeballs by Ricky Stuart and hoping to cause a massive upset in this local derby".
This is how we previewed the last match played between these clubs in round 8 this year. The Dragons won 38-0 without a punch thrown in anger. Very disappointing.
This time round, I implore Ricky Stuart to invoke the ghosts of Les Davidson, the Sorensen family and of-course Dan Stains to re-ignite this war of neighbours in the hope that the 2010 rivalry does not end with a whimper. Unfortunately Ricky looks like being out-coached again by Wayne Bennett as the Dragons defence will dominate and eventually this will reflect on the scoreboard. Saints to run away late.
Man of the Match Prediction: Darius Boyd
Tip: Dragons 30-10
Result: Dragons 22-4
Man of the Match: Ben Creagh
Snap Review:
Creagh does deserve this, but the Saints defence was outstanding. Simply hunting and scrambling as a pack with no mistakes and a relentless amount of energy to keep turning up. The Sharks were valiant but still need more spark in attack. Good to hear no complaints from the Cronulla camp after the Gallen 'try' was not awarded. I dont think it would have mattered.
Wests Tigers v Canberra
This Tigers team looks dangerous on paper. Very dangerous. Having not played in more than two weeks and opening the official "Balmain" leg of their season at Leichardt Oval, it is difficult to convince anyone to tip the Raiders here. Except those wonderfully loyal Raiders fans who travel in droves to support their team at away games. Must be nice to flee the sub-arctic temperatures of our nation’s capital for at least a few hours.
Moving on, the Raiders have been playing with a fair share of commitment and chutzpah this year but will find it difficult to shut down the Tigers who are rolling along nicely since the return of one Robert Lui. Huge wrap on this kid and huge wrap on the Tigers defence over the past 3 matches. The continuation of this good form will see the home side win well and welcome new recruit Wade McKinnon in style. The feisty Raiders may not go quietly though - Joel Thompson v Chris Lawrence a highlight.
Man of the Match Prediction: Robert Lui
Tip: Tigers 32-16
Result: Tigers 18-8
Man of the Match: Chris Heighington
Snap Review:
We love a good defensive struggle. Notice that this is happening more often with the Tigers? Not used to that are we? Perhaps a sign that the entire club is maturing into more than just a group who like to score points. Robert Lui again outstanding but the Wests forwards get all the credit here. Shout out to the Raiders forwards also, they muscled up well.
Newcastle v Parramatta
Reputations on the line here for the Newcastle Knights. Whilst defensive liability Scott Dureau is replaced by Ben Rogers for Monday Night Football this week, the Knights problems protecting their line remain. They allow an average of 75 points per game this season (please note that 90% of statistics on this blog are made up on the spot). Jokes aside, this must be a huge concern for folks in the Hunter as they try to restore some pride against the visiting Eels.
Speaking of the Eels, they seem to be cruising through the season, waiting for the big games to arrive. They will no doubt win enough to make the finals this year and then it’s anyone's trophy. For now, I'm tipping they take the week off for this match and the Knights cause an upset. Kurt Gidley leads from the front and Adam MacDougall's matchup against Timana Tahu will be a highlight. Newcastle bolt from the gates and do enough to hold on.
Man of the Match Prediction: Akuila Uate
Tip: Newcastle 24-22
Result: Newcastle 6-4
Man of the Match: Cory Paterson
Snap Review:
Wet and soggy. I've never seen this many dropped balls in a game of footy but somehow the match was still entertaining. Probably because their was a bit of niggle at the beginning and plenty of drama at the end. No complaints from me. I enjoyed this and also enjoyed seeing Kurt Gidley boot home the match winner. Much deserved.
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form on Tuesday. For live updates go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
Wednesday, June 16, 2010
State of Origin 2 - Preview
Can it get any worse for NSW fans? Of course it can, we still have a game to play.
Off the field, I can't recall a more damaging pre game incident than what the Blues have experienced this past week. Safe to say that NSW will either crumble, as a unit, or find a way to stick together and accomplish the improbable - beat Queensland at Suncorp to save their reputations against the most dominant force in origin history. This dominant force will be enjoying the relative silence of a the past 10 days compared to origins past where all and sundry have been talking about violence. Seems the media finally have something else to write about.
Come Thursday morning however, we predict they will be writing about the on-field performances. "Lockyer and Thurston too good, NSW not up to standard and the blues should have picked someone else". You can count on it. You can also count on Sam Thaiday to continue his amazing season, Cameron Smith to remind everyone how good he actually is and Queensland’s young front rowers to make a name for themselves. Speed will be the main difference - NSW will struggle with this and won't have enough of it out wide to score points, or defend against one of the best Rugby League back lines ever assembled. My head says QLD, my heart says NSW and it's bleeding profusely.
Man of the Match Prediction: Darren Lockyer says farewell to 'Lang Park' in style.
Tip: I just can't do it..... NSW 19-18.
Off the field, I can't recall a more damaging pre game incident than what the Blues have experienced this past week. Safe to say that NSW will either crumble, as a unit, or find a way to stick together and accomplish the improbable - beat Queensland at Suncorp to save their reputations against the most dominant force in origin history. This dominant force will be enjoying the relative silence of a the past 10 days compared to origins past where all and sundry have been talking about violence. Seems the media finally have something else to write about.
Come Thursday morning however, we predict they will be writing about the on-field performances. "Lockyer and Thurston too good, NSW not up to standard and the blues should have picked someone else". You can count on it. You can also count on Sam Thaiday to continue his amazing season, Cameron Smith to remind everyone how good he actually is and Queensland’s young front rowers to make a name for themselves. Speed will be the main difference - NSW will struggle with this and won't have enough of it out wide to score points, or defend against one of the best Rugby League back lines ever assembled. My head says QLD, my heart says NSW and it's bleeding profusely.
Man of the Match Prediction: Darren Lockyer says farewell to 'Lang Park' in style.
Tip: I just can't do it..... NSW 19-18.
Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Minute by Minute Monday Night - Round 14
Melbourne Storm v Eastern Suburbs Roosters. AAMI Stadium. June 14, 2010.
It looks freezing in Melbourne so the Roosters should acclimatise well to this weather with all the snow we've had in Bondi lately!!!!
Jokes aside, the Roosters might struggle tonight - I only say that because I am desperate for my weekend multi to come up. My bet looks like this:
Warriors to beat Newcastle @ 2.45. Check.
Slovenia to beat Algeria by 1 goal @ 3.45. Check.
Melbourne +4.5 over the Roosters @ 1.90.
Fingers crossed for a $150 collect.
1st minute - This blog is a fan of Jake Friend. He represents the shining beacon of hope to all wayward souls that is Rugby League. Anyone can be forgiven and reborn under the warm bosom of the Greatest Game of All. Even Andrew Johns will be forgiven.
2nd minute - Storm halfback Luke Kelly's first kick aint so good. This kid is under a bit of pressure tonight.
4th minute - Kelly's opposite number tonight, Todd Carney, looks lively. As do the Roosters early.
5th minute - Storm butcher a try. My multi could have been up 8.5 - 0. Melbourne with a bit of momentum now. Two straight sets attacking the line... but they turn it over.
9th minute - Roosters have had zero field position in the early going. When they do, they will no doubt be aiming their attack at inexperienced combinations in the Storm defensive line.
13th minute - Luke Kelly's second kick is a beauty. 40/20. Nice work from the youngster but Melbourne fails to capitalise after throwing the ball around for 3 tackles to no effect.
15th minute - The Mad Pup knocks on to give the Roosters their first chance to attack in the oppositions 20.
18th minute - Luke Kelly shows his youth. Mose Masoe - a giant of a man playing in the front row tonight - runs right at him and scores easily. Roosters 6-0. My multi, at this point, is still OK.
20th minute - actually my multi looks better than OK. The Roosters cough it up on the first set after their try, a horrible error for coaches to see. Storm give it right back through Aidan Tolman error.
23rd minute - Roosters showing willingness to throw it around already. Tremendous work here as they attack up the left edge and Phil Graham finds space, they look dangerous. Melbourne will have to work hard tonight, harder than usual to secure a win. They might be able to defend well but at this stage do not have enough enterprise to score points. My multi now looks a bit shaky.
26th minute - Fantastic try to Phil Graham. Frank Paul offload started it and the backs finished it. They spread it well to find the overlap from inside their own half. Roosters looking the better side so far. They lead 12-0.
Thought - Doesn’t the rep calender really destroy games like this? I am enjoying watching this one but one cannot help but wonder what might have been. The Roosters have turned up. If only they turned up against a full strength Storm outfit. The more big games played, the more people will come to see your product. The NRL need to find a better way to schedule their season. I have an idea just like everyone else. More to come on this in the coming weeks.
29th minute - The Roosters follow up set of six is a beauty. It looked almost Tigers-like at their best. They go 100m in six tackles as Braith Anasta puts in a perfect kick for Shaun Kenny Dowall to score. Video ref says not try. SKD pushing Storm player illegally to get to the ball.
Must be said at this stage the Roosters are all over them. Minichiello looking good at fullback.
33rd minute - The Bondi boys are really keeping it alive and playing a very entertaining brand. Joseph Leilua throws a beautiful inside ball to get the Roosters within striking distance and this is followed up by rubbish penalty to put the Storm under even more pressure. Going down 18-0 just before halftime would be disastrous for this young side. They hold out though; still 12-0 Roosters.
Thought - Have not seen much of Todd Carney at this point. Jake Friend and Braith Anasta a lot of the kicking. Anasta controlling most of the attack on both sides of the ruck. The Roosters doing well without too much responsibility placed on Carney. A good sign considering how badly they have looked in attack without Mitchell Pearce this year.
36th minute - Sam Perrett makes an easy line break from a simple hit up and finds a streaking Kane Linnett on debut who goes in under the posts. Roosters 18-0.
Kane Linnett? I'm guessing he is either a Souths junior or a Queenslander…
(Upon checking the next day I find that Kane is a Dragons junior from Port Kembla – I am wrong again - I also find that his footy hero is Justin Hodges. I just vomited in my mouth a little bit)
39th minute - Roosters cough it up again after scoring. It does not seem to matter tonight though. My multi has one foot on the grave and the other foot has tinea.
40th minute - Storm a chance before halftime. Hinchcliffe goes over from dummy half but the video ref says no try. My multi is on life support.
Halftime - Roosters 18-0.
During intermission - I go on a Macca's run. As with every Macca's, it’s not far from your house. In the car I'm listening to Triple Ms Monday Night league commentary. They are interviewing Brian Smith during halftime!!! Awesome. A very American approach to media access, but I like it.
Heaps of people in the drive thru line at Maccas so I might miss the start of the second half.
48th minute - Indeed. I'm back on the couch to see the Roosters attacking the Melbourne line once again but still 18-0. McChicken meal with a JB.
51st minute - Sustained pressure could be too much for the young Storm squad. The Roosters look great in attack, every ruck looks organised and every run has intent. Repeat set coming up - and another after a penalty.
51st minute - The pressure is too much again for the Storm. Todd Carney floats across field and finds Mitch Aubusson who pops a one handed ball inside to Minichiello who scores. Great pass. Roosters 24-0,
54th minute - The Roosters ensuing set goes 100 metres again and they get a repeat set. This is a butt kicking. My multi is dead as dead as dead.
56th minute - Blowout City. Horrible night for the Storm. Great kick by Anasta who has been fantastic tonight. Finds Graham perfectly on left side who scores. Roosters 28-0.
59th minute - Every Roosters set of six seems like its going 100 metres. On this occasion the visitors get a little too excited, forward pass.
Thought - further on the disintegration of my multi - I did have another one going this weekend that involved a rugby league leg and just to show you how bad my tipping is... see below;
Manly +7.5 against the Titans - they lost by 14.
Manly u/20s -6.5 against the Titans (manly coming 2nd on the ladder and the Titans coming 2nd last), Manly lost by 12.
South Korea to beat Greece - they did.
My Manly tip sucked on two levels!!!
64th minute - Storm fire up a bit after Anasta head slamming penalty. It almost looked comical, watching Anasta try to get the attacker on his back. One of the problems with wrestling techniques today, they lead to many slow play-the-balls and silly penalties. On this occasion the storm get the penalty but fail to capitalise again,. Just can’t do it without the troops.
69th minute - Melbourne finally on the scoreboard after Minichiello knock on and penalties give them repeat sets. Dummy half scoot from Rory Kostjazyn. I dont even know if I spelt this correctly and I dont care. A horrible name to type. Roosters 28-6. (Or 28 - 10.5 with my multi line included. A diabolical end to a good betting weekend)
74th minute - Super performance from Braith tonight. He has been in everything and picked out weaknesses in the Storm defence on nearly every attacking raid. Has put them in two minds every time. On this occasion, he finds Frank Paul with a lovely ball to straighten the attack and his big back rower crosses untouched. Roosters 32-6.
77th minute - For and against might play a part come semi final time. The Roosters seem very aware of this and they put on another try. Sam Perrett crosses in the corner against a helpless Melbourne defence after good lead up work from Carney. Roosters 38-6.
Fulltime - Roosters 38-6.
Next week MNF heads up the F3 as Newcastle host the Eels. There will be no Minute by Minute blog next week - but go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/ for live broadcasts.
It looks freezing in Melbourne so the Roosters should acclimatise well to this weather with all the snow we've had in Bondi lately!!!!
Jokes aside, the Roosters might struggle tonight - I only say that because I am desperate for my weekend multi to come up. My bet looks like this:
Warriors to beat Newcastle @ 2.45. Check.
Slovenia to beat Algeria by 1 goal @ 3.45. Check.
Melbourne +4.5 over the Roosters @ 1.90.
Fingers crossed for a $150 collect.
1st minute - This blog is a fan of Jake Friend. He represents the shining beacon of hope to all wayward souls that is Rugby League. Anyone can be forgiven and reborn under the warm bosom of the Greatest Game of All. Even Andrew Johns will be forgiven.
2nd minute - Storm halfback Luke Kelly's first kick aint so good. This kid is under a bit of pressure tonight.
4th minute - Kelly's opposite number tonight, Todd Carney, looks lively. As do the Roosters early.
5th minute - Storm butcher a try. My multi could have been up 8.5 - 0. Melbourne with a bit of momentum now. Two straight sets attacking the line... but they turn it over.
9th minute - Roosters have had zero field position in the early going. When they do, they will no doubt be aiming their attack at inexperienced combinations in the Storm defensive line.
13th minute - Luke Kelly's second kick is a beauty. 40/20. Nice work from the youngster but Melbourne fails to capitalise after throwing the ball around for 3 tackles to no effect.
15th minute - The Mad Pup knocks on to give the Roosters their first chance to attack in the oppositions 20.
18th minute - Luke Kelly shows his youth. Mose Masoe - a giant of a man playing in the front row tonight - runs right at him and scores easily. Roosters 6-0. My multi, at this point, is still OK.
20th minute - actually my multi looks better than OK. The Roosters cough it up on the first set after their try, a horrible error for coaches to see. Storm give it right back through Aidan Tolman error.
23rd minute - Roosters showing willingness to throw it around already. Tremendous work here as they attack up the left edge and Phil Graham finds space, they look dangerous. Melbourne will have to work hard tonight, harder than usual to secure a win. They might be able to defend well but at this stage do not have enough enterprise to score points. My multi now looks a bit shaky.
26th minute - Fantastic try to Phil Graham. Frank Paul offload started it and the backs finished it. They spread it well to find the overlap from inside their own half. Roosters looking the better side so far. They lead 12-0.
Thought - Doesn’t the rep calender really destroy games like this? I am enjoying watching this one but one cannot help but wonder what might have been. The Roosters have turned up. If only they turned up against a full strength Storm outfit. The more big games played, the more people will come to see your product. The NRL need to find a better way to schedule their season. I have an idea just like everyone else. More to come on this in the coming weeks.
29th minute - The Roosters follow up set of six is a beauty. It looked almost Tigers-like at their best. They go 100m in six tackles as Braith Anasta puts in a perfect kick for Shaun Kenny Dowall to score. Video ref says not try. SKD pushing Storm player illegally to get to the ball.
Must be said at this stage the Roosters are all over them. Minichiello looking good at fullback.
33rd minute - The Bondi boys are really keeping it alive and playing a very entertaining brand. Joseph Leilua throws a beautiful inside ball to get the Roosters within striking distance and this is followed up by rubbish penalty to put the Storm under even more pressure. Going down 18-0 just before halftime would be disastrous for this young side. They hold out though; still 12-0 Roosters.
Thought - Have not seen much of Todd Carney at this point. Jake Friend and Braith Anasta a lot of the kicking. Anasta controlling most of the attack on both sides of the ruck. The Roosters doing well without too much responsibility placed on Carney. A good sign considering how badly they have looked in attack without Mitchell Pearce this year.
36th minute - Sam Perrett makes an easy line break from a simple hit up and finds a streaking Kane Linnett on debut who goes in under the posts. Roosters 18-0.
Kane Linnett? I'm guessing he is either a Souths junior or a Queenslander…
(Upon checking the next day I find that Kane is a Dragons junior from Port Kembla – I am wrong again - I also find that his footy hero is Justin Hodges. I just vomited in my mouth a little bit)
39th minute - Roosters cough it up again after scoring. It does not seem to matter tonight though. My multi has one foot on the grave and the other foot has tinea.
40th minute - Storm a chance before halftime. Hinchcliffe goes over from dummy half but the video ref says no try. My multi is on life support.
Halftime - Roosters 18-0.
During intermission - I go on a Macca's run. As with every Macca's, it’s not far from your house. In the car I'm listening to Triple Ms Monday Night league commentary. They are interviewing Brian Smith during halftime!!! Awesome. A very American approach to media access, but I like it.
Heaps of people in the drive thru line at Maccas so I might miss the start of the second half.
48th minute - Indeed. I'm back on the couch to see the Roosters attacking the Melbourne line once again but still 18-0. McChicken meal with a JB.
51st minute - Sustained pressure could be too much for the young Storm squad. The Roosters look great in attack, every ruck looks organised and every run has intent. Repeat set coming up - and another after a penalty.
51st minute - The pressure is too much again for the Storm. Todd Carney floats across field and finds Mitch Aubusson who pops a one handed ball inside to Minichiello who scores. Great pass. Roosters 24-0,
54th minute - The Roosters ensuing set goes 100 metres again and they get a repeat set. This is a butt kicking. My multi is dead as dead as dead.
56th minute - Blowout City. Horrible night for the Storm. Great kick by Anasta who has been fantastic tonight. Finds Graham perfectly on left side who scores. Roosters 28-0.
59th minute - Every Roosters set of six seems like its going 100 metres. On this occasion the visitors get a little too excited, forward pass.
Thought - further on the disintegration of my multi - I did have another one going this weekend that involved a rugby league leg and just to show you how bad my tipping is... see below;
Manly +7.5 against the Titans - they lost by 14.
Manly u/20s -6.5 against the Titans (manly coming 2nd on the ladder and the Titans coming 2nd last), Manly lost by 12.
South Korea to beat Greece - they did.
My Manly tip sucked on two levels!!!
64th minute - Storm fire up a bit after Anasta head slamming penalty. It almost looked comical, watching Anasta try to get the attacker on his back. One of the problems with wrestling techniques today, they lead to many slow play-the-balls and silly penalties. On this occasion the storm get the penalty but fail to capitalise again,. Just can’t do it without the troops.
69th minute - Melbourne finally on the scoreboard after Minichiello knock on and penalties give them repeat sets. Dummy half scoot from Rory Kostjazyn. I dont even know if I spelt this correctly and I dont care. A horrible name to type. Roosters 28-6. (Or 28 - 10.5 with my multi line included. A diabolical end to a good betting weekend)
74th minute - Super performance from Braith tonight. He has been in everything and picked out weaknesses in the Storm defence on nearly every attacking raid. Has put them in two minds every time. On this occasion, he finds Frank Paul with a lovely ball to straighten the attack and his big back rower crosses untouched. Roosters 32-6.
77th minute - For and against might play a part come semi final time. The Roosters seem very aware of this and they put on another try. Sam Perrett crosses in the corner against a helpless Melbourne defence after good lead up work from Carney. Roosters 38-6.
Fulltime - Roosters 38-6.
Next week MNF heads up the F3 as Newcastle host the Eels. There will be no Minute by Minute blog next week - but go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/ for live broadcasts.
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Paully's Picks - Round 14
Before we kick of this week - I thought it prudent to highlight my record so far this year, just to give readers an idea of my credentials as a tipster... or lack thereof.
My results from the last 6 weeks..
round 8 - 3/8
round 9 - 0/4
round 10 - 3/8
round 11 - 2/5
round 12 - 2/7
round 13 - 4/8
Total - 14/40 (that's a 35% strike rate)
So, get your wallets out and ready to bet. I'm obviously a lock.
Gold Coast v Manly
The Titans at $1.25??? Amazing. How can anyone be that confident after watching the NRL this season? The home side’s defence is under pressure and they will be desperate to right the ship in this match. Manly’s discipline, however, will bring the biggest challenge for the Titans to overcome.
They will. Preston Campbell and Nathan Friend combine well with Prince and Greg Bird to put the Titans season back on track. Manly gallant in defeat as they make things very difficult early on for Titans but eventually, Scott Prince the difference. George Rose a standout off the bench for Manly.
Man of the Match Prediction: Scott Prince
Tip: Titans 26-16
Result: Titans 28-14
Man of the Match: Greg Bird
Snap Review:
When the Titans play like this they are a pleasure to watch. Forwards hitting hard and running great lines, backs hitting harder than the forwards and running away for long distance tries. Super entertaining. Having Matt Rogers back in the squad made a big difference to the performance of Greg Bird as well. Experience counts. Credit also to the Titans bench who lifted for this one and collectively made an instant impact.
North Queensland v Canberra
The last time the Cowboys played without Jonathan Thurston, they put the Roosters to the sword in Sydney. In that match, the responsibility of guiding the team around the park was done by committee. At least 5 different players shared kicking duties and first receiver roles that night and this will be the same plan of attack against the visiting Raiders on Saturday night.
It could work, but I’m betting it won’t. The Raiders will kick this match off with a bang and run through the Cowboys defence often. Joel Thompson and Josh Dugan will cause problems for the Cowboys outside backs and if the home side play like they did last week, it will be a long night for fans up in Townsville.
Man of the Match Prediction: Joel Thompson
Tip: Raiders 24-20
Result: North Queensland 16-8
Man of the Match: Matt Bowen
Snap Review:
With the amount of ball the Raiders had in the 2nd half, they should have scored at least 3 tries. I counted 7 or 8 line breaks that all ended in error. The Cowboys played well enough to put pressure on the visitors from the start and that was enough. Josh Dugan out injured made a huge difference to the design of the raiders attack. The Cowboys are 2 from 2 without JT this year. Interesting.
Newcastle v NZ Warriors
Surprising how similar these two teams are. Not only do they have exactly the same points differential, but they are almost identical in a number of other statistical categories. Before I keep writing about stats… does anyone care...? Didn’t think so. Newcastle to win.
Scott Dureau has had a number of defensive lapses this season and will be under pressure to retain his spot. He and Jarrod Mullen must turn up in this match against a willing Warriors side boasting a fit Manu Vatuvei. I say they will turn up, but with home ground advantage the only real difference here. Knights use the amazing talents of Akuila Uate to their advantage and get a much needed victory.
Man of the Match Prediction: Jarrod Mullen
Tip: Newcastle 30-18
Result: Warriors 32-24
Man of the Match: Lewis Brown
Snap Review:
The Newcastle Knights have two very big problems. 1 - their right side defence and 2 - the play of Scott Dureau. Both these issues have not only cost them victories, but they are arguably the two most important parts of a league team - your halfback and your defence. Dureau's defence is at times embarrassing and the Knights defence, as a whole for the entire season so far, is of similar standard. The Warriors, however, came to play and led by James Maloney, were entertaining as always and despite the closeness of the score, looked winners for the most part.
Brisbane v South Sydney
Both teams enter this game on the back of good recent form with plenty of emerging young talent providing the spark. The Broncos head home after 2 solid away wins at Toyota Park and Brookvale Oval with Darren Lockyer almost single handedly responsible for both victories.
This generation’s greatest player will obviously be missed by the Broncos in this match but Souths have their own issues through 5 players missing from their regular 17.... all forwards. A resurgent John Sutton and Chris Sandow will struggle to find space because of this, and the home side’s pack will take full advantage. Corey Parker and Ben Teo the chief opportunists.
Man of the Match Prediction: Andrew McCullough
Tip: Brisbane 23-16
Result: Brisbane 50-22
Man of the Match: Corey Parker
Snap Review:
It's not often you see the type of aggression and enthusiasm shown by the Broncos outside of semi final footy. They are on a hot streak and the Bunnies were just a speed hump in this match. Tough to pay this victory though as Souths were missing 3 internationals and a host of others from their starting 17. However keep an eye on the Broncos, they are running wild.
Melbourne v Eastern Suburbs
This game again raises an issue that many league fans have with the scheduling of representative football. A potentially great game ruined by conflicting arrangements does test the depth of all clubs, but one cannot help but wonder what we are missing. The Roosters have not looked good this season without Mitchell Pearce but head into this game as favourites nonetheless.
Usually, I find myself hesitant to oppose the bookies: not today. Todd Carney struggles with the switch to halfback and the Roosters in-turn struggle to punch holes in a committed Melbourne defence. Keep an eye on 20 year old Storm halfback Luke Kelly who captained the clubs NYC premiership winning squad last year. Big things expected from this rookie.
Man of the Match Prediction: Aidan Tolman
Tip: Melbourne 18-16
Result: Roosters 38-6
Man of the Match: Frank-Paul Nuuausala
Snap Review:
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog. Delivered in retro from every Tuesday.
For live updates of every match over the weekend, go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
My results from the last 6 weeks..
round 8 - 3/8
round 9 - 0/4
round 10 - 3/8
round 11 - 2/5
round 12 - 2/7
round 13 - 4/8
Total - 14/40 (that's a 35% strike rate)
So, get your wallets out and ready to bet. I'm obviously a lock.
Gold Coast v Manly
The Titans at $1.25??? Amazing. How can anyone be that confident after watching the NRL this season? The home side’s defence is under pressure and they will be desperate to right the ship in this match. Manly’s discipline, however, will bring the biggest challenge for the Titans to overcome.
They will. Preston Campbell and Nathan Friend combine well with Prince and Greg Bird to put the Titans season back on track. Manly gallant in defeat as they make things very difficult early on for Titans but eventually, Scott Prince the difference. George Rose a standout off the bench for Manly.
Man of the Match Prediction: Scott Prince
Tip: Titans 26-16
Result: Titans 28-14
Man of the Match: Greg Bird
Snap Review:
When the Titans play like this they are a pleasure to watch. Forwards hitting hard and running great lines, backs hitting harder than the forwards and running away for long distance tries. Super entertaining. Having Matt Rogers back in the squad made a big difference to the performance of Greg Bird as well. Experience counts. Credit also to the Titans bench who lifted for this one and collectively made an instant impact.
North Queensland v Canberra
The last time the Cowboys played without Jonathan Thurston, they put the Roosters to the sword in Sydney. In that match, the responsibility of guiding the team around the park was done by committee. At least 5 different players shared kicking duties and first receiver roles that night and this will be the same plan of attack against the visiting Raiders on Saturday night.
It could work, but I’m betting it won’t. The Raiders will kick this match off with a bang and run through the Cowboys defence often. Joel Thompson and Josh Dugan will cause problems for the Cowboys outside backs and if the home side play like they did last week, it will be a long night for fans up in Townsville.
Man of the Match Prediction: Joel Thompson
Tip: Raiders 24-20
Result: North Queensland 16-8
Man of the Match: Matt Bowen
Snap Review:
With the amount of ball the Raiders had in the 2nd half, they should have scored at least 3 tries. I counted 7 or 8 line breaks that all ended in error. The Cowboys played well enough to put pressure on the visitors from the start and that was enough. Josh Dugan out injured made a huge difference to the design of the raiders attack. The Cowboys are 2 from 2 without JT this year. Interesting.
Newcastle v NZ Warriors
Surprising how similar these two teams are. Not only do they have exactly the same points differential, but they are almost identical in a number of other statistical categories. Before I keep writing about stats… does anyone care...? Didn’t think so. Newcastle to win.
Scott Dureau has had a number of defensive lapses this season and will be under pressure to retain his spot. He and Jarrod Mullen must turn up in this match against a willing Warriors side boasting a fit Manu Vatuvei. I say they will turn up, but with home ground advantage the only real difference here. Knights use the amazing talents of Akuila Uate to their advantage and get a much needed victory.
Man of the Match Prediction: Jarrod Mullen
Tip: Newcastle 30-18
Result: Warriors 32-24
Man of the Match: Lewis Brown
Snap Review:
The Newcastle Knights have two very big problems. 1 - their right side defence and 2 - the play of Scott Dureau. Both these issues have not only cost them victories, but they are arguably the two most important parts of a league team - your halfback and your defence. Dureau's defence is at times embarrassing and the Knights defence, as a whole for the entire season so far, is of similar standard. The Warriors, however, came to play and led by James Maloney, were entertaining as always and despite the closeness of the score, looked winners for the most part.
Brisbane v South Sydney
Both teams enter this game on the back of good recent form with plenty of emerging young talent providing the spark. The Broncos head home after 2 solid away wins at Toyota Park and Brookvale Oval with Darren Lockyer almost single handedly responsible for both victories.
This generation’s greatest player will obviously be missed by the Broncos in this match but Souths have their own issues through 5 players missing from their regular 17.... all forwards. A resurgent John Sutton and Chris Sandow will struggle to find space because of this, and the home side’s pack will take full advantage. Corey Parker and Ben Teo the chief opportunists.
Man of the Match Prediction: Andrew McCullough
Tip: Brisbane 23-16
Result: Brisbane 50-22
Man of the Match: Corey Parker
Snap Review:
It's not often you see the type of aggression and enthusiasm shown by the Broncos outside of semi final footy. They are on a hot streak and the Bunnies were just a speed hump in this match. Tough to pay this victory though as Souths were missing 3 internationals and a host of others from their starting 17. However keep an eye on the Broncos, they are running wild.
Melbourne v Eastern Suburbs
This game again raises an issue that many league fans have with the scheduling of representative football. A potentially great game ruined by conflicting arrangements does test the depth of all clubs, but one cannot help but wonder what we are missing. The Roosters have not looked good this season without Mitchell Pearce but head into this game as favourites nonetheless.
Usually, I find myself hesitant to oppose the bookies: not today. Todd Carney struggles with the switch to halfback and the Roosters in-turn struggle to punch holes in a committed Melbourne defence. Keep an eye on 20 year old Storm halfback Luke Kelly who captained the clubs NYC premiership winning squad last year. Big things expected from this rookie.
Man of the Match Prediction: Aidan Tolman
Tip: Melbourne 18-16
Result: Roosters 38-6
Man of the Match: Frank-Paul Nuuausala
Snap Review:
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog. Delivered in retro from every Tuesday.
For live updates of every match over the weekend, go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
Minute by MInute Monday Night - Round 13
South Sydney v North Queensland - June 7, 2010. ANZ Stadium.
The surface here still looks like a mud pile. Probably means a messy game.
2nd minute - How big is Dave Taylor? I can't believe human beings like this actually exist.
5th minute - Ben Lowe drops a shoulder on Will Tupou, nice hit. Souths really are finding their personality lately: as a team that hits hard and loves the hard work. Lowe's shot has the desired effect and forces an error from the Cowboys.
7th minute - Sam Burgess a handful already tonight. His intention obvious as he runs straight at Jonathan Thurston and draws a million Cowboys defenders trying to cover their captain and defend their line. This leaves a huge gap in front of Nathan Merritt who scores in the corner from the next ruck. Souths 4-0.
11th minute - Welcome back to 1st grade Carl Webb. He gives away a penalty by shoving Dave Taylor whilst Taylor is on the ground - god knows why. Souths almost score from the next set, they have all the ball.
13th minute - North Queensland are in trouble here. Every play run by Souths is finding space. One of these gaps leads to the try line for big Dave Taylor who bounces off a couple of would-be defenders to score. Souths 8-0.
Thought - The Cowboys look to be in trouble early and one wonders about the ramifications of a poor season (which this looks like turning out to be) for coach Neil Henry. Henry resigned his position from the QLD origin coaching staff to focus on his club commitments, the Cowboys have just re-signed JT which would not leave a lot of room to buy further talent.... and they are sitting near the bottom of the ladder. All this combined leads to a bad end of year review from management up in Townsville. They have players back from injury and a solid roster; CEO Peter Parr will want answers.
17th minute - Webb continues his imaginary battle with Dave Taylor, this time charging up to put a shot on the big Rabbitohs 2nd rower. He ends up grabbing nothing. How the mighty have fallen. (more on the shelf life of a league player later)
19th minute - Burgess creating more problems defensively for JT. This time Luke O'Donnell comes over to help out but tries too hard to slow down the ruck. Penalty. Souths are winning the little battles.
23rd minute - Great try saving tackle from Colin Best. The Cowboys denied a good chance to claw back into this match. It’s amazing the number of momentum swings in matches these days. Fortunes can change quickly in Rugby League.
Note - NSW Origin selector Laurie Daley has joined the pay TV commentary team. I wonder what damage he just finished doing to my Origin hopes and dreams.... I would find out in approximately 17 minutes.
26th minute - Chris Sandow puts a nice hit on Anthony Watts. Watts has been a spark for the struggling Cowboys this season but Sandow turns out the light on this occasion.
28th minute - Another good hit up from Taylor. He has been fantastic this year and this backs Russel Crowe's decision to sack Jason Taylor and replace him with John Lang. Lang has brought out the best in many Souths players who were thought to be inconsistent, or not up to 1st grade standard. Is it just me or are the bunnies starting to look like the Panthers premiership team from 2003? Lang has a formula that works.
Beau Champion scores after some good lead up work from everybody. They are playing as a unit and blowing the Cowboys off the field. Isaac Luke misses his third conversion though. Souths lead 12-0.
35th minute - Seeing Willie Mason taking big, powerful hit ups and making line breaks sure does bring back some memories.
37th minute - Souths cough it up and JT has some room to counter attack. Beau Champion (looking a little bit like Ryan Girdler) intercepts the JT pass and runs 40m to score.
It’s amazing how much they are designed like the Panthers 2003 team... the more I think about it.
Check out Penrith's team for the Grand Final that year, compared to the 2010 Rabbits
Penrith 2003 South Sydney 2010
1. Rhys Wesser Rhys Wesser
2. Luke Lewis Nathan Merritt
3. Ryan Girdler Colin Best
4. Paul Whatuira Beau Champion
5. Luke Rooney Fetuli Talanoa
6. Preston Campbell John Sutton
7. Craig Gower Chris Sandow
8. Joel Clinton Luke Stuart
9. Luke Priddis Isaac Luke
10. Martin Lang Roy Asotasi
11. Joe Galuvao Sam Burgess
12. Tony Puletua Dave Taylor
13. Scott Sattler Ben Lowe
14. Ben Ross Scott Geddes
15. Trent Waterhouse Garret Crossman
16. Shane Rodney Eddy Pettybourne
17. Luke Swain Jason Clark
Rhys Wesser custodian for both teams, but the similarities don't end there:
• Wingers both have toughness combined with speed and are great under the high ball.
• In the halves, Chris Sandow looks more and more like a leader after every match and takes the pressure off a much criticised John Sutton. Ring a bell?
• The back rowers are identical! Powerful running second rowers and a reliable lock who specialises in defence.
• Workhorse front rowers. Roy Asotasi came to Souths with a reputation for line breaks and huge hitting. He has now turned into the prototype experienced front rower who gets through work and has a high Rugby League IQ.
• The hookers - Luke Priddis won the Clive Churchill medal in 2003 and Isaac Luke is on his way to being a Dally M medallist. Very similar styles.
• Finally - no backs on the bench. I love this. Coach Lang refuses to waste an interchange position.
39th minute - Scott Geddes dislocated knee cap; it looks bad. Geddes deserves better after all he's been through but to quote Roy and HG... "rugby league is a harsh mistress". Impressively, Geddes got up to play the ball before looking to the sideline for assistance. Tough bastard.
Halftime - Souths 16-0
45th minute - John Sutton is becoming something special this year. I don't mean to sound like president of the John Lang fan club, but credit where credit is due. It is amazing what a good coach can do for a player. Sutton looks patient, controlled and his mistakes are limited. He is making good reads in defence, kicking is immaculate and he is talking a whole lot more. Lang has not pressured the young star and this calmness is rubbing off not only for the Rabbits number 6, but the entire club.
47th minute - Merritt over. Sutton stands in a tackle and picks his ball-runner perfectly. Gaps all through the Cowboys defence. Nathan Merritt not only coming in field looking for work here but is on the opposite side of the field to his normal wing position. Souths have serious potential this year, and the coming years considering their youth. Souths 22-0.
49th minute - The Bunnies get a repeat set from the restart and are all over the Cowboys here. Luke held up by Watts who is still a shining light for the visitors. Penalty to North Queensland relieves the pressure.
52nd minute - The evolution of Chris Sandow. Perfect kick finds touch after Sandow notices his forwards were getting a bit fatigued. A couple of slow play-the-balls and he makes a simple play he would not have made last year. Impressive.
57th minute - Definite hunger in the eyes of the bunnies. They have a killer instinct tonight - they want more points and want to destroy their opposition. Sutton turns it over though - a rare error for him.
Thought - Souths have been aggressive tonight - some would say ruthless. Isaac Luke just popped JT in the ribs and looked at him with disgust - seemed like he enjoyed it. Little did we know he'd be charged for the next one.
60th minute - Too much possession and too much aggression. Souths continue the demolition as Talanoa goes over after some good lead up work from Colin Best and Wesser. Souths 26-0
63rd minute - Another hit on JT by Isaac Luke. This one was late though and Luke still has that look in his eye. Intent. The referee does nothing, which is one issue... but a bigger question mark here is over the ticker of the Cowboys forward pack. They are getting belted for one, but secondly, they are not standing up for their halfback and captain as he is continually hit late, harassed after kicks and targeted in defence.
66th minute - Another try to the Bunnies. Lazy marker defence by the visitors sees a telegraphed inside ball find open space. Luke scores. Souths 32-0.
72nd minute - Aaron Payne runs from dummy half. I mention this because it’s the first time I’ve noticed Payne running the ball. They really have been blown off the park tonight.
75th minute - Garbage time. Burgess and Taylor on the bench resting after a job well done. Cowboys score in the corner. Souths 32-4.
Thought - Jonathan Thurston looks tired. He was the best player in the world at one stage recently but now faces all the attention and pressure that comes with a tag like this: e.g.
• Gets targeted by opposition forwards in defence and whilst he kicks in general play.
• Faces a long rep season every year.
• This season he has obviously played injured a number of times.
• To top it off his forwards are not sticking up for him.
JT definitely earns his money - and then has to face criticism if he looks at other codes to try and prepare for his financial future. Hard life, but as Roy and HG say, "rugby league rolls the dice of life".
Full time - Credit to Souths tonight, they were relentless. Forwards are living up to their reputation and they are playing an exciting yet controlled brand of footy. They win 32-4.
Tune in next week as the Roosters head to Melbourne to face the undermanned Storm.
The surface here still looks like a mud pile. Probably means a messy game.
2nd minute - How big is Dave Taylor? I can't believe human beings like this actually exist.
5th minute - Ben Lowe drops a shoulder on Will Tupou, nice hit. Souths really are finding their personality lately: as a team that hits hard and loves the hard work. Lowe's shot has the desired effect and forces an error from the Cowboys.
7th minute - Sam Burgess a handful already tonight. His intention obvious as he runs straight at Jonathan Thurston and draws a million Cowboys defenders trying to cover their captain and defend their line. This leaves a huge gap in front of Nathan Merritt who scores in the corner from the next ruck. Souths 4-0.
11th minute - Welcome back to 1st grade Carl Webb. He gives away a penalty by shoving Dave Taylor whilst Taylor is on the ground - god knows why. Souths almost score from the next set, they have all the ball.
13th minute - North Queensland are in trouble here. Every play run by Souths is finding space. One of these gaps leads to the try line for big Dave Taylor who bounces off a couple of would-be defenders to score. Souths 8-0.
Thought - The Cowboys look to be in trouble early and one wonders about the ramifications of a poor season (which this looks like turning out to be) for coach Neil Henry. Henry resigned his position from the QLD origin coaching staff to focus on his club commitments, the Cowboys have just re-signed JT which would not leave a lot of room to buy further talent.... and they are sitting near the bottom of the ladder. All this combined leads to a bad end of year review from management up in Townsville. They have players back from injury and a solid roster; CEO Peter Parr will want answers.
17th minute - Webb continues his imaginary battle with Dave Taylor, this time charging up to put a shot on the big Rabbitohs 2nd rower. He ends up grabbing nothing. How the mighty have fallen. (more on the shelf life of a league player later)
19th minute - Burgess creating more problems defensively for JT. This time Luke O'Donnell comes over to help out but tries too hard to slow down the ruck. Penalty. Souths are winning the little battles.
23rd minute - Great try saving tackle from Colin Best. The Cowboys denied a good chance to claw back into this match. It’s amazing the number of momentum swings in matches these days. Fortunes can change quickly in Rugby League.
Note - NSW Origin selector Laurie Daley has joined the pay TV commentary team. I wonder what damage he just finished doing to my Origin hopes and dreams.... I would find out in approximately 17 minutes.
26th minute - Chris Sandow puts a nice hit on Anthony Watts. Watts has been a spark for the struggling Cowboys this season but Sandow turns out the light on this occasion.
28th minute - Another good hit up from Taylor. He has been fantastic this year and this backs Russel Crowe's decision to sack Jason Taylor and replace him with John Lang. Lang has brought out the best in many Souths players who were thought to be inconsistent, or not up to 1st grade standard. Is it just me or are the bunnies starting to look like the Panthers premiership team from 2003? Lang has a formula that works.
Beau Champion scores after some good lead up work from everybody. They are playing as a unit and blowing the Cowboys off the field. Isaac Luke misses his third conversion though. Souths lead 12-0.
35th minute - Seeing Willie Mason taking big, powerful hit ups and making line breaks sure does bring back some memories.
37th minute - Souths cough it up and JT has some room to counter attack. Beau Champion (looking a little bit like Ryan Girdler) intercepts the JT pass and runs 40m to score.
It’s amazing how much they are designed like the Panthers 2003 team... the more I think about it.
Check out Penrith's team for the Grand Final that year, compared to the 2010 Rabbits
Penrith 2003 South Sydney 2010
1. Rhys Wesser Rhys Wesser
2. Luke Lewis Nathan Merritt
3. Ryan Girdler Colin Best
4. Paul Whatuira Beau Champion
5. Luke Rooney Fetuli Talanoa
6. Preston Campbell John Sutton
7. Craig Gower Chris Sandow
8. Joel Clinton Luke Stuart
9. Luke Priddis Isaac Luke
10. Martin Lang Roy Asotasi
11. Joe Galuvao Sam Burgess
12. Tony Puletua Dave Taylor
13. Scott Sattler Ben Lowe
14. Ben Ross Scott Geddes
15. Trent Waterhouse Garret Crossman
16. Shane Rodney Eddy Pettybourne
17. Luke Swain Jason Clark
Rhys Wesser custodian for both teams, but the similarities don't end there:
• Wingers both have toughness combined with speed and are great under the high ball.
• In the halves, Chris Sandow looks more and more like a leader after every match and takes the pressure off a much criticised John Sutton. Ring a bell?
• The back rowers are identical! Powerful running second rowers and a reliable lock who specialises in defence.
• Workhorse front rowers. Roy Asotasi came to Souths with a reputation for line breaks and huge hitting. He has now turned into the prototype experienced front rower who gets through work and has a high Rugby League IQ.
• The hookers - Luke Priddis won the Clive Churchill medal in 2003 and Isaac Luke is on his way to being a Dally M medallist. Very similar styles.
• Finally - no backs on the bench. I love this. Coach Lang refuses to waste an interchange position.
39th minute - Scott Geddes dislocated knee cap; it looks bad. Geddes deserves better after all he's been through but to quote Roy and HG... "rugby league is a harsh mistress". Impressively, Geddes got up to play the ball before looking to the sideline for assistance. Tough bastard.
Halftime - Souths 16-0
45th minute - John Sutton is becoming something special this year. I don't mean to sound like president of the John Lang fan club, but credit where credit is due. It is amazing what a good coach can do for a player. Sutton looks patient, controlled and his mistakes are limited. He is making good reads in defence, kicking is immaculate and he is talking a whole lot more. Lang has not pressured the young star and this calmness is rubbing off not only for the Rabbits number 6, but the entire club.
47th minute - Merritt over. Sutton stands in a tackle and picks his ball-runner perfectly. Gaps all through the Cowboys defence. Nathan Merritt not only coming in field looking for work here but is on the opposite side of the field to his normal wing position. Souths have serious potential this year, and the coming years considering their youth. Souths 22-0.
49th minute - The Bunnies get a repeat set from the restart and are all over the Cowboys here. Luke held up by Watts who is still a shining light for the visitors. Penalty to North Queensland relieves the pressure.
52nd minute - The evolution of Chris Sandow. Perfect kick finds touch after Sandow notices his forwards were getting a bit fatigued. A couple of slow play-the-balls and he makes a simple play he would not have made last year. Impressive.
57th minute - Definite hunger in the eyes of the bunnies. They have a killer instinct tonight - they want more points and want to destroy their opposition. Sutton turns it over though - a rare error for him.
Thought - Souths have been aggressive tonight - some would say ruthless. Isaac Luke just popped JT in the ribs and looked at him with disgust - seemed like he enjoyed it. Little did we know he'd be charged for the next one.
60th minute - Too much possession and too much aggression. Souths continue the demolition as Talanoa goes over after some good lead up work from Colin Best and Wesser. Souths 26-0
63rd minute - Another hit on JT by Isaac Luke. This one was late though and Luke still has that look in his eye. Intent. The referee does nothing, which is one issue... but a bigger question mark here is over the ticker of the Cowboys forward pack. They are getting belted for one, but secondly, they are not standing up for their halfback and captain as he is continually hit late, harassed after kicks and targeted in defence.
66th minute - Another try to the Bunnies. Lazy marker defence by the visitors sees a telegraphed inside ball find open space. Luke scores. Souths 32-0.
72nd minute - Aaron Payne runs from dummy half. I mention this because it’s the first time I’ve noticed Payne running the ball. They really have been blown off the park tonight.
75th minute - Garbage time. Burgess and Taylor on the bench resting after a job well done. Cowboys score in the corner. Souths 32-4.
Thought - Jonathan Thurston looks tired. He was the best player in the world at one stage recently but now faces all the attention and pressure that comes with a tag like this: e.g.
• Gets targeted by opposition forwards in defence and whilst he kicks in general play.
• Faces a long rep season every year.
• This season he has obviously played injured a number of times.
• To top it off his forwards are not sticking up for him.
JT definitely earns his money - and then has to face criticism if he looks at other codes to try and prepare for his financial future. Hard life, but as Roy and HG say, "rugby league rolls the dice of life".
Full time - Credit to Souths tonight, they were relentless. Forwards are living up to their reputation and they are playing an exciting yet controlled brand of footy. They win 32-4.
Tune in next week as the Roosters head to Melbourne to face the undermanned Storm.
Thursday, June 3, 2010
Paully's Picks - Round 13
Canterbury v Wests
The Tigers are a confidence team and running high on it at the moment. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are running on the stench of failure as their season goes from bad to worse. Cries from the Bulldogs camp this week sound optimistic, which is a good sign for this match and suggests the Dogs will play with desperation. That might be enough to get the win against a rejuvenated Tigers outfit, but only if this match turns into a grind.
Difficult to see Robert Lui and Benji Marshall allowing that to happen. In the Tigers' last two matches, their halves have combined well to organise a potent attack which should continue on Friday night but they will face a tough test with Kimmorley and Ennis attempting to slow the pace down to a standstill. This week the Jamal Idris show visits Chris Lawrence in another fantastic matchup starring the Dogs tearaway young centre. Also, keep an eye on Ennis v Farah as their rivalry continues.
Man of the Match Prediction: Robbie Farah
Tip: Tigers 28-18
Result: Tigers 19-12
Man of the Match: Robbie Farah
Snap Review:
The Tigers win a grind!!!!! This is a massive result for Wests as they win in greasy conditions and out muscle the dogs forwards. Could you say this about the Tigers at anytime in the last 4 years? no way.
Parramatta v Melbourne
Melbourne continues to impress after the salary cap saga; they have a 4 and 1 record since. It's obvious that with so much talent in the squad, they don't need a reason to win games this year; apparently they dont need all their stars on the field either. Last week they scored an easy victory without 3 of their best and this week, they will be given all the motivation they need from the Parramatta faithful. Melburnians will be able to hear the home crowd from Flinders Street.
The Eels, bouncing back from two very poor performances in a row, will ensure hostilities are resumed by turning up for this match but the visitors determination will be too much for a spirited yet out-gunned home side. Cameron Smith returns from injury, GI and Billy the Kid return from a week off and Brett Finch returns to Parramatta Stadium for the first time since his controversial departure in 2009. This all adds up to 'must see TV' as league fans enjoy this Grand Final replay.
Man of the Match Prediction: Greg Inglis
Tip: Melbourne 22-14
Result: Parramatta 24-10
Man of the Match: Tim Mannah
Snap Review:
Fantastic game of footy. Why? Because the players took this game personally. Its not often these days where you have players show emotion on the football field. In today's version of loyalty, NRL stars are basically like mercenaries who follow contracts and not clubs. Hard to blame them though. Shelf life of a footballer is limited. Point being when players are emotionally invested in beating the opposition, we see the best brand of league.
Penrith v Newcastle
Another shootout. These two teams love to put on a show with the ball and judging by their recent performances, would much rather run than tackle. Fine with me. With all the talent on show in this match, the 5.30pm timeslot will finally deliver an entertaining match. To add to this, the Knights are boasting the return of Adam MacDougall and James McManus and have moved Captain Kurt Gidley to halfback...Interesting to say the least.
Unfortunately for the Knights, the home side will be stinging from last weeks embarrassing loss and come out of the sheds firing. Home ground advantage is enough to cover my bet in this match as it is difficult to ignore the Panthers record this season at CUA. Also difficult to ignore will be the sledging battle between two of the codes best. Mad Dog MacDougall v Travis Burns. I wish we could mic them up. Coote and Jennings the difference.
Man of the Match Prediction: Lachlan Coote
Tip: Penrith 32-24
Result: Penrith 28-10
Man of the Match: Luke Walsh
Snap Review:
Newcastle continues to struggle defensively. This represents a problem with attitude - something that could never be said about a team representing the hunter. The Knights are doing it tough this year and it will only get worse unless their forwards take ownership of the performance and their backs learn how to defend. Penrith, lead by the feisty Luke Walsh and their willing young forwards, are heading for a home semi.
Eastern Suburbs v Cronulla
Whilst the Sharks’ attack continues to struggle, the Roosters have built a talented group to form the foundation of their impressive offence. Mitchell Pearce and Jake Friend are finally flourishing under the disciplinary hand of coach Brian Smith and combined with Anasta and Carney must be one of the strongest spines in the NRL. Pearce is the key though and will be targeted heavily by the Cronulla forwards in this match.
Whilst the Roosters halfback is busy with Gallen and co.... Carney and Anasta will be taking care of the scoreboard as the Roosters pile on some points at the SFS on Saturday night. Carney especially will thrive with the space he is given and the Roosters forwards, once again, will be worth more as a group than the sum of their parts. This strength in numbers could lead to some niggle as old rivals square up for the 79th time. Roosters too good in front of a very small crowd.
Man of the Match Prediction: Todd Carney
Tip: Roosters 32-16
Result: Cronulla 42-18
Man of the Match: Paul Gallen
Snap Review:
Unbelievable. The Rooster's youth showed its ugly side in this match. Out muscled and out gunned by the Sharks!! A fantastic performance by Tim Smith and Trent Barrett had the Sharks actually enjoying themselves. Keen to see if this match builds their confidence to start a winning streak. It would be great to see Grand Final betting change from Saints at $3.50 and then the rest.
NZ Warriors v St George Illawarra
The beginning of a Sunday afternoon triple header. This game epitomises a Rugby League season in full swing. We are half way through the competition proper, the weather has turned cold and there is a midday game from Mount Smart. For those of us in the Australian east coast, enjoy a sleep-in and just as you've finished a very late breakfast, the excited twang of Darryl Halligan will be ringing in your ears. Enjoy.
Then, as you sip on a hot coffee and contemplate your tips from Saturday night, the Dragons should be at their stingy best and will be in full control of this match. As usual it won't reflect on the scoreboard until late in the game. Last year's minor premiers defend as they do, and then pull away through the speed of Brett Morris and Jamie Soward against a beaten Warriors pack. The Beast returns from injury to make your Sunday that much more exciting.
Man of the Match Prediction: Brett Morris
Tip: Dragons 27-4
Result: Dragons 22-20
Man of the Match: Matt Cooper
Snap Review:
Tough match and very entertaining. James Maloney is one of the future star halfbacks in this competition and just needs some luck with his halves partners (who now number about 10 for this year) and his forwards. If Ivan Cleary can avoid a further injury plague, it could mean anything. Saints consistent and very strong to come away with this win. Jamie Soward and Ben Hornby led the team well.
Canberra v Gold Coast
Sunday's triple header continues as we move from a drizzly Auckland to the beautiful chill of our nation’s capital where the mercury will reach a top of 16 degrees. Weather predictions in Canberra quote the following - "Frost, then sunny". We predict that this is exactly how the match will play out for the Titans as they struggle to acclimatise, but bring it home in the end.
The Titans have the mental fortitude required to win in Canberra on Sunday and will be well motivated after suffering recent losses either side of a bye. Not good for a club aiming at a top 2 finish, however they find redemption here. The Raiders bust out to a lead in the beginning through their powerful forward pack but the Titans class will prevail through an improved defensive performance and a standout showing by Nathan Friend. Upset of the week.
Man of the Match Prediction: Nathan Friend
Tip: Titans 30-26
Result: Canberra 28-24
Man of the Match: Terry Campese
Snap Review:
So close! The Raiders held on mightily in the closing minutes of this match and deserve the two points. The Titans were at their whim really. Only the horrible lack of fitness that plagues this Raiders squad led to the visitors having any chance at all. Scott Prince kicked beautifully but his teammates, especially the Titans interchange forwards, defended poorly.
Manly v Brisbane
The Eagles will find themselves in a battle here. Brisbane have won three in a row and finally settled on a first 13. This cohesion is showing in their defensive performances of late and their forward pack has become brutal again whilst Darren Lockyer continues to make the big plays when needed. He will have to make plenty of them at Brookvale in Sunday's conclusion to your triple header.
This afternoon feast of Rugby League will end with the home side overcoming the loss of starting centres Steve Matai and Jamie Lyon to record a nail biting victory. Stay tuned because this match will go right down to the wire. Manly's forwards and interchange bench prove too strong for the visiting Broncos with Watmough and Stewart the standouts. Dean Whare gets a proper introduction to first grade as he faces millionaire Israel Folau. Eagles at the death.
Man of the Match Prediction: Matt Ballin
Tip: Manly 21-20
Result: Brisbane 22-6
Man of the Match: Sam Thaiday
Snap Review:
We will only realise how good Darren Lockyer was when he retires. Furthermore, the speed with which the Brisbane rookies have learnt to play with Lockyer and up to a 1st grade level is amazing. Youngsters like Hoffman and Gillett and others continue to amaze in this Broncos resurgence. Brisbane have now won away at Melbourne, Cronulla and now Brookvale during this winning streak. Impressive. The highly praised Manly halves are starting to show their youth... it's a long season fellas.
South Sydney v North Queensland
The South Sydney Rabbitohs continue their roller coaster ride of a season, this time against the Cowboys in a potential ripper. Roy Asotasi catches up with old friend Willie Mason in just one of many juicy matchups in the forwards. If this match does turn into a battle of big men, you can't go past Souths on Monday night. I won't be going past them this time.
Isaac Luke has been outstanding this year and his great form will continue against a visiting side struggling for form and desperate to climb out of the cellar. No excuses exist anymore for the Cowboys who have lost their past two matches with Thurston, Payne and Bowen all available. These three must perform and keep the Rabbitohs big men turned around if the Cowboys are to be any chance. Smart money says they won't. Souths too good with John Sutton and Isaac Luke doing plenty of damage.
Man of the Match Prediction: John Sutton
Tip: South Sydney 30-20
Result: South Sydney 32-4
Man of the Match: John Sutton
Snap Review:
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form every Tuesday.
For live updates of every match over the weekend, go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
The Tigers are a confidence team and running high on it at the moment. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are running on the stench of failure as their season goes from bad to worse. Cries from the Bulldogs camp this week sound optimistic, which is a good sign for this match and suggests the Dogs will play with desperation. That might be enough to get the win against a rejuvenated Tigers outfit, but only if this match turns into a grind.
Difficult to see Robert Lui and Benji Marshall allowing that to happen. In the Tigers' last two matches, their halves have combined well to organise a potent attack which should continue on Friday night but they will face a tough test with Kimmorley and Ennis attempting to slow the pace down to a standstill. This week the Jamal Idris show visits Chris Lawrence in another fantastic matchup starring the Dogs tearaway young centre. Also, keep an eye on Ennis v Farah as their rivalry continues.
Man of the Match Prediction: Robbie Farah
Tip: Tigers 28-18
Result: Tigers 19-12
Man of the Match: Robbie Farah
Snap Review:
The Tigers win a grind!!!!! This is a massive result for Wests as they win in greasy conditions and out muscle the dogs forwards. Could you say this about the Tigers at anytime in the last 4 years? no way.
Parramatta v Melbourne
Melbourne continues to impress after the salary cap saga; they have a 4 and 1 record since. It's obvious that with so much talent in the squad, they don't need a reason to win games this year; apparently they dont need all their stars on the field either. Last week they scored an easy victory without 3 of their best and this week, they will be given all the motivation they need from the Parramatta faithful. Melburnians will be able to hear the home crowd from Flinders Street.
The Eels, bouncing back from two very poor performances in a row, will ensure hostilities are resumed by turning up for this match but the visitors determination will be too much for a spirited yet out-gunned home side. Cameron Smith returns from injury, GI and Billy the Kid return from a week off and Brett Finch returns to Parramatta Stadium for the first time since his controversial departure in 2009. This all adds up to 'must see TV' as league fans enjoy this Grand Final replay.
Man of the Match Prediction: Greg Inglis
Tip: Melbourne 22-14
Result: Parramatta 24-10
Man of the Match: Tim Mannah
Snap Review:
Fantastic game of footy. Why? Because the players took this game personally. Its not often these days where you have players show emotion on the football field. In today's version of loyalty, NRL stars are basically like mercenaries who follow contracts and not clubs. Hard to blame them though. Shelf life of a footballer is limited. Point being when players are emotionally invested in beating the opposition, we see the best brand of league.
Penrith v Newcastle
Another shootout. These two teams love to put on a show with the ball and judging by their recent performances, would much rather run than tackle. Fine with me. With all the talent on show in this match, the 5.30pm timeslot will finally deliver an entertaining match. To add to this, the Knights are boasting the return of Adam MacDougall and James McManus and have moved Captain Kurt Gidley to halfback...Interesting to say the least.
Unfortunately for the Knights, the home side will be stinging from last weeks embarrassing loss and come out of the sheds firing. Home ground advantage is enough to cover my bet in this match as it is difficult to ignore the Panthers record this season at CUA. Also difficult to ignore will be the sledging battle between two of the codes best. Mad Dog MacDougall v Travis Burns. I wish we could mic them up. Coote and Jennings the difference.
Man of the Match Prediction: Lachlan Coote
Tip: Penrith 32-24
Result: Penrith 28-10
Man of the Match: Luke Walsh
Snap Review:
Newcastle continues to struggle defensively. This represents a problem with attitude - something that could never be said about a team representing the hunter. The Knights are doing it tough this year and it will only get worse unless their forwards take ownership of the performance and their backs learn how to defend. Penrith, lead by the feisty Luke Walsh and their willing young forwards, are heading for a home semi.
Eastern Suburbs v Cronulla
Whilst the Sharks’ attack continues to struggle, the Roosters have built a talented group to form the foundation of their impressive offence. Mitchell Pearce and Jake Friend are finally flourishing under the disciplinary hand of coach Brian Smith and combined with Anasta and Carney must be one of the strongest spines in the NRL. Pearce is the key though and will be targeted heavily by the Cronulla forwards in this match.
Whilst the Roosters halfback is busy with Gallen and co.... Carney and Anasta will be taking care of the scoreboard as the Roosters pile on some points at the SFS on Saturday night. Carney especially will thrive with the space he is given and the Roosters forwards, once again, will be worth more as a group than the sum of their parts. This strength in numbers could lead to some niggle as old rivals square up for the 79th time. Roosters too good in front of a very small crowd.
Man of the Match Prediction: Todd Carney
Tip: Roosters 32-16
Result: Cronulla 42-18
Man of the Match: Paul Gallen
Snap Review:
Unbelievable. The Rooster's youth showed its ugly side in this match. Out muscled and out gunned by the Sharks!! A fantastic performance by Tim Smith and Trent Barrett had the Sharks actually enjoying themselves. Keen to see if this match builds their confidence to start a winning streak. It would be great to see Grand Final betting change from Saints at $3.50 and then the rest.
NZ Warriors v St George Illawarra
The beginning of a Sunday afternoon triple header. This game epitomises a Rugby League season in full swing. We are half way through the competition proper, the weather has turned cold and there is a midday game from Mount Smart. For those of us in the Australian east coast, enjoy a sleep-in and just as you've finished a very late breakfast, the excited twang of Darryl Halligan will be ringing in your ears. Enjoy.
Then, as you sip on a hot coffee and contemplate your tips from Saturday night, the Dragons should be at their stingy best and will be in full control of this match. As usual it won't reflect on the scoreboard until late in the game. Last year's minor premiers defend as they do, and then pull away through the speed of Brett Morris and Jamie Soward against a beaten Warriors pack. The Beast returns from injury to make your Sunday that much more exciting.
Man of the Match Prediction: Brett Morris
Tip: Dragons 27-4
Result: Dragons 22-20
Man of the Match: Matt Cooper
Snap Review:
Tough match and very entertaining. James Maloney is one of the future star halfbacks in this competition and just needs some luck with his halves partners (who now number about 10 for this year) and his forwards. If Ivan Cleary can avoid a further injury plague, it could mean anything. Saints consistent and very strong to come away with this win. Jamie Soward and Ben Hornby led the team well.
Canberra v Gold Coast
Sunday's triple header continues as we move from a drizzly Auckland to the beautiful chill of our nation’s capital where the mercury will reach a top of 16 degrees. Weather predictions in Canberra quote the following - "Frost, then sunny". We predict that this is exactly how the match will play out for the Titans as they struggle to acclimatise, but bring it home in the end.
The Titans have the mental fortitude required to win in Canberra on Sunday and will be well motivated after suffering recent losses either side of a bye. Not good for a club aiming at a top 2 finish, however they find redemption here. The Raiders bust out to a lead in the beginning through their powerful forward pack but the Titans class will prevail through an improved defensive performance and a standout showing by Nathan Friend. Upset of the week.
Man of the Match Prediction: Nathan Friend
Tip: Titans 30-26
Result: Canberra 28-24
Man of the Match: Terry Campese
Snap Review:
So close! The Raiders held on mightily in the closing minutes of this match and deserve the two points. The Titans were at their whim really. Only the horrible lack of fitness that plagues this Raiders squad led to the visitors having any chance at all. Scott Prince kicked beautifully but his teammates, especially the Titans interchange forwards, defended poorly.
Manly v Brisbane
The Eagles will find themselves in a battle here. Brisbane have won three in a row and finally settled on a first 13. This cohesion is showing in their defensive performances of late and their forward pack has become brutal again whilst Darren Lockyer continues to make the big plays when needed. He will have to make plenty of them at Brookvale in Sunday's conclusion to your triple header.
This afternoon feast of Rugby League will end with the home side overcoming the loss of starting centres Steve Matai and Jamie Lyon to record a nail biting victory. Stay tuned because this match will go right down to the wire. Manly's forwards and interchange bench prove too strong for the visiting Broncos with Watmough and Stewart the standouts. Dean Whare gets a proper introduction to first grade as he faces millionaire Israel Folau. Eagles at the death.
Man of the Match Prediction: Matt Ballin
Tip: Manly 21-20
Result: Brisbane 22-6
Man of the Match: Sam Thaiday
Snap Review:
We will only realise how good Darren Lockyer was when he retires. Furthermore, the speed with which the Brisbane rookies have learnt to play with Lockyer and up to a 1st grade level is amazing. Youngsters like Hoffman and Gillett and others continue to amaze in this Broncos resurgence. Brisbane have now won away at Melbourne, Cronulla and now Brookvale during this winning streak. Impressive. The highly praised Manly halves are starting to show their youth... it's a long season fellas.
South Sydney v North Queensland
The South Sydney Rabbitohs continue their roller coaster ride of a season, this time against the Cowboys in a potential ripper. Roy Asotasi catches up with old friend Willie Mason in just one of many juicy matchups in the forwards. If this match does turn into a battle of big men, you can't go past Souths on Monday night. I won't be going past them this time.
Isaac Luke has been outstanding this year and his great form will continue against a visiting side struggling for form and desperate to climb out of the cellar. No excuses exist anymore for the Cowboys who have lost their past two matches with Thurston, Payne and Bowen all available. These three must perform and keep the Rabbitohs big men turned around if the Cowboys are to be any chance. Smart money says they won't. Souths too good with John Sutton and Isaac Luke doing plenty of damage.
Man of the Match Prediction: John Sutton
Tip: South Sydney 30-20
Result: South Sydney 32-4
Man of the Match: John Sutton
Snap Review:
See our "Minute by Minute Monday Night" blog - delivered in 'retro' form every Tuesday.
For live updates of every match over the weekend, go to http://www.leagueunlimited.com/
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